Category: Uncategorized

Trump Should Keep Promise, Withdraw U.S. from Paris Climate Treaty

Trump Should Keep Promise, Withdraw U.S. from Paris Climate Treaty

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Guest essay by Christopher C. Horner

President Trump should keep his campaign promise and rescind or otherwise withdraw the United States from President Obama’s purported commitment to the Paris climate pact, made in September 2016 on his way out the door. There are several ways of doing so, but the plainly superior option is to extricate the United States from the UN-orchestrated world of climate diplomacy entirely. The dishonest, unconstitutional process in which the Paris agreement has been advanced demonstrates why.

First of all, no reasonable negotiating party should have credited the legitimacy of the last-minute acceptance of Paris in the first place. President Obama moved forward with the agreement despite an unprecedented Supreme Court stay of the rules, known as the Clean Power Plan, that were to serve as the U.S.’s principal means of compliance. As all parties were aware, the stay in West Virginia, et al. v. EPA showed that the rules faced a substantial likelihood of being struck down as unlawful.

Other factors arguing against the Paris agreement’s legitimacy include the express objective of its advocates to deliberately circumvent Congress by simply claiming that it isn’t a treaty. This despite the fact that all parties were aware that the Constitution’s Article II, Section 2, Clause 2 “advise and consent” requirement covers all international commitments meeting certain tests, developed over two centuries of custom and practice. The Paris agreement is clearly a treaty by any reasonable definition, and was ratified as such by most parties. The White House even went so far as to call it “the most ambitious climate change agreement in history.” Surely an agreement that is more ambitious than any preceding climate treaty (e.g., the Kyoto Protocol) is itself serious enough to be considered a treaty.

Allowing the executive branch to usurp the Senate’s shared role in our constitutional treaty process for treaties that cannot survive that deliberately rigorous test sets a dangerous precedent. That any such pending deal cannot pass muster under our ratification process is not an argument to ignore that process, as Obama’s Secretary of State implied, but to vigilantly protect it.

Add to this the costs of Paris’s enormous wealth transfers and economic cost from imposing less efficient, more expensive energy, and it is clear why the Obama administration and its negotiating partners resolved to keep the peoples’ elected representatives out of the equation. That does not mean they are entitled to the final word.

Initiatives pursued by any White House through a unilateral “pen-and-phone” strategy are subject to reversal by a subsequent president using the same techniques. Thus, for President Trump to effectively extricate the U.S. from the expectations of implementing the Paris treaty, the only real option is to withdraw the United States as a party to the 1992 United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC).

The Framework Convention is a voluntary agreement that purported only to cover emissions through the end of the 1990s. The Paris agreement now seeks, implausibly, to extend those expectations with mandatory pledges of more stringent cuts, increased every five years in perpetuity, not once requiring Senate approval.

This brazenly defies the express instructions the Senate gave when it ratified the UNFCCC, and the deal struck with President George H. W. Bush in order to join, both of which were meant to ensure that the Framework Convention would not become the blank check for avoiding a lack of political support it has now become. With the parties to the UNFCCC having walked away from whatever remained of the terms agreed to twenty-five years ago, the U.S. must formalize this abandonment by withdrawing.

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March 7, 2017 at 07:00AM

Petition: Abolish House of Lords & replace with a people’s assembly

Petition: Abolish House of Lords & replace with a people’s assembly

via Scottish Sceptichttp://scottishsceptic.co.uk

Following the behaviour of the Lords & many politicians in trying to thwart the will of the British people over Brexit, they have shown they cannot be trusted with our democracy. The House of Lords should be scrapped and replaced … Continue reading →

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March 7, 2017 at 06:25AM

WaPo Cherry Blossom Claims Refuted: “Nothing But Lies And Statistical Manipulations”!

WaPo Cherry Blossom Claims Refuted: “Nothing But Lies And Statistical Manipulations”!

via NoTricksZonehttp://notrickszone.com

Reader David Reich left a comment  in response to Kenneth Richard’s post on grape harvests and climate.

I’ve decided to upgrade it as a post below. Both stories show that today’s climate is well within the range of our climate’s natural variability over the past 100 and 1000 years, and that today’s weather events aren’t unusual.

