Month: November 2018

Seth Borenstein–Master Of Propaganda and Fake News

By Paul Homewood

 

 

This photo appears in an article yesterday, for AP written by Seth Borenstein:

 

 

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https://apnews.com/13fd9ac84b56471db165f04779aa9989 

It is the lead for a nonsensical article hyping climate alarm ahead of next week’s meeting in Poland.

Most of the points made have been well debunked already, but this photo tells us a lot about the misleading spin put by the likes of Borenstein, in support of their political agenda.

Just in case you can’t read it, this is what the caption says:

In this June 20, 2017 file photo, a local temperature sign reads 120-degree fahrenheit as temperatures climb to near record levels in Phoenix. Scientists say climate change is faster, more extensive and worse than they thought a quarter century ago.

   

The subliminal messages are easy to spot:

  • 120C – Wow!! The vast majority of people simply cannot imagine a temperature like this. It must be exceptional.
  • Near record levels – again, the message is that something extraordinary is going on.
  • Climate change – that obviously explains it!

So let’s see what actually was going on in Phoenix.

The temperature at Phoenix Airport did actually peak at 119F on June 20th, which was also the highest temperature of the year:

 

chart-6

http://climod2.nrcc.cornell.edu/

However, temperatures of that level are not unprecedented in Phoenix. The record temperature there is 122F, set in 1990, and a figure of 121F followed in 1995:

chart-4

http://climod2.nrcc.cornell.edu/

 

Of course, Phoenix Airport has changed out of all proportion over the years, and temperatures are artificially inflated because of the surrounding tarmac and infrastructure.

There is a USHCN station nearby in the small town of Prescott, 82 miles away. Temperatures there are not directly comparable because it is at a much higher altitude. Nevertheless, the trends still tell a story.

Temperatures at Prescott peaked at 105F on June 21st.

 

chart-7

This was actually higher than 1990 or 1995, unlike Phoenix. Indeed 105F is actually the record for Prescott. However, it ties with the mark set in 1925. (You will note that the Phoenix data only starts in 1940, so we don’t know if the temperature was higher there in 1925).

 chart-3

 

 

Either way though, Borenstein’s implication that the temperature at Phoenix last year was not a natural, weather event, but instead something caused by climate change is grossly misleading propaganda.

 

By coincidence, Tim Ball wrote this article about Borenstein last month for Technocracy News and Trends:

 

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One thing that Dr. Tim Ball doesn’t like is scientific fraud coupled with journalistic propaganda to deceive and manipulate readers. Such is the case with Seth Borenstein who is neither scientist or traditional journalist; rather, he is a propagandist with a singular agenda to advance global warming dogma. ⁃ TN Editor

Borenstein has a journalism degree but claims to be a science reporter. He might have claim to the journalism label except that everything he writes is biased, misleading, distorted, and wrong because he only presents one side of each story. It is no surprise that he is exploiting the latest claims of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). His article demonstrates that he is a master of propaganda and fake news.

 

The full article is here. But this latest example of how Borenstein deceives his readers is a classic example of what Dr Ball wrote about.

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November 30, 2018 at 01:39PM

Students at every grade need to learn climate science, expert says


Brainwash them early and they’re brainwashed for life – is that it? It might be better to find out why climate models are so poor at predicting the present, before pumping youngsters full of shaky alarmist ideas. An obvious suspect would be their built-in assumptions about how the global climate system works, which are widely contested.

The National Climate Assessment, released the day after Thanksgiving, offers motivation and opportunity to bring climate topics into the classroom at every grade level, says Phys.org.

Even the youngest students are ready to learn about climate science, according to Michael Wysession, professor of Earth and Planetary Sciences in Arts & Sciences at Washington University in St. Louis and executive director of the Teaching Center.

Wysession, who has co-authored more than 30 textbooks, helped write a position statement on teaching climate science adopted by the board of directors of the National Science Teachers Association (NSTA) in September 2018. The NSTA has a membership of more than 50,000 teachers and other educators at the K-12 grade levels.

It is extremely important to teach children about the science of climate and climate change, and the roles humans play in affecting them, the NSTA statement said.

Science education at the K-12 grade levels is undergoing a revolution, according to Wysession, with most states shifting to a new way of teaching based upon the National Academy of Sciences’ Framework for K–12 Science Education and the ensuing Next Generation Science Standards.

The framework identifies a small number of “Big Ideas” for the science standards to focus on, and one of these is global climate change.

“The Next Generation Science Standards emphasize children devising solutions to the challenges of global warming,” Wysession said. “But it will take study and understanding, and we need to do everything we can now to make sure that our students have the tools, interest and motivation they need to meet these challenges.”

Continued here.

