Month: March 2017

Ivanka Got Trump To Mention ‘Clean Air And Clean Water’ In His Speech To Congress

Ivanka Got Trump To Mention ‘Clean Air And Clean Water’ In His Speech To Congress

via Climate Change Dispatchhttp://climatechangedispatch.com

Ivanka Trump worked with White House adviser Stephen Miller to include a mention of “clean air and clean water” in President Donald Trump’s speech to Congress Tuesday night, according to a source. A senior administration official told Axios “Ivanka was working with Miller in his office in the afternoon on the speech, including the paragraph […]

via Climate Change Dispatch http://ift.tt/2jXMFWN

March 1, 2017 at 04:49AM

You’ll Soon Need A Boat To Get To Great Yarmouth!–Potty Green Councillor

You’ll Soon Need A Boat To Get To Great Yarmouth!–Potty Green Councillor

via NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAThttps://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com

By Paul Homewood

 

h/t Dave Ward

 

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Regular readers will be aware that the Eastern Daily Press long ago lost all common sense over climate issues. It is of course based in Norwich, home to the University of East Anglia, which might explain a lot!

This is their latest offering:

 

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OK, it was the councillor from the Looby Loo party who uttered these words, but one would have thought the reporter might have taken him to task.

 

For the record, a few miles down the coast at Lowestoft, sea levels have been rising by 2.55mm/yr since 1955.

 

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http://ift.tt/2mFSevP

 

But the rate of rise has actually slowed to 1.27mm since 2001. Roughly half of this is cause by land sinking.

 

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http://ift.tt/2meu0Lz

 

 

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The road and rail links into Great Yarmouth, although close to sea level, survived a 2-meter storm surge in the deadly floods of 1953.

I can’t see five inches of sea level rise in the next century causing too many problems.

 

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Of course, as Dave Ward points out, things looked slightly different in Roman  times!

 

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FOOTNOTE

Sea level data comes from Dave Burton’s excellent new site.

It uses official data from NOAA and PMSML, but Dave has built some excellent tools around it, to provide user friendly graphs etc.

I would thoroughly recommend it for anyone wanting to obtain sea level data.

The site is here:

http://ift.tt/2meAD0K

via NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT http://ift.tt/16C5B6P

March 1, 2017 at 04:45AM

UK ‘must insulate 25 million homes’

UK ‘must insulate 25 million homes’

via NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAThttps://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com

By Paul Homewood

 

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http://ift.tt/2mnGSzB

 

The latest uncritical pap from St Roger of Harrabin:

 

More than one home every minute will need to be refurbished in the UK between now and 2050, experts say.

The authors of a report to Parliament say 25 million existing homes will not meet the insulation standards required by mid-century.

The UK needs to cut carbon emissions by 80% by then – and a third of those emissions come from heating draughty buildings.

The government said it would devise policies as soon as possible.

But critics say ministers have been far too slow to impose a national programme of home renovation which would save on bills and improve people’s health, comfort and happiness. It would also create thousands of jobs.

Successive governments have been criticised for failing to tackle the UK’s poor housing stock – some of the worst in Europe.

 

Local authorities have limited cash to insulate council homes, and landlords and owner-occupiers have proved reluctant to invest large sums in disruptive improvements that will save on bills, but take many years to pay off.

The report from a group of leading construction firms – the Green Building Council – says four out of five homes that will be occupied in 2050 have already been built.

That means 25 million homes need refurbishing to the highest standards by 2050 – at a rate of 1.4 homes every minute.

Who pays?

The authors say this huge challenge also offers an unmissable opportunity under the government’s infrastructure agenda. The fiddly business of insulating roofs, walls and floors creates more jobs and has more benefits than any existing infrastructure priority, they maintain.

The question is how to pay. The government’s Green Deal scheme for owner-occupiers collapsed amid a welter of criticism that interest rates for insulation were too high, and that the insulation itself was too much hassle.

 

The government has failed to produce a replacement solution to stimulate necessary demand for refurbishments amongst owner-occupiers. The Treasury is reluctant to throw public money at improvements that will increase the sale value of private homes.

The report recommends:

  • Setting staged targets for refurbishing buildings
  • Reintroducing the "zero-carbon" standard for buildings from 2020
  • Recognising energy efficiency as a national infrastructure priority
  • Setting long-term trajectories for ratcheting up home energy standards
  • Obliging commercial buildings to display the amount of energy they use.

It says the construction industry needs certainty about what it is expected to deliver, and measurement to discover what is already being built. This should stimulate innovation, it says.

Julie Hirigoyen, head of the GBC, told BBC News there was a great prize to be grasped in upgrading building stock: "People will have warmer homes and lower bills; they will live longer, happier lives; we will be able to address climate change and carbon emissions.

"We will also be creating many thousands of jobs and exporting our best skills in innovation.

"Driving up demand for retro-fitting homes is essential for any policy to be a success – the Green Deal told us just offering financial incentives isn’t necessarily the only solution. We need to make it all easy, attractive and affordable.

"The good thing is that the business community is really starting to recognise the opportunity."

