By Paul Homewood
It is expected that hybrid cars will also be outlawed, along with petrol and diesels, though they may be given five years grace.
The logic is that hybrids still use fossil fuels, albeit with greater fuel efficiency.
The BBC have news that they may not even be as efficient as made out:
Carbon dioxide emissions from plug-in hybrid cars are as much as two-and-a-half times higher than official tests suggest, according to new research.
Plug-in hybrid vehicles are powered by an electric motor using a battery that is recharged by being plugged in or via an on-board petrol or diesel engine.
They account for 3% of new car sales.
But analysis from pressure groups Transport and Environment and Greenpeace suggest they emit an average of 120g of CO2 per km.
That compares with the 44g per km in official "lab" tests
Plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) are sold as a low-carbon alternative to traditional vehicles and conventional hybrids – which cannot be recharged from an external source – and are proving increasingly popular.
The new research is published as the government considers whether to bring forward a proposed ban on the sale of new petrol, diesel and conventional hybrid cars from 2035 to 2030.
‘Official’ versus ‘real world’
The BBC understands one suggestion is that plug-in hybrids should be given a stay of execution, with new sales allowed to continue until 2035.
That’s because they can offer a 20- to 40-mile range as a purely electric vehicle and are therefore potentially significantly less polluting than other vehicles.
But this new analysis from Transport and Environment and Greenpeace suggests they don’t offer anything like the carbon dioxide savings claimed for them by manufacturers.
The official tests indicate that plug-in hybrids emit an average of 44g per km of CO2. These tests are conducted on a circuit and see vehicles driven in a way that regulators consider "normal".
The real figure, however, according to the report, is more like 120g per km.
The pressure groups have analysed what they say is "real-world" data on fuel efficiency collected from some 20,000 plug-in hybrid drivers around Europe.
These are drivers who have chosen to record their mileage and fuel consumption for surveys or who drive company or leased vehicles whose fuel efficiency is recorded.
According to this data-set the lifetime emissions of a plug-in hybrid average around 28 tonnes of CO2.
By comparison, the average petrol or diesel car is estimated to emit between 39 and 41 tonnes of CO2 from fuel during its lifetime, a conventional hybrid would typically emit more like 33 tonnes.
According to these figures a plug-in hybrid would only deliver an emissions reduction of about a third on a typical petrol or diesel car – far less than the official estimates…
Transport and Environment’s analysis says a key problem with plug-in hybrids is that so many owners rarely actually charge their cars, meaning they rely on the petrol or diesel engine.
Another is that many plug-in hybrid models include design features that automatically turn on the petrol/diesel engine at start-up on a cold day, or will kick in that engine if driver accelerates hard.
The latter mode means that the car’s emissions will depend a lot on the driver’s behaviour.
"If you always charge the battery and tend to do lots of short journeys, they will have very low emissions," says Nick Molden, who runs Emissions Analytics, a company that specialises in vehicle emissions evaluation.
"If you never charge the battery and drive very aggressively then they can have significantly higher emissions than the equivalent petrol or diesel model," he continues.
Anybody with a bit of common sense could have predicted this, and it is nothing to do with manufacturers fiddling tests, as Greenpeace have claimed.
It is obvious that you cannot rely solely on battery power for long on a cold day or drive aggressively.
But what is noteworthy is this comment:
Transport and Environment’s analysis says a key problem with plug-in hybrids is that so many owners rarely actually charge their cars.
This is despite the fact that charging is a much cheaper alternative.
And it begs the question why? It suggests that many drivers are not able to charge up at home, and certainly are not prepared to waste time using public chargers.
via NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT
September 26, 2020 at 12:57PM