England: No warming trend for 15 years

New Met Office data for central England shows no warming trend since 2006

The annual data for 2020 has now been published for the CET, with the mean temperature ending up at 10.76C.

No doubt we will get the usual hysteria from the Met Office about the “third warmest year on record”, “nine of the ten warmest years since 1990”, blah, blah!

However this will be no more than an attempt to cover up the highly inconvenient truth, which is that warming stopped in 2006. The 10-year running average shows this clearly.

We can get a clearer picture of this by zooming in on the period since 1991. The 10-year average rose slowly during the 1990s and early 2000s. But since then they have gradually declined, having reached the peak for the 1997 to 2006 period:

Which all leads us around to the question of what is the “normal” climate for England?

The Met Office would say this is the 30-year average, but this is only an artificial construct for convenience. Currently the 10-year average on CET is 10.40C, which is barely above the 1991-2020 average of 10.25C. The difference is well within any margin of natural variation.

After all, annual temperatures rose from 8.86C in 2010, to 10.72C the following year, purely because of variations in “weather”.