Analysis Of CET Winter Temperatures

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By Paul Homewood

 

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It is widely accepted that winters are becoming milder in the UK on average. But averages can often be misleading, so what does this actually mean?

In a post last week, I analysed CET daily mean temperatures for February, looking at the highest and lowest daily temperatures in each year:

 

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As I commented, the peaks are not getting higher, for either the daily high or daily low bands. In other words, we are not experiencing temperatures for either that we have not had many times in the past.

But what is readily apparent is that in the last couple of decades there has been a marked absence of really cold weather.

I have now extended the analysis for December and January, and we find a very similar pattern:

 

 

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December 2015 stands out as unusually warm, with both the highest and lowest daily mean temperatures above anything else on record. Readers may recall that this was the month of storms from the Atlantic!

But apart from that year, as with February, the bands are not going up. And again, we find the same with January too.

As with February, there is an almost total absence of really cold spells of weather, with the exception of December 2010.

Put another way, we are not experiencing “warmer weather”, but just more of it.

If we did a similar analysis for, say, London and Glasgow, we should expect to see consistently higher daily highs and lows for London, as the climate is warmer, being further south.

In the same way, if the UK climate really was growing warmer, should we not see the same pattern?

 

Does any of this actually matter?

Well, on a simplistic level, I think most people would agree that it is a good thing to have less, extreme cold weather.

But on a deeper level, what we are seeing is a weather phenomenon, and not a climate one. (Yes, I know that “climate” is the summation of many years of “weather”).

Just because we have not had much really cold weather recently does not mean that we won’t get more in future.

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April 5, 2017 at 07:00AM

Powerful Headwinds For Wind Energy…”If Milk Were Subsidized As Much”, It Would Cost $50/Gallon!

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Germany’s online it.times.de here writes that wind turbine manufacturer Nordex has seen sales begin to drop off for the first time, signaling that the country’s days of growth in the wind industry are likely over: “Growth phase of wind turbine producers are over?”

After years of steady growth at Nordex, sales over the first quarter of 2017 have fallen compared to a year earlier, the site reports. Market analysts expect takeovers to occur as the industry consolidates under the harsher market conditions.

it.times.de writes:

Also on the results side things are not running so well for Nordex S.E.. Both the operative Cash-Flow and the Free Cash-Flow have not been able to keep up with the sales growth of the company.”

Nordex S.E. OCF margins have been falling for two years, and are now well under 5%.

Milk for 50 dollars a gallon!

Meanwhile subsidies for wind and solar energy have increasingly come under fire with one wind protest group director, who recently blasted their extravagance.

According to the kreisbote.de here, Reinhold Faulhaber, Chairman of nature protection group Initiative Landschaftsschutz Kempter Wald and Allgäu e.V. (ILKA), demanded an end to the crazy subsidies for wind turbines at a membership meeting, saying that they do not lead to any CO2 savings, damage nature and that they are horrifically expensive:

If the milk business were subsidized like wind turbines are by the EEG feed-in act, our farmers would be getting 11.30 euros for every liter!“

That translates to near 50 US dollars a gallon – for the farmer! Imagine the retail price.

This illustrates just how out of whack the whole renewable energy movement has become. Economic sense has long been thrown overboard.

 

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April 5, 2017 at 06:31AM

North Dakota Taxpayers On The Hook For $40 Million Because Of Pipeline Protests

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Protests at the Dakota Access Pipeline earlier this year cost North Dakota taxpayers nearly $40 million, and resulted in more than 700 arrests. Taxpayers must pony up $38 million to repair damage anti-DAPL activists caused during nearly a year of protesting the multi-billion dollar oil project, according to reports conducted by state officials. Many of the hundreds […]

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April 5, 2017 at 05:37AM

Trump Wiped Out $14 Billion In Energy Regulations With The Stroke Of A Pen

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President Donald Trump targeted $14 billion worth of regulations for review when he signed an executive order to promote energy independence in late March, according to a new report. “Deregulation on this scale, more than $14 billion in just one presidential directive, is unseen since the early days of the Reagan Administration,” wrote Sam Batkins, the […]

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April 5, 2017 at 05:37AM