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“5 Shades of Climate Denial” (Inside Climate News gets it wrong)

“5 Shades of Climate Denial” (Inside Climate News gets it wrong)

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The article by Marianne Lavelle , “5 Shades of Climate Denial, All on Display in the Trump White House,” a feature at Instide Climate News (June 9, 2017), deserves a second look. The good news is that a much more useful categorization from the science community can be used to correct the unstudied, biased five categories presented in ICN.

Here categories are five:

  1. “It’s Not Real”
  2. “‘It’s Not Our Fault,’ and Other Lighter Shades”
  3. ‘The Science Is Just Too Uncertain. Really?”
  4. “Urgency, Shmurgency”
  5. “What About Jobs?”
 First, the smear term “denier” and “denial” need to be shown the door. Climate science and climate models are hardly settled for starters. And the good news is that apocalyptic predictions of anthropogenic climate change have proven exaggerated time and again. Better yet, climate sensitivity estimates have been coming down, and high-end warming estimates are looking worse by the year.
The balance of evidence (to use that famous IPCC term) is trending away from alarmism and toward what a large population of the ‘skeptics’ have been saying for years: global lukewarming.
So obviously, an important category is missing from the above five.
Enter Richard Mueller, a physicist and philosopher at the University of California at Berkeley. At the Huffington Post earlier this year, he identified six categories of scientific disagreement in “The Classifications of Climate Change Thinkers.
They are (reproduced verbatim):

Alarmists. They pay little attention to the details of the science. They are “unconvincibles.” They say the danger is imminent, so scare tactics are both necessary and appropriate, especially to counter the deniers. They implicitly assume that all global warming and human-caused global warming are identical.

Exaggerators. They know the science but exaggerate for the public good. They feel the public doesn’t find an 0.64°C change threatening, so they have to cherry-pick and distort a little—for a good cause.

Warmists. These people stick to the science. They may not know the answer to every complaint of the skeptics, but they have grown to trust the scientists who work on the issues. They are convinced the danger is serious and imminent.

Lukewarmists. They, too, stick to the science. They recognize there is a danger but feel it is uncertain. We should do something, but it can be measured. We have time.

Skeptics. They know the science but are bothered by the exaggerators, and they point to serious flaws in the theory and data analysis. They get annoyed when the warmists ignore their complaints, many of which are valid. This group includes auditors, scientists who carefully check the analysis of others.

Deniers. They pay little attention to the details of the science. They are “unconvincibles.” They consider the alarmists’ proposals dangerous threats to our economy, so exaggerations are both necessary and appropriate to counter them.

Notice that the happy middle includes ‘global lukewarming,’ a category populated by, among others, Patrick Michaels and Chip Knappenberger at the Cato Institute’s Center for the Study of Science, not to mention Judith Curry of Georgia Institute of Technology. But there is plenty of good room for the Skeptics who are poking big holes in the claims of Warmists and Exaggerators, not to mention the Alarmists.

As I have argued elsewhere,

 

 

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June 14, 2017 at 01:21AM

Global gas prices falling contrary to Australia

Global gas prices falling contrary to Australia

via Errors in IPCC climate science
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From BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2017 – but not falling in Australia?? – what a truly bungled and mismanaged sucker country we have become.

Australian gas prices from Finkel review

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June 13, 2017 at 09:42PM

Climate-change expedition scrapped due to very severe ice conditions

Climate-change expedition scrapped due to very severe ice conditions

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A team of scientists – aboard an icebreaker, mind you! – had to abandon their expedition because of hazardous ice conditions. Ice chunks measured 16 to 26 feet (5 to 8 m) thick.

The “very icy conditions” were caused by climate change, says the group’s leader.


Photo courtesy Canadian Department of Fisheries and Oceans

12 Jun 2017 – About 40 scientists were using the icebreaker CCGS Amundsen for a 133-day expedition across the Arctic,  part of a $17-million, four-year project to look at the effects of climate change.

They began their trip on May 25 in Quebec City, but due to bad ice conditions off the coast of Newfoundland, the icebreaker was diverted to help ferries and fishing boats stuck in the ice. Some had even took on water.

‘Very severe ice conditions’

According to the Canadian Coast Guard, the conditions were unlike anything ever seen before in the area.

“It was just extreme ice conditions that required everything that we’ve got in order to make sure we were able to provide the services,” said Julie Gascon, the coast guard’s assistant commissioner for the central and Arctic region.

Strong northeastern winds started packing in ice in late April and never stopped, said Gascon. The result was sea ice conditions treacherous for even an icebreaker to navigate.

“We never had any issues in the past of this nature,” she said. “Very severe ice conditions.”

According to David Barber, a climate change scientist at the University of Manitoba and leader of the expedition, the thick, dense ice had traveled down from the High Arctic.

“It’s very much a climate-change driven phenomenon,” said Barber. “When you reduce the extent of the ice and reduce the thickness of it, it becomes more mobile.”

The warming action can loosen ice and broken icebergs can travel long distances on ocean currents, said Barber.

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Thanks to