Month: May 2017

Surprising: NASA’s Global visualization in 3D of Carbon Dioxide in Earth’s Atmosphere

Surprising: NASA’s Global visualization in 3D of Carbon Dioxide in Earth’s Atmosphere

via Watts Up With That?
http://ift.tt/1Viafi3

From NASA Goddard via the OCO-2 Satellite

Carbon dioxide is the most important greenhouse gas released to the atmosphere through human activities. It is also influenced by natural exchange with the land and ocean. This visualization provides a high-resolution, three-dimensional view of global atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations from September 1, 2014 to August 31, 2015. The visualization was created using output from the GEOS modeling system, developed and maintained by scientists at NASA. The height of Earth’s atmosphere and topography have been vertically exaggerated and appear approximately 400 times higher than normal to show the complexity of the atmospheric flow. Measurements of carbon dioxide from NASA’s second Orbiting Carbon Observatory (OCO-2) spacecraft are incorporated into the model every 6 hours to update, or “correct,” the model results, called data assimilation.

As the visualization shows, carbon dioxide in the atmosphere can be mixed and transported by winds in the blink of an eye. For several decades, scientists have measured carbon dioxide at remote surface locations and occasionally from aircraft. The OCO-2 mission represents an important advance in the ability to observe atmospheric carbon dioxide. OCO-2 collects high-precision, total column measurements of carbon dioxide (from the sensor to Earth’s surface) during daylight conditions. While surface, aircraft, and satellite observations all provide valuable information about carbon dioxide, these measurements do not tell us the amount of carbon dioxide at specific heights throughout the atmosphere or how it is moving across countries and continents. Numerical modeling and data assimilation capabilities allow scientists to combine different types of measurements (e.g., carbon dioxide and wind measurements) from various sources (e.g., satellites, aircraft, and ground-based observation sites) to study how carbon dioxide behaves in the atmosphere and how mountains and weather patterns influence the flow of atmospheric carbon dioxide. Scientists can also use model results to understand and predict where carbon dioxide is being emitted and removed from the atmosphere and how much is from natural processes and human activities.

Carbon dioxide variations are largely controlled by fossil fuel emissions and seasonal fluxes of carbon between the atmosphere and land biosphere.

For example, dark red and orange shades represent regions where carbon dioxide concentrations are enhanced by carbon sources. During Northern Hemisphere fall and winter, when trees and plants begin to lose their leaves and decay, carbon dioxide is released in the atmosphere, mixing with emissions from human sources. This, combined with fewer trees and plants removing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, allows concentrations to climb all winter, reaching a peak by early spring. During Northern Hemisphere spring and summer months, plants absorb a substantial amount of carbon dioxide through photosynthesis, thus removing it from the atmosphere and change the color to blue (low carbon dioxide concentrations). This three-dimensional view also shows the impact of fires in South America and Africa, which occur with a regular seasonal cycle. Carbon dioxide from fires can be transported over large distances, but the path is strongly influenced by large mountain ranges like the Andes. Near the top of the atmosphere, the blue color indicates air that last touched the Earth more than a year before. In this part of the atmosphere, called the stratosphere, carbon dioxide concentrations are lower because they haven’t been influenced by recent increases in emissions.


Joseph Fournier writes on Facebook of the surprising thing he’s found:

I have quantified the average ‘lag’ between the seasonally detrended monthly rate of CO2 concentration change at both the South Pole and at Mauna Loa and there is virtually ZERO LAG as indicated by the symmetric function around the y-axis. The second curve is the ‘lag’ in the number of months between when the Pacific Trade Winds decelerate and when the seasonally detrended monthly rate of change in the tropospheric CO2 concentration as measured at the South Pole station reaches its maximum growth rate. This model ignores empirical data as it shows that all the CO2 emissions are in the North Hemisphere and yet monitoring stations in both hemispheres suggest a common area source in the tropics.

This is what the emission intensity vs latitude distribution looks like:

 

via Watts Up With That? http://ift.tt/1Viafi3

May 12, 2017 at 07:51AM

Green Party Manifesto To Return Britain To The Middle Ages

Green Party Manifesto To Return Britain To The Middle Ages

via NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT
http://ift.tt/16C5B6P

By Paul Homewood

 

h/t Joe Public

 

image

image

image

http://ift.tt/2pnnp3X 

 

Election time!

From the hints we’ve seen, all parties’ manifestos are pretty depressing when it comes to climate change, with the honourable exception of UKIP.

But I doubt whether any will be as depressingly moronic as the Green Party’s.

 

 

 

1) Ending the monopoly of the big six.

What monopoly?

At the last count, according to OFGEM, there were over 140 suppliers of electricity.

With price comparison sites, such as Uswitch, the UK’s energy market is probably the most competitive in the world.