By USDA photo by Scott Bauer, United States Department of Agriculture, Public Domain

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Washington DC Cherry Blossoms, By David Reich

This [Grape Harvest Date Evidence: No Significant Modern Warmth] reminds me of the Washington Post (WaPo) story that ran a story a few days ago about the earlier than normal Washington DC cherry blossoms hitting their “peak day”. It was stated by the National Park Service that the blossoms are now blooming “on average about 5 days earlier than normal” since records have been kept by NPS.

So, I went back and checked the data. Turns out that the data have been kept for 96 years going back to 1921. The average day of hitting “peak” during the decade of the 1920’s was day 93 into the year – April 3 in a non-leap year, April 2 in a leap year. The average in this decade so far is………92 days. So, how does the Park Service come up with “about 5 days”?

If you average all 96 days, you do get close to 94 days largely because during the 1950’s and 1960’s, the peak date in those 2 decades was over 97 days. So, the recent data is only 2 days earlier than the average. BUT, since the 50’s and 60’s decades which many people remember, the average has in fact gone down about 5 days. Of course no mention that the average went up from 93 days in the 1920’s to 97 in the 1950’s and 1960’s.

Equally egregious with both the WaPo article and also the NPS claim is the complete ignoring of the fact that the standard deviation of all 96 data points is well over 7 days (1990 was the earliest peak at day 74 while 1958 was the latest at day 108) so the data varies wildly. So, even if a 5 day trend were valid, such a trend is well within the normally expected variation in the “peak” day and is thus no trend. No change.

Nothing but lies and statistical manipulation by the WaPo and the NPS.”

 

via NoTricksZone http://notrickszone.com

March 7, 2017 at 05:21AM

New capabilities on NOAA satellite help predict lightning strikes

New capabilities on NOAA satellite help predict lightning strikes

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From NASA/GODDARD SPACE FLIGHT CENTER

Flashy first images arrive from NOAA’s GOES-16 lightning mapper

Detecting and predicting lightning just got a lot easier. The first images from a new instrument onboard NOAA’s GOES-16 satellite are giving NOAA National Weather Service forecasters richer information about lightning that will help them alert the public to dangerous weather.

This is one hour of GOES-16’s Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM) lightning data from Feb. 14, when GLM acquired 1.8 million images of the Earth. It is displayed over GOES-16 ABI full disk Band 2 imagery. Brighter colors indicate more lightning energy was recorded; color bar units are the calculated kilowatt-hours of total optical emissions from lightning. The brightest storm system is located over the Gulf Coast of Texas, the same storm system in the accompanying video. This is preliminary, non-operational data. Credits: NOAA/NASA

The first lightning detector in a geostationary orbit, the Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM), is transmitting data never before available to forecasters. The mapper continually looks for lightning flashes in the Western Hemisphere, so forecasters know when a storm is forming, intensifying and becoming more dangerous. Rapid increases of lightning are a signal that a storm is strengthening quickly and could produce severe weather.

During heavy rain, GLM data will show when thunderstorms are stalled or if they are gathering strength. When combined with radar and other satellite data, GLM data may help forecasters anticipate severe weather and issue flood and flash flood warnings sooner. In dry areas, especially in the western United States, information from the instrument will help forecasters, and ultimately firefighters, identify areas prone to wildfires sparked by lightning.

Accurate tracking of lightning and thunderstorms over the oceans, too distant for land-based radar and sometimes difficult to see with satellites, will support safe navigation for aviators and mariners.

The new mapper also detects in-cloud lightning, which often occurs five to 10 minutes or more before potentially deadly cloud-to-ground strikes. This means more precious time for forecasters to alert those involved in outdoor activities of the developing threat.

NASA successfully launched GOES-R at 6:42 p.m. EST on November 19, 2016 from Cape Canaveral Air Force Station in Florida and it was renamed GOES-16 when it achieved orbit. GOES-16 is now observing the planet from an equatorial view approximately 22,300 miles above the surface of the Earth.

NOAA’s satellites are the backbone of its life-saving weather forecasts. GOES-16 will build upon and extend the more than 40-year legacy of satellite observations from NOAA that the American public has come to rely upon.

Learn more about GOES-16 and all its exciting possibilities for weather forecasting improvements by visiting the GOES-16 website.

For more information about GOES-16, visit: http://www.goes-r.gov/ or http://ift.tt/2mfhOJM

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Disclaimer: AAAS and EurekAlert! are not responsibl

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March 7, 2017 at 05:04AM