 

New methods

Ms Hirigoyen called for support for innovation amongst builders. The GBC pointed to a firm, q-bot, which insulates people’s floors by sending robots to creep under people’s floorboards and spray them with foam.

The firm’s head, Mathew Holloway, told BBC News: "We have to find new ways of doing things. Normal refurbishment often means literally tearing a home apart.

"That means local authorities having to re-house tenants whilst it’s being done. With our robot, we can seal and insulate wooden floors without hardly touching the inside of the house."

 

Mr Holloway’s start-up business was funded by the EU and the business department BEIS, but industry experts complain that building insulation research has received a tiny fraction of the sums channelled into glamorous renewables.

In the last 25 years, governments have tended to shy away from the issue. The Labour government made a rule that people extending their properties should be obliged to insulate the rest of their home too.

However, the Coalition government dropped the clause after it was labelled a "conservatory tax" in the media, even though it was not a tax and did not refer to conservatories.

The government is currently focused on bringing down bills through fuel switching – but home energy expert Russell Smith said: "Switching saves on average £25 a year. That’s not much help to a person in fuel poverty. The solution is refurbishing homes, but it’s difficult, so politicians keep putting it on the back burner."

Mr Smith is currently refurbishing Ruth Baber’s home in Wimbledon, south London. He says it has added 10% to the £250,000 total cost, which included major extensions, but will save 80% of energy bills and take about 20 years to recoup.

Ms Baber is downsizing into the house and said: "I’m worried about climate change and I look forward to being able to control the heat in my house better. I’ve done it [the insulation programme] for my grandchildren, for the future."

The government’s task is to persuade another 25 million people to follow her lead.

 http://ift.tt/2mnGSzB

 

There are several issues any half objective journalist would have raised:

 

1) The Green Building Council, (and I am totally guessing here!), represents members who stand to make billions out of this scam.

2) The reason why very few people took up the Green Deal or are interested in insulating their homes is very simple – economics.

Any energy savings are minute in relation to the capital cost, and would not even cover the cost of interest.

Our house is pretty average size, and our heating bill would probably come to about £300 pa. Even full insulation would only save a fraction of this.

The idea that this could justify spending £25000 is risible.

3) Even if the savings did stack up, where would the money come from? Householders don’t have it, and neither does the government.

25 million homes at £25000 each adds up to £625 bn.

4) And if government did fund insulation, how could they justify subsidising private property owners?

5) The claim that thousands of jobs would be created is economic illiteracy. Money spent on insulation is money taken away from other purchases.

6) I notice that Harrabin seems keen to reduce energy bills, and quotes savings of £25 a year from shopping around.

Funny how he does not mention the hundreds of pounds being added to bills by renewable subsidies.

 

And for what?

According to DECC statistics for 2015, residential emissions of CO2 accounted for only 16% of total UK emissions. Previous analysis suggested that less than two thirds was for heating.

In other words, even if we could halve that figure, we would still only reduce total emissions by about 5%.

 

I suspect Harrabin will have a long wait if he expects 25 million people to follow dopey Ms Baber’s lead!

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March 1, 2017 at 04:15AM

2 Recent Papers Further Confirm That Natural Cycles Are Indisputable, Powerful Climate Drivers

2 Recent Papers Further Confirm That Natural Cycles Are Indisputable, Powerful Climate Drivers

via NoTricksZonehttp://notrickszone.com

Two recent papers dispelling claims often made by global warming alarmists have been presented by the Die kalte Sonne site. here.
===============================================

No. 1

Insidious preindustrial warm phase: 4000 years ago glaciers in Norway had  almost completely melted away

By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt
(German text translated/edited by P Gosselin)

The University of Bergen in Norway reported 14 February 2017 on the climate in Norway 4000 years ago, when in the summertime it was on average two to three degrees warmer than today. Most glaciers in the country at the time had almost completely melted away and gone. Instead of examining these what for many are unexpected warm phases, the team of authors in the press release chose to focus the public’s attention on concern and fear for the future.

And this time – for sure – the glaciers are never coming back again, even though they did so after the last warm phase. Instead the scientists worry about the hydropower business. No glacier, no hydro-power. What follows is the press release:

Norwegian ice cap ‘exceptionally sensitive’ to climate change

How will future climate change affect our glaciers? By looking into the past 4000 years, a new study lead by Henning Åkesson at the Bjerknes Centre finds an ice cap in southern Norway to be ‘exceptionally sensitive’ to climate change.

Blåisen - del av Hardangerjøkulen. foto: Atle Nesje

Hardangerjøkulen is over 300 m thick, but has a flat topography an is vulnerable for rising temperatures. Photo: Atle Nesje, 2015

The team of researchers from the Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, the Netherlands and the US took a glance into the past to understand how the ice cap Hardangerjøkulen in southern Norway responds to climate change. The authors simulated the history of the ice cap over the last 4000 years, from a period called the mid-Holocene, when summer temperature at high northern latitudes were two to three degrees warmer than today. Most if not all glaciers in Norway melted away during this period, Hardangerjøkulen included.

