Category: Uncategorized

The Paris Treaty is Dead

The Paris Treaty is Dead

via Scottish Sceptic
http://ift.tt/1wv5Sjx

One of the great debates amongst sceptics these days is whether Donald Trump can unilaterally withdraw from the climate “treaty” … because without ratification it’s not binding on the next president. However, as always we “do it by the book” … Continue reading →

via Scottish Sceptic http://ift.tt/1wv5Sjx

March 18, 2017 at 10:10PM

Low Oil Prices Prove How Wrong Obama Was On Energy

Low Oil Prices Prove How Wrong Obama Was On Energy

via The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF)
http://www.thegwpf.com

With oil prices struggling to rebound after hitting a three-month low last week, Americans are getting yet another reminder of just how wrong President Barack Obama was about drilling.

“The American people aren’t stupid,” he said back in 2012 — when the price of oil was above $100 a barrel and gas was $3.50-plus a gallon at the pump. They know “we can’t just drill our way to lower gas prices.”

Image result for Obama drilling gwpf

Well, he was right about one thing: Americans aren’t stupid. They wisely ignored him and drilled anyway. Guess what? Supplies rose and drove down prices. They haven’t come back since.

Hug a fracker for that welcome turn of events: US oil output from shale has soared over the past decade, thanks to new fracking and horizontal-drilling technology that has lowered production costs and made shale-oil extraction economical.

(And blame Gov. Cuomo for banning New Yorkers from taking part in the fracking boom.)

The new reserves have disrupted the global oil market: While OPEC countries and Russia agreed last November to cut production by nearly 1.8 million barrels a day to run down inventory gluts, US output has grown: Drillers here have added oil rigs for the past eight straight weeks.

The US supplies have kept world crude prices low — oil has been bouncing around just above the $50-a-barrel mark; gas, just below $2.50 a gallon — despite the cuts in output by OPEC and Russia.

Indeed, those countries are now rethinking their production caps to hang on to their market share.

But whether it’s America, OPEC or Russia that keeps the black stuff flowing, crude and gas-pump prices don’t seem headed up much anytime soon. That’s a godsend for consumers, as well as businesses and workers.

No, there are no guarantees: If the global economy heats up and supplies can’t keep pace, prices will rise. But with all the new US drilling, America is now better poised to meet new demand and keep those prices in check.

Full editorial

via The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF) http://www.thegwpf.com

March 18, 2017 at 09:50PM

America’s Shale Gas Selling at Record Prices to Overseas Buyers

America’s Shale Gas Selling at Record Prices to Overseas Buyers

via The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF)
http://www.thegwpf.com

A year after Cheniere Energy Inc.’s Louisiana terminal shipped the first exports of U.S. natural gas from shale, cargoes from the facility are fetching higher prices than ever.

The export price of liquefied gas from Sabine Pass rose as high as $7.52 per million British thermal units in January, topping last year’s high of $6.21, according to an Energy Department report Friday. Fifteen tankers sailed from the terminal that month and in February, the most since commissioning began at the facility last year.

Abundant gas supplies from America’s shale basins have sailed from Sabine Pass to more than a dozen countries from Mexico to China, putting the U.S. on the path to becoming a net exporter of the fuel next year. Houston-based Cheniere swung to a profit for the first time since 2010 in the fourth quarter.

Sabine Pass has “ramped up faster than expected, so it seems like a pretty successful launch into commercial operation” that’s being reflected in the export volumes, Jason Feer, head of business intelligence at ship broker Poten & Partners in Houston, said by phone Friday. “The prices have been fairly strong. For Cheniere Marketing that’s been good to see.”

Full post

via The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF) http://www.thegwpf.com

March 18, 2017 at 09:20PM

UK Energy Sector Facing Crisis As Natural Resources Diminish

UK Energy Sector Facing Crisis As Natural Resources Diminish

via The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF)
http://www.thegwpf.com

The future looks promising, but energy security will be a real challenge, according to experts who gathered on TynesideE

University’s Prof Jon Gluyas, an expert in geo-thermal power and fossil fuels, chaired the Great Energy Debate and highlighted how the UK fortunately has ‘abundant natural energy reserves’.

