Month: April 2018

More Evidence That Barack Obama Healed The Planet

I am absolutely certain that generations from now, we will be able to look back and tell our children that this was the moment when the rise of the oceans began to slow and our planet began to heal

  • Barack Obama  2008

On Easter Sunday, I am reminded of the wondrous deeds of the left’s fallen savior. Fulfilling his prophecy of ten years ago.

His work was seen everywhere in Philadelphia last week.

Cherry trees are blooming later and later in Washington DC. Only Barack Obama himself knows when they will actually bloom this year, with two more snowstorms coming this week.

Community Connection: Cherry Blossom Bloom Dates in Washington, D.C. | Climate Change Indicators in the United States | US EPA

I came down to DC this weekend to photograph the imaginary cherry blossoms, which the Park Service originally said would reach peak bloom on March 17.  No luck there, so we climbed up Sugarloaf Mountain instead.

I think this might be Chuck Schumer or Nancy Pelosi, but I’m not certain.

Meanwhile, Toto #2 eagerly anticipated the four more inches of global warming headed to Philadelphia tonight.

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April 1, 2018 at 06:37AM

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An Empirical Reexamination: How Two Recent Major El Niño Periods Compare

The 1997-1998 El Niño versus the 2015-2016 event. How do they differ? How are they similar? The takeaway?

Now that the global HadCRUT4.6 dataset is available for February 2018, it is possible to examine a 4-year period for both El Niños, including the ‘pre’ and ‘post’ months for each.

These two major El Niño events do have some similarities as shown in their respective 4-year charts.

Besides the shared visual pattern of low-to-high-to-low similarity, the peak temperature for both periods came in the month of February (1998 & 2016).

For both, the beginning month (February 1996 and February 2014) were essentially identical: +0.32°C and +0.33°C.

And the end points displayed in the above charts are not dramatically different – there is only a +0.07°C gap between the higher February 2018 anomaly versus that of February 2000.

The small end point difference of only +0.07°C is rather surprising within the context of how much more peak warming took place in February 2016 (+1.11°C) versus February 1998 (+0.76°C).

Then there is a similarity of linear rate of warming for the 24 months leading up to the peak months of February 1998 and February 2016: +22.3°C per century versus +22.6°C, respectively.

Regarding the differences between the two phenomenons:

There is a large difference for the peak month anomaly of the respective Februaries (1998 & 2016). Indeed, a visually striking difference is apparent.

In addition, on average, the monthly anomalies of the 2014-2018 period are +0.35°C then for the 1996-2000 period. Visually, the entire curve for the later El Niño event has been shifted up.

With that said, when the anomalies for the 10-year period prior to February 1996 and February 2014 are compared, one finds that the later anomalies were, on average, +0.3°C higher than those of the earlier 10-year period.

Another difference is the overall warming trends exhibited during the two 4-year analysis periods. From February 1996 through February 2000, the warming rate is +3.6°C per century. The warming rate for the February 2014 through February 2018 is significantly lower at +0.72°C per century.

This substantially larger per century warming rate for the earlier event analysis period – ending in February 2000 – is rather unexpected given the typical mainstream headlines leading up to this last major El Niño.

Then there is the difference in how much the temperature anomaly has dropped since the peak month for each of these El Niños. For the 24-month period after the Feb. 1998 peak, the temperature anomaly dropped a -0.3°C. In contrast, the drop from the Feb. 2016 peak has been double the earlier period’s – a drop of -0.6°C.

Finally, the deceleration of warming rates after the peak highs do differ but not excessively. For the 24-month span ending February 2000, the deceleration of warming from the February 1998 peak was a -18.81°C per century (i.e. cooling per century) versus a deceleration, from the 2016 peak, of -16.44°C per century ending February 2018.

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via The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF)

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April 1, 2018 at 05:55AM

Tesla Week: Media Begins Death Watch

This week the media started entertaining the possibility of the company’s demise as it faced a rash of especially bad financial news and a deadly Model X crash.

Tesla’s Model 3 production woes are well-known, evidenced by the fact that it has taken this long to hit around 1,000 Model 3’s produced per week.

But things took a sinister turn in the markets (and the media) after Moody’s Investors Service downgraded Tesla’s debt on Tuesday, citing, among other things, “liquidity pressures due to its large negative free cash flow.”

These cash needs will likely require Tesla to undertake a near-term capital raise exceeding $2 billion. — Moody’s downgrades Tesla’s corporate family rating to B3, senior notes to Caa1. Outlook is negative. March 27, 2018

That triggered concerns that Tesla could run out of money by the end of the year. And Tuesday afternoon the stock went south.

That’s when the media started asking hard questions.

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via The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF)

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April 1, 2018 at 05:25AM

‘Renewables Are Cheap’ Myth Busted: Full Cost of Wind & Solar Simply Staggering

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Fans of expensive, unreliable, part-time electricity that has to be replaced at short (or no) notice by other power sources should look away now.

STOP THESE THINGS

South Australia is renowned as a renewable energy ‘superpower’: by some strange coincidence, it’s also renowned for having the highest retail power prices in the world.

Wind and sun worshippers keep telling us that by plugging into nature’s wonder fuels we’ll soon enjoy power at 1970s prices. Except that that mantra is part myth and part fantasy and, wherever you find endless seas of solar panels and windmills, power prices just keep on rocketing. In SA, wholesale power prices doubled in just 12 months:

Comparing 2016 (red) and 2017 (blue) average
wholesale prices of electricity ($per MWh) by state

For power punters battered with crippling bills, predictions don’t count for much. But still renewables rent seekers keep pumping the line that, one day soon, power prices will plummet. Here’s Donn Dears spelling out precisely why they won’t.

EIA Energy Forecasts Part 1
Power for USA
Dnn Dears
6 March 2018

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April 1, 2018 at 04:12AM