“The Worst Is Yet To Come” (Again)–IPCC

By Paul Homewood


It’s worse than we thought, again!



A leaked draft report from the United Nations (UN) includes a stark warning about climate change – ‘the worst is yet to come,’ with droughts, starvation and extreme heat all mooted for the next 30 years.

The report, from the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was set to be released next year, but it was obtained by Agence France-Presse (AFP), which reported on the findings Thursday.

That draft states that prolonged warming even beyond 2.7 degrees Fahrenheit (1.5C) could produce ‘progressively serious, centuries’ long and, in some cases, irreversible consequences.’

These consequences, according to the report, are set to appear by 2050 and will likely cause 130 million people worldwide to face chronic hunger, 350 million to be in drought and expose 420 million more people to extreme and potentially lethal heatwaves.

‘The worst is yet to come, affecting our children’s and grandchildren’s lives much more than our own,’ the report says.

‘Climate change will fundamentally reshape life on Earth in the coming decades, even if humans can tame planet-warming greenhouse gas emissions.’



The report is the AR6, and it has clearly been leaked by the IPCC themselves, in order to ramp up alarm prior to COP26 this year.

The leaks are full of what might happen in future, but plainly there is no evidence that anything untoward is actually happening at the moment. This is of course consistent with previous IPPP reports, which have failed to find any proof that extreme weather is getting worse.

The claims, which are based around an increase in global temperatures of about 0.5C, are in any case utterly absurd.

130 million people facing chronic hunger, for instance. This flies in the face of the official UN data which shows how the prevalence of undernourishment in developing countries has fallen by more than half since the 1970s, and continues to drop despite climate change.




Apparently millions will be riddled with disease as well. But it is a myth that diseases such as malaria are “tropical diseases”, as Our World in Data explain:

Previous prevalence of malaria world map


Mankind has succeeded in suppressing malaria because of three basic reasons:

  • Insecticides
  • Draining of swamps
  • Social & economic development, for instance improvements in housing conditions

They go onto claim that the Great Barrier Reef will perish by 2025. But Dr Peter Ridd has already confirmed that the Reef has completely recovered since the 2016 bleaching event:

The area which was hit by the 2016 bleaching has completely recovered; every area except one has got above average coral cover, some at near-record levels… so actually the statistics make it look wonderful,”

There is the usual nonsense about rising sea levels, which ignores the fact that the seas stubbornly refuse to rise faster than they did a century ago. We are also told to worry that the Greenland ice sheet will soon melt completely, a physical impossibility, even under the projected warming. But they fail to explain that temperatures in Greenland are no higher than they were a century ago, and have been trending downwards for the last decade, never mind the rest of the last 10,000 years, during which time the ice sheet did not melt away.




Another scare is thrown out about the Amazon:

For example, the Amazon Rainforest, where I work, has been suffering badly from bizarre droughts in recent years. These droughts are being triggered by exceptionally warm Atlantic seas that drive rain-bearing winds away from the rainforest—killing hundreds of millions of trees and triggering severe wildfires.

But the IPCC’s last report, AR5, did not mention any of  this at all. As any competent meteorologist knows, rainfall patterns in the Amazon basin are intimately tied into the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) (AR5 – page 220). A warmer Atlantic is associated with drier conditions in the Amazon, but also with a wetter climate in the Sahel. In short, you cannot have your cake and eat it. And as King Canute would have told you, you cannot stop the AMO.

As is always the case, the fraud is exposed with this comment from Professor William Laurance, director of the Centre for Tropical Environmental and Sustainability Sciences (TESS) at James Cook University:




June 26, 2021 at 04:00PM

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