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November 30, 2018 at 01:39PM

Britain’s Deadly Energy Madness: Excess Winter Deaths In England And Wales Highest Since 1976

There were 50,100 excess deaths in England and Wales last winter, when there was a prolonged spell of extreme cold, making it the highest number since 1976, figures have shown. Many more people are going to bed early to keep warm and using candles to save on electricity. People struggling to heat their homes are also spending their days in heated spaces such as libraries, cafes or even A&E to avoid the cold.

New figures from the Office of National Statistics today show that the number of excess winter deaths exceeded 50,000 the highest on record since the winter of 1975/76. Over 15,000 of these deaths will be relatable directly to a cold home. The vast majority will have multiple hospital and GP visits behind them. The figures also worryingly show a doubling in the number of male deaths under 65.

Adam Scorer, Chief Executive of NEA commented:

“Today’s excess winter death figures should be a huge shock to the system. The cost in human suffering and lost lives is a tragedy. The cost to the NHS is significant and largely avoidable.

Predictable, preventable and shameful. We seem to have accepted excess winter deaths to be as much a part of winter as darker evenings.”

On top of these preventable deaths we know that many millions more people will have suffered the preventable health impacts of living in a cold and damp home, as well as resorting to harmful coping strategies.

New evidence provided by frontline workers to NEA, has revealed the top 10 unsafe fuel poverty coping strategies being used to survive winter. The regular use of older, dangerous or un-serviced heating appliances is common place, despite being potentially fatal or leading to heightened risks for nearby neighbours as a result of carbon monoxide poisoning or in extreme situations, fires and explosions. The charity says many more people are going to bed early to keep warm and using candles to save on electricity. People struggling to heat their homes are also spending their days in heated spaces such as libraries, cafes or even A&E to avoid the cold.

Full story

TEN YEARS ON, THE UK CLIMATE CHANGE ACT IS HARMING THE POOR

The post Britain’s Deadly Energy Madness: Excess Winter Deaths In England And Wales Highest Since 1976 appeared first on The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF).

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November 30, 2018 at 01:24PM

Global Temperature Drops By 0.4°C In Three Years

By Paul Homewood

 

 

From David Whitehouse:

 

image

In a press release the World Meteorological Organisation said,

The long-term warming trend has continued in 2018, with the average global temperature set to be the fourth highest on record. The 20 warmest years on record have been in the past 22 years, with the top four in the past four years.’

The main message was echoed by others, such as the BBC.

Climate change: Last four years are ‘world’s hottest’

Likewise the Guardian:

Past four years hottest on record, data shows

It all goes to show how temperature data can be misrepresented if you don’t show the temperature data itself.

Fig 1 is the HadCRUT4 monthly global temperature from the UK Met Office.

As you can see a graph tells a very different story. The past decade has a climate change contribution but what elevates the past four years above the previous ones is an El Nino event, the strongest one on record. As we have said many time before an El Nino is not a climatic phenomenon, it is weather. What’s more, after its peak in 2016 the global temperature has fallen by around 0.4° C. The past four years being the warmest on record is true, but it has been primarily due to the 2015/16  super El Nino.

Fig 2 shows the same data with error bars from which it can be seen that 2018 is statistically equivalent to some years before the El Nino event.

The WMO statement is grossly misleading. It mixes climate with weather. For example in its ‘Highlights of the provisional statement on the state of the climate,’ it states;

‘Temperatures: 2018 started with a weak La Niña event, which continued until March. By October, however, sea-surface temperatures in the eastern Tropical Pacific were showing signs of a return to El Niño conditions, although the atmosphere as yet shows little response. If El Niño develops, 2019 is likely to be warmer than 2018.’

If 2019 develops an El Nino and is warmer than 2018 then this has nothing to do with the ‘State of the Climate,’ but everything to do with annual weather variations.

It is sad to see the WMO descend into ‘Fake News’ territory, but sadder still to see science reporters regurgitating it without any form of analysis or critical thinking. A decade ago most financial journalists did the same. Thankfully many are much better now and they would never take an alarmist report from the Bank of England, for example, at face value without digging into the figures.

https://www.thegwpf.com/global-temperature-drops-by-0-4c-in-three-years/

 

I wholeheartedly agree with David’s comments, in particular the need to show graphs.

I am sometimes accused of cherry picking or coming to different conclusions to others. But what I always try to do is actually show the graph, so readers can form their own opinions.

While we are on the topic, I will put up that Woodfortrees graph, which I posted yesterday. According to Woodfortrees, the warming trend since 1950 has been 0.012C/yr, or 1.2C/C.

Yet the BBC report, referred to by Dr Whitehouse, actually states that:

If the trend continues, the WMO says temperatures may rise by 3-5C by 2100.

This claim clearly is not compatible with the historical data. So why does Matt McGrath, who wrote the BBC report, simply regurgitate the WMO claims instead of challenging them?

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https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2018/11/29/bbcs-latest-propaganda-for-katowice/#more-36529

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November 30, 2018 at 01:09PM