Henning Åkesson, a PhD candidate at the Bjerknes Centre and University of Bergen, used a glacier computer model developed at NASA-Jet Propulsion Laboratory and University of California, Irvine to simulate Hardangerjøkulen’s history. To inform model simulations, he used information on past climates and glacier variations from lake sediments receiving meltwater from the ice cap.

Contest between snow and snowmelt

“Present day Hardangerjøkulen is in a very vulnerable state, and our study of its history over the last several thousand years shows that the ice cap may change drastically in response to relatively minor changes in climate conditions”, says Åkesson. Every year, snow covers a glacier in winter, and melts away to a varying extent the following summer. At a certain altitude on the glacier, the competition between snow accumulation and snowmelt is balanced; glaciologists call this the Equilibrium Line Altitude (ELA). “What is special with Hardangerjøkulen and other similar ice caps”, Åkesson explains, “is their flat topography. Anyone skiing up Hardangerjøkulen to celebrate Norway’s national day on May 17th can testify; first it’s steep, but once you’re higher up things get a lot easier.”

A large part of Hardangerjøkulen’s area is close to the present ELA. This means that a small change in the competition between winter snow and summer melt will affect a very large part of the ice cap. Åkesson says “the topography and present climate is such that we soon expect yearly net melt over the entire ice cap. This has already happened a few times in recent years. In the near future we expect this to occur much more often, and with this, the demise of Hardangerjøkulen will accelerate.”  “Today the ice is more than 300 m thick at places, which may sound like a lot. But the implication of our study is that if climate warming continues, this ice cap may disappear before the end of this century. I don’t think most people realize how fast glaciers can change, maybe not even us as scientists,” says Åkesson.

Hydropower from glacier meltwater

“The economic and cultural implications of disappearing glaciers in Norway are considerable for tourism, natural heritage and the hydropower industry”, Kerim Hestnes Nisancioglu at the Bjerknes Centre, co-author of the study, adds. Practically all of Norway’s electricity is generated from hydropower, of which 15 % depend on glacier meltwater. “The hydropower industry needs to plan for these changes, and we need to work together to find out how fast this transition will happen”, Nisancioglu says. What is more, “if Hardangerjøkulen melts away completely, it would not be able to grow back again given today’s climate”, Åkesson concludes. The study was published in the open-access journal The Cryosphere on January 27th. Read the full study here.

Reference: Åkesson, H., Nisancioglu, K. H., Giesen, R. H., and Morlighem, M.: Simulating the evolution of Hardangerjøkulen ice cap in southern Norway since the mid-Holocene and its sensitivity to climate change, The Cryosphere, 11, 281-302, doi:10.5194/tc-11-281-2017, 2017

No. 2

What happened on the sun 7000 years ago?

By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt

(German text translated/edited by P Gosselin)

At the end of January 2017 a team of scientists led by Fusa Miyake described in PNAS an unexpected solar event on the sun that ended up being registered in 7000 year old tree rings. What follows is the press release from Nagoya University:

What Happened to the Sun over 7,000 Years Ago? Analysis of tree rings reveals highly abnormal solar activity in the mid-Holocene

An international team led by researchers at Nagoya University, along with US and Swiss colleagues, has identified a new type of solar event and dated it to the year 5480 BC; they did this by measuring carbon-14 levels in tree rings, which reflect the effects of cosmic radiation on the atmosphere at the time. They have also proposed causes of this event, thereby extending knowledge of how the sun behaves.

When the activity of the sun changes, it has direct effects on the earth. For example, when the sun is relatively inactive, the amount of a type of carbon called carbon-14 increases in the earth’s atmosphere. Because carbon in the air is absorbed by trees, carbon-14 levels in tree rings actually reflect solar activity and unusual solar events in the past. The team took advantage of such a phenomenon by analyzing a specimen from a bristlecone pine tree, a species that can live for thousands of years, to look back deep into the history of the sun.

“We measured the 14C levels in the pine sample at three different laboratories in Japan, the US, and Switzerland, to ensure the reliability of our results,” A. J. Timothy Jull of the University of Arizona says. “We found a change in 14C that was more abrupt than any found previously, except for cosmic ray events in AD 775 and AD 994, and our use of annual data rather than data for each decade allowed us to pinpoint exactly when this occurred.”

The team attempted to develop an explanation for the anomalous solar activity data by comparing the features of the 14C change with those of other solar events known to have occurred over the last couple of millennia. “Although this newly discovered event is more dramatic than others found to date, comparisons of the 14C data among them can help us to work out what happened to the sun at this time,” Fusa Miyake of Nagoya University says. She adds, “We think that a change in the magnetic activity of the sun along with a series of strong solar bursts, or a very weak sun, may have caused the unusual tree ring data.” Although the poor understanding of the mechanisms behind unusual solar activity has hampered efforts to definitively explain the team’s findings, they hope that additional studies, such as telescopic findings of flares given off by other sun-like stars, could lead to an accurate explanation.

The article “Large 14C excursion in 5480 BC indicates an abnormal sun in the mid-Holocene” was published in PNAS at: http://ift.tt/2ljsx70.”

Could this solar event also have left climatic traces?

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March 1, 2017 at 03:17AM