The Vostok Ice Core and the 14,000 Year CO2 Time Lag

via The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF)
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A detailed analysis of temperature, CO2 and methane variations from the Vostok ice core is presented for the time interval 137,383 to 102,052 years ago.

This captures the termination of the glaciation that preceded the Eemian interglacial and the inception of the last great glaciation that succeeded the Eemian. At the termination, CO2 follows dT exactly, but at the inception CO2 does not follow temperature down for 14,218 years. Full glacial conditions came into being without falling CO2 providing any of the climate forcing. This falsifies the traditional narrative that dCO2 amplified weak orbital forcing effects. It is quite clear from the data that CO2 follows temperature with highly variable time lags depending upon whether the climate is warming or cooling.

Methane on the other hand lags temperature by about 2,000 years at the termination but follows temperature down exactly at the inception. It therefore follows that methane and CO2 are not coupled. Each responds in their own time to changing climate. The absence of coupling may be explained by the different bio-geochemical pathways these gasses have in the biosphere – ocean – atmosphere system.

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June 21, 2017 at 06:44AM

China Cracks Down On Fake Science

via Principia Scientific International
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China’s government started cracking down on fraudulent scientific journal articles Tuesday in the wake of a pay-t0-publish scandal among researchers. China will suspend research grants to any scientists who are caught paying online companies for fake, positive peer reviews. The crackdown was motivated after the scientific journal Tumor Biology issued a mass retraction of 107 […]

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June 21, 2017 at 06:37AM

Oil Industry And Left-Wing Enviros Find Common Cause In A Carbon Tax

via The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF)
http://www.thegwpf.com

Environmentalists have linked arms with the oil industry to push a nationwide tax on carbon dioxide emissions as a “conservative” way to fight global warming.

The Climate Leadership Council (CLC) unveiled Tuesday some of the world’s largest oil and gas companies were among its donors, including BP, ExxonMobil, Total and Royal Dutch Shell.

Former Republican officials, including former Secretary of State George Shultz and Bush economic adviser Gregory Mankiw, joined CLC to push its carbon tax proposal. Yet, no elected Republicans back this proposal, neither do most conservative groups.

According to the group’s WSJ ad, CLC wants a “gradually rising and revenue-neutral carbon tax,” starting at $40 per ton, and hand out “dividend payments to all Americans, funded by 100% of the revenue.”

The group also says the U.S. could “rollback of carbon regulations that are no longer necessary” and impose a border tax “to level the playing field and promote American competitiveness.”

CLC is a strategic partner with the World Resources Institute (WRI), an environmental group that backed the Paris climate accord and Obama administration energy regulations.

“President Trump and Congress would do well to heed these voices and put in place policies like the CLC proposal to achieve these twin goals,” WRI President Andrew Steer said in a statement on CLC’s unveiling of its oil industry funding.

Though Steer seemed to diverge from CLC on regulations. He proposed keeping existing global warming policies in place until a carbon tax is imposed, adding that “complementary policies addressing other market failures and non-carbon greenhouse gasses will be needed.”

Environmentalists have been working for years to convince conservatives to support a carbon tax, including pumping money into right-leaning groups. But so far, few Republican officials or conservative activists embrace the idea.

CLC’s timing may also be off. A carbon tax is sold as a compromise to federal regulations, but the Trump administration is already in the process of repealing Obama-era climate rules and will withdraw from the Paris agreement.

In other words, there’s no compromise to be made.

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June 21, 2017 at 06:14AM

Gulf of Eilat Corals Probed For Secret Of Surviving Global Warming

via The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF)
http://www.thegwpf.com

In the azure waters of the Red Sea, Maoz Fine and his team dive to study what may be the planet’s most unique coral: one that can survive global warming, at least for now.

The corals, striking in their red, orange and green colors, grow on tables some eight meters (26 feet) underwater, put there by the Israeli scientists to unlock their secrets to survival.

Tropical fish at the Eilat Dolphin Reef. (Asaf Zvuloni/ Israel Nature and Parks Authority/FLASH90)

They are of the same species that grows elsewhere in the northern Red Sea and are resistant to high temperatures.

Fine’s team dives in scuba gear to monitor the corals, taking notes on water-resistant pads.

“We’re looking here at a population of corals on a reef that is very resilient to high temperature changes, and is most likely going to be the last to survive in a world undergoing very significant warming and acidification of sea water,” Fine said at his nearby office ahead of the dive.

That is what has prompted Fine’s work, both in the Red Sea and on its shores.Global warming has in recent years caused colorful coral reefs to bleach and die around the world — but not in the Gulf of Eilat, or Aqaba, part of the northern Red Sea.

At the Interuniversity Institute for Marine Sciences in the southern Israeli resort city of Eilat, dozens of aquaria have been lined up in rows just off the Red Sea shore containing samples of local corals.

A robot slowly dips its arms into each glass container, taking measurements and uploading them to a database.

“We exposed corals to high temperatures over long periods of time, beyond the current peak summer temperatures and even beyond the model-based temperatures we predict for the end of the century,” said Fine, a marine biology professor from Bar Ilan University in central Israel.

He explained: “They didn’t undergo bleaching.”

“Over the past 6,000 years they underwent a form of selection through a very, very hot body of water, and only those that could pass through that hot water body reached here, the northern Red Sea and Gulf of Eilat,” he said.

According to Fine, the Gulf of Eilat corals fare well in heat thanks to their slow journey from the Indian Ocean through the Bab al-Mandab strait, between Djibouti and Yemen, where water temperatures are much higher.

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June 21, 2017 at 05:44AM