Guest essay by Eric Worrall Back in 1991, Shell Oil released a public documentary video which raised serious concerns about anthropogenic global warming. This hasn’t prevented The Guardian from trying to claim it is all part of the oil industry coverup. ‘Shell knew’: oil giant’s 1991 film warned of climate change danger Public information film […]
Guest Post By Walter Dnes In continuation of my Temperature Anomaly projections, the following are my February projections, as well as last month’s projections for January, to see how well they fared. Data Set Projected Actual Delta HadCRUT4 2017/01 +0.736 HadCRUT4 2017/02 +0.817 (incomplete data) GISS 2017/01 +0.95 +0.92 -0.03 GISS 2017/02 +1.02 UAHv6 2017/01 […]
Japanese Expert: Models Just Cartoon Climate Science
via Current News – Principia Scientific Internationalhttp://principia-scientific.org
As U.S. President Donald Trump works towards deep cuts to federal funding for climate research an independent Japanese professor shows why climate modeling was really junk science all along.
Professor Kyoji Kimoto, an expert in thermodynamics and alternative energy, points to recent evidence to prove a statistical "hoax" in a heated email exchange with a top UN climate modeler, Dr Robert D Cess…
Science behind the video Polar Bear Scare Unmasked – updated paper now available
via polarbearsciencehttps://polarbearscience.com
Announcing the publication today of Version 2of my paper that tests the hypothesis that polar bear population declines result from rapid declines in summer sea ice, updated with recently available data. Version 2 provides the scientific support for the information presented in the GWPF video published yesterday, “Polar Bear Scare Unmasked: The Sage of a Toppled Global Warming Icon” (copied below).
[The graphic above was created by me from the title page and two figures from the paper]
Crockford, S.J. 2017 V2. Testing the hypothesis that routine sea ice coverage of 3-5 mkm2 results in a greater than 30% decline in population size of polar bears (Ursus maritimus). PeerJ Preprints 28 February 2017. Doi: 10.7287/peerj.preprints.2737v2 Open access. http://ift.tt/2llVISp [make sure you select Version 2, noted on title page]
Version 2, published 28 February, incorporates additional reviewer comments and suggestions received on Version 1, as well as the updates noted above.
This paper addresses the basic premise upon which predicted population declines linked to modeled habitat loss made by polar bear specialists back in 2006 and 2008 (by the International Union for the Conservation of Nature, IUCN, and the US Fish and Wildlife Service, USFWS). It concludes that when assessed as a testable hypothesis against data collected since then (and strengthened in Version 2 by the inclusion of population size estimates for Baffin Bay, Kane Basin and the Barents Sea), the hypothesis must be rejected.
Rapid summer sea ice decline ≠ polar bear population decline