Month: May 2017

Opec ‘not concerned’ by Trump’s proposal to sell US strategic petroleum reserves

Opec ‘not concerned’ by Trump’s proposal to sell US strategic petroleum reserves

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Credit: ktuu.com

Holding vast stockpiles does seem outdated when you can produce your own at an increasingly rapid rate, thanks to new discoveries and modern techniques like fracking.

US President Donald Trump’s 2018 budgetary proposals, currently before Congress, have irked many and tucked in the fine print is an outrageous (says the IB Times) plan to sell over 50% or 687m barrels of the country’s government-owned strategic petroleum reserves (SPR), stockpiled in the states of Texas and Louisiana as an emergency measure.

The SPR was created by the US government following the 1973 oil crisis, which saw several Middle Eastern Opec members impose an oil embargo following Washington’s backing of Israel in the Yom Kippur War.

Unconcerned by current geopolitics, the Trump administration says the sale could generate $16bn for US taxpayers over the next 10 years.


At a time when the oil market is grappling with supply and demand imbalances, with Opec and 10 non-Opec countries opting to extend their production cuts, the impact of such a sale could be felt.

However, several Opec delegates, departing Vienna, Austria – from the recently concluded ministers’ meeting – told IBTimes UK they are “unconcerned.”

A Kuwaiti source said the sale was a “matter for the US government, while Opec’s task over the next 9 months would be to address the inventory overhang” and bring it down a 5-year average of 2.7bn barrels, from a current level of around 3bn barrels.

A member of Iraq’s delegation privately expressed scepticism whether the proposal would even pass Congress in its current format. “We believe it is being proposed as part of wider budgetary proposals which would be susceptible to amendments and is not something we are concerned about,” said the delegate.

Continued here.

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May 26, 2017 at 01:12AM

Honouring IIAWAM: ‘The video game that fights Islamophobia’

Honouring IIAWAM: ‘The video game that fights Islamophobia’

via Climate Scepticism
https://cliscep.com

  International Islamophobia Awareness Week Awareness Month is never long enough, is it? *sigh* Anyway, we hope today’s article—courtesy of the SMH—gives you some closure by culminating IIAWAM on an up-beat. Your temporal and cognitive Prince, Scepticus III First of my Name Pontificator Maximus Dictator of Climate Doctrine to all free-thinking peoples And King of … Continue reading Honouring IIAWAM: ‘The video game that fights Islamophobia’

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May 26, 2017 at 12:49AM

Shell’s Uriah Heep

Shell’s Uriah Heep

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By Paul Homewood

h/t Patsy Lacey

image

http://ift.tt/2qSbN8B

 

From the headline, you might have thought that Shell had grown some balls. Unfortunately, as Jillian Ambrose reports, it is mostly the same old:

Royal Dutch Shell has convincingly defeated a climate activist uprising after facing down one of its most bitter stand-offs with shareholders over its climate goals.

Around 94pc of shareholders voted down a special resolution calling for the oil giant to set and publish annual targets to reduce carbon emissions at its AGM in the Hague on Tuesday. The board also survived a vote on executive pay which was backed by 93pc of shareholders.

But anger over the group’s focus on fossil fuels dominated the meeting, underlining the mounting pressure facing oil majors to address public concern.

Shell boss Ben Van Beurden used much of his opening address to assure shareholders that it is taking action to reduce its carbon intensity.

“I thought I’d better address these issues upfront,” he said. Mr Van Beurden and Shell’s chairman Charles Holliday then went on to field a deluge of shareholder questions over the role the company will play in adhering to the Paris Climate agreement.

“I would like to stress that we get it. We understand what needs to happen. We understand the role we need to play,” Mr Van Beurden said.

Mr Holliday added that the board will be taking account of fresh forecasts which predict a boom in electric vehicles that threatens to throw oil demand projections into disarray and leave high-cost oil assets stranded.

Shell V-Power

Mr Van Beurden pledged to slash carbon intensity in half by 2025 by  increasing its offerings of lower carbon fuels. In addition, half its retail profits will come from  “anything but fuel” as Shell transforms its service stations to become "retail destinations".

He also outlined plans to pursue advanced biofuels, hydrogen fuels as well as opportunities in renewable power and electric vehicle charging.

But he was clear that Shell would not pursue low carbon projects which “do not closely fit” with its core competencies.

“I hope you respect and understand that every part of the economy needs to play to its strengths,” he said.

Instead he called on Governments to push for clear carbon pricing policies and support for carbon capture and storage technologies, which can dramatically reduce carbon emissions from thermal power plants.

Shell’s 2016 takeover of liquefied natural gas (LNG) leader BG Group is part of its strategy to shift away from oil towards gas, which has roughly half the carbon intensity.

The embattled oil boss rubbished shareholder concern that renewable energy sources may “leapfrog” gas in the transition to a low carbon power system.

He said gas will still be used “decades in the future”. Demand for gas is increasing at double the rate of oil , and demand for LNG is growing at double the rate of pipeline gas, he said.

“The energy system by the end of the century will still need gas,” he said.

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Instead of all of this apologetic, Uriah Heep nonsense, why did not Van Beurden point out that:

  • Fossil fuels have been responsible for a transformation in living standards, pulling whole populations out of grinding poverty.
  • Developing countries now want access to the same advantages that the West has had.
  • North Sea oil has generated hundreds of billions in revenue for the government.
  • Vehicle duty in Britain collects close to another £30bn annually.
  • Whatever effect oil has had on global climate has without doubt been a beneficial one.
  • Shell itself only accounts for a small proportion of oil production, less than 2% of global output.
  • World production of oil is dominated by the US, Russia and Middle East, which account for 58%. It is ridiculous to think that Shell can have any measurable effect on CO2 emissions, and even less so on climate.
  • If Shell, along with the likes of BP, were to stop all further exploration and wind down existing fields, the price of oil would quickly spike, leading to worldwide economic recession.
  • Worse still, if such a strategy was widely adopted, it would not take long for whole economies to collapse, making the Great Depression of the 1930s look like a tea party.

In a way, I can understand why oil companies feel brow beaten, attacked on all sides by corrupt climate scientists, the green blob, anti capitalists, big government and the hangers on in the media.

But if companies like Shell can’t stand up for themselves and the rest of us, who will?

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May 25, 2017 at 10:18PM

Trappist-1: seven-planet resonance chain confirmed

Trappist-1: seven-planet resonance chain confirmed

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Much media attention on this new paper this week. Is there a surprise lurking in the details now that the orbit period of the seventh planet has been confirmed?.

What the numbers in the diagram show is the orbits per planet in a fixed period (top row), the conjunctions per planet pair in the same period (second row), and the ratios that represents (third row).

The number of conjunctions of any two planets is the difference between the two orbit numbers in a given period, which in this case is equivalent to just under 1446 Earth days (see data below).

Apart from the obvious symmetry of the ratios, something else arose from the science paper.


It says the time taken for one rotation of the star (Trappist-1) is 3.3 days +/- 0.014 days.

Noting that the orbit numbers shown all end in 7 (77, 117 etc.) leads to a conjecture: could the number of solar rotations (sr) in the period be 437?

77 * 18.77 = 1445.29
1445.29 days / 437 sr = 3.3073 days
3.3073 – 3.3 = 0.0073 days (within the quoted margin of error from the paper)

If true: 437sr – 77h = 360 = number of b-c conjunctions in the period.
That would suggest a direct solar-planetary link in this system.

Bear in mind that all seven planets are very close to their star – much closer even than Mercury is to our Sun.

See also this recent Talkshop post.

Data from Exoplanets.eu

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May 25, 2017 at 09:43PM