 

 

2) We will stand alongside those countries across the world fighting for climate justice….

Well, we know all about that, don’t we!

image

 

 

3) Meeting our domestic and international obligations.

Has nobody told the dopes at Green Party HQ that the UK has just signed up to the Paris Agreement and is the only country in the world to legislate for suicidal decarbonisation targets?

Heaven help us all if these aren’t enough.

 

 

 

4) Keep fossil fuels in the ground:

 

image

 

Hard to know where to start with this drivel.

 

a) Last year, fossil fuels supplied 82% of the UK’s energy consumption, according to DECC.

In addition, nuclear, which they also want to drop, added an extra 8%.

How do they intend to replace these?

 

b) £6bn subsidies?

As has been well established, there are no such subsidies. On the contrary, prior to the collapse in oil prices, taxes on North Sea oil  brought in billions every year. According to the BBC, , the Treasury raised £11bn four years ago.

Even now, the OBR is forecasting tax receipts of £7bn in the next five years.

 

c) Divest public funds.

If this was followed through on any large scale, it would force a drop in the share price of oil companies, and thus lose money for public funds.

 

d) A just transition for communities dependent on fossil fuel jobs.

Try telling that to North Sea oil workers in Aberdeen, oil refinery workers up and down the country, or owners of petrol stations.

 

 

 

5) End the effective ban on onshore wind.

What ban? The Government has simply withdrawn subsidies.

The manifesto gives the game away when it calls for “new support for onshore wind and solar”, in other words more subsidies.

So much for the households and businesses they claim to care about.

As for the significant investment in offshore wind and electric vehicles, read another huge bill for taxpayers.

 

 

6) Create a new Green Investment Centre

Ditto.

More billions of borrowing that will eventually have to be paid back by future taxpayers

 

 

7) Nuclear Power

image

 

There is zero evidence that a flexible grid can offer any energy security whatsoever. The only reckless gamble would be to scrap nuclear power and fossil fuels.

Given that nuclear power provides 77% of French electricity, the Green Party’s enthusiasm for interconnection to Europe seems a tad hypocritical to say the least!

 

8) Progressive energy tariffs

They want to charge small consumers less per unit.

Perhaps they might like to tell which of us will, by necessity be forced to pay more?

 

9) A national programme of insulation

Insulating the nine million homes, which they call for, would cost £9bn, even at a conservative grand each.

Interestingly they claim that this will create hundreds of thousands of jobs. If we then assume the mid point of 500,000, and a salary of £30000, the annual cost would be £15bn. Materials of course would be on top.

It all sounds like Diane Abbott economics to me!

 

 

10) Democratise energy ownership

I assume this means giving windmills the vote!

 

 

 

In 1992, the Sun famously asked the last person to leave Britain to turn out the lights, if Neil Kinnock won the election.

 

 

If the Green Party were to win, the last person would have to blow out the candle!

via NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT http://ift.tt/16C5B6P

May 12, 2017 at 07:24AM

You’re Calling Me “Anti Science?”

You’re Calling Me “Anti Science?”

via Climate Change Dispatch
http://ift.tt/2jXMFWN

One of the main accusations launched by climate activists is that anyone arguing against man-made global warming is “anti-science.” They tell us that the science is “settled,” and that anyone who objects is ignoring a blindingly obvious set of facts. But what to do about someone like me? I’m in hearty agreement that the global […]

via Climate Change Dispatch http://ift.tt/2jXMFWN

May 12, 2017 at 06:12AM

Scientists discover an extra 5 million square kilometers of forest , just like that.

Scientists discover an extra 5 million square kilometers of forest , just like that.

via JoNova
http://ift.tt/1hXVl6V

Scientists apparently can’t predict where forests are right now, but weather patterns one hundred years from now, no problem. It’s nearly 60 years since the first satellite was launched, and we are still figuring out basic stuff down here on the surface — like which bits are forest.

People are willing to set up a two trillion dollar global market to trade carbon, but their carbon models are so primitive that giant “oops” moments are still happening on a regular basis. In 2014 Indian accountants discovered they’d missed nearly half the carbon given off from their lakes and rivers. In 2015, an accounting error reduced China’s emissions by twice Australia’s output. Then later that year Yale guys found 2.6 trillion trees. Blame global warming. Forests are appearing everywhere. Trees are even growing on farms capturing 0.75 gigaton of carbon that no one noticed til last year.

Billions of dollars of carbon credits are winking in and out of existence with every scientific study. Bank that botany! A single paper could change national GDP.

How did they find 5 million square kilometers of trees? They stopped assuming that satellite photos would be enough and they did a field survey instead. They […]

Rating: 0.0/10 (0 votes cast)

via JoNova http://ift.tt/1hXVl6V

May 12, 2017 at 04:56AM