The surprising news from scientists about rising sea levels!

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By Larry Kummer. From the Fabius Maximus website.   Summary: Rising sea levels have become a core element — perhaps the core — of climate activists’ warnings. What do scientists say? Should we worry, panic, or despair? Here is a brief answer, plus much supporting evidence. As so many of the predicted effects of climate…

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July 20, 2017 at 03:52PM

Alarums And Excursions

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Guest Post hosted by Willis Eschenbach. My friend Dr. Willie Soon is both a charming man and a most courageous scientist, who has taken a lot of heat for his principled stands on climate issues. He recently wrote a piece about climate alarmism along with Kesten Green and J. Scott Armstrong which deserves much wider…

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July 20, 2017 at 03:22PM

UK Sea Level Data For 2016

via NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT
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By Paul Homewood

 

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According to the Government’s latest UK Climate Change Risk Assessment, sea levels around the UK are rising by around 3mm a year.

 

This is an outright lie.

 

The Committee on Climate Change also tell us in their Climate Change Risk Assessment Evidence Report, used as the basis for the Government report:

Thus implying that the rate of sea level rise has been accelerating recently.

Tide gauges however tell a totally different story.

Long running sea level data is available at two sites in the UK, North Shields in the North East, and Newlyn in the South West. There is consequently a good geographic distribution, with the former on the North Sea coast, and Newlyn facing the Atlantic.

Data kept by PSMSL shows the following:

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Long term trends are around 1.9mm/yr, and it is immediately evident that there has been no acceleration in recent years.

 

But we can double check this by looking at the rate of rise. Below are charts showing the amount of sea level rise measured over 120-month intervals. The red line is the mean.

It is clear that there is no apparent trend, simply large variations throughout both records.

NOAA also publish graphs giving longer term 50-year trends. These both show that sea levels were rising faster around the mid 20thC.

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http://ift.tt/2uNoi8m

 

There is one other long running tidal gauge record. This is at Aberdeen, although data for 2016 has not yet been entered by PSMSL.

However, NOAA show that sea levels are only rising by 0.72mm there, due to the fact that the land is rising.

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Although the land is rising in Scotland, most of England is sinking. Both are as a result of glacial isostatic adjustment, the ongoing movement of land once burdened by ice-age glaciers.

Consequently, part of the sea level rise seen at North Shields and Newlyn is due to this, rather than absolute sea level rise.

http://ift.tt/2mFYFPu

 

Threats of ever rising sea levels are stock in trade for the climate mafia, yet when we look at actual tidal gauge records, we see nothing other than a gradual rise, going back to the 19thC.

However, for such fake claims to be made in an official government report is simply unacceptable.

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July 20, 2017 at 01:48PM

Resilient Arctic Ice

via Science Matters
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July is showing again the resilience of Arctic ice this year. The graph below shows 2017 extents for the first 19 days of July compared to the average for the previous 11 years, to 2016, to 2007 and the SII (Sea Ice Index) estimates for 2017.

 

The graph shows 2017 holding to the decadal average and just yesterday dropping below 8M km2, one day ahead of average.  Meanwhile the other extents are much lower than 2017: 2016 is down 357k km2 2007 is 379k km2 down, and SII shows 2017 480k km2 less than MASIE day 200.

As we shall see, this year’s extents are in surplus on the Atlantic side, offset by deficits on the Pacific side and in Hudson Bay.  The image shows the evolution of Arctic ice from 2007 to this year for day 200.

 

The Table compares 2017 day 200 ice extents with the decadal average and 2007

Region	2017200	Day 200 Average	2017-Ave.	2007200	2017-2007
(0) Northern_Hemisphere	7997823	8064957	-67133	7618029	379795
(1) Beaufort_Sea	806596	819503	-12906	797272	9324
(2) Chukchi_Sea	514591	619294	-104704	488952	25638
(3) East_Siberian_Sea	744800	937942	-193142	707353	37447
(4) Laptev_Sea	666317	584009	82308	455463	210854
(5) Kara_Sea	321934	310630	11304	377648	-55714
(6) Barents_Sea	74053	45893	28160	55933	18120
(7) Greenland_Sea	478308	388587	89721	375816	102492
(8) Baffin_Bay_Gulf_of_St._Lawrence	371429	238537	132893	278443	92986
(9) Canadian_Archipelago	624373	685089	-60717	686749	-62376
(10) Hudson_Bay	172045	258697	-86652	170690	1355
(11) Central_Arctic	3222235	3173093	49143	3221912	323

2007 overall ice extent on day 200 was lower by 380k km2, 2017 showing surpluses everywhere except Kara and CAA (Canadian Arctic Archipelago).  Compared to the decadal average, the 2017 larger deficits are in the Pacific ( Chukchi and East Siberian) and in Canada (Hudson Bay and CAA).  These are offset by above average extents elsewhere, especially in Laptev, Greenland, Baffin and Central Arctic. Barents is still surplus to average, but has now fallen behind 2014 as the highest in the last decade.

 

The black line is average for the last 11 years.  2007 in purple appears close to an average year.  2014 had the highest annual extent in Barents Sea, due to higher and later maximums, holding onto ice during the summer, and recovering quickly.  In contrast, 2016 was the lowest annual extent, melting out early and recovering later.  2017 in blue started out way behind, but grew rapidly to reach average, and then persisted longer to exceed even 2014 before falling behind just recently.

For more on why Barents Sea matters see Barents Icicles

 

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July 20, 2017 at 01:03PM