The panel at The Great Energy Debate

The panel at The Great Energy Debate (Photo: The Great Energy Debate)

But he quickly shifted tack to point out how these resources are diminishing and, as a result the UK is now facing an energy crisis.

He said: “We have the resources but they are in decline for a number of reasons. Coal production has declined significantly, our light oil reserves are in decline, we are at a pinch point for gas and we are not capable of storing renewables.

“This makes us extremely vulnerable for the first time in generations, and, along with this, the green agenda is failing. We have lots of initiatives but we are not making much impact on emissions to the atmosphere.

“For the first time the UK is facing a pinch on energy security – the future looks promising, but over the next few years energy security will be a real challenge.”

The Great Energy Debate was the highlight of the programme at the seventh annual NOF Energy National Conference and Exhibition, Energy: A Balanced Future.

Durham-based NOF Energy, which now works across most energy sectors, has its roots in the North Sea oil and gas industry from which it grew over a quarter of a century ago.

Consequently, many of the 400 delegates at the conference at the Sage Gateshead were cheered by a presentation from one of the world’s leading oil and gas consultancies Rystad Energy.

Mark MacLean, senior vice president and UK head, concluded his address by predicting a rise in the oil price, and an increase in the number of offshore projects.

He said: “Some say we have reached peak oil demand, but oil demand has never been as high since the 1970s. I cannot see that changing for some time and, as a result, we expect to see an increase in the oil price over the next few years.”

He began his address by reflecting on the period since the 2104 oil price crash. He said the cycle had followed a familiar path; from over production, to a cut in spending and an accelerated decline in infield drilling.

He said the decline in conventional oil projects has been at ‘unprecedented levels’ and said that in relation to predicted demand this is an ‘unsustainable course’.

“The conventional oil projects – the baseload of the oil and gas market – take three to six years and we needed to start building now for the next cycle.

“Up to now there has been no significant rebound, but 2017 is a transition point and we are seeing more new projects being sanctioned.

“We had reached the lowest point since 1950, when only 10 projects were approved, but we expect to see 30 to 35 approved and this is setting up the stage for a new oil cycle.”

While acknowledging the growth of renewables such as solar and wind he said they account to 3% of global supply and said it would be ‘another 20 to 30 years before renewables would result in a significant impact on oil demand’.

Richard Aukland, director of research at 4C Offshore, highlighted the growth of offshore wind which is expected to reach a global capacity of 25GW by 2020 – almost double today’s level.

He said improving technology had seen load factors (the amount of time power is being produced) increase from 30% to 45%.

He went on to say that better offshore sites and the clustering of developments was helping with significant cost reductions.

Tom Greatrex, chief executive the Nuclear Industry Association, believes there is no single bullet to achieve the country’s climate change targets.

“We are nowhere near achieving the targets set out by the Paris Climate Agreement, to do that we will have to rid ourselves of coal by 2025.

“By 2030 only one of our nuclear plants will still be operating, so we have a lot to do in a short space of time.”

He highlighted the employment opportunities and economic benefits of developing low-carbon energy.

“People talk about the trilemma (energy security, costs and cutting carbon emissions), but we should really consider it as a ‘quadrilemma’ where we also factor in the economic opportunity from the new jobs and skills that can be created in the UK and the North East.”

Ken Cronin, chief executive of the UK Onshore Operators Group (UKOOG), said most people do not understand where our energy comes from.

“As a society we have moved away from our physical relationship with energy – when we used to carry buckets of coal from the coal shed – to the new plug and play reality of the digital world.”

He said that by 2030 we will be importing 80% of our gas and he believes we should doing more to harness our indigenous resources, such as shale gas.

He said: “Two-thirds of the public support fracking for our own gas, rather than relying on imported gas.”

This year, he said, will be a big year for the UK shale gas industry with exploration wells set to be drilled in Yorkshire, Lancashire and Nottinghamshire.

He said the industry could create over 60,000 jobs with opportunities for the supply chain in sand, cement, drilling and transport, while the market for rigs could be worth £2bn.

Full story

via The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF) http://www.thegwpf.com

March 18, 2017 at 08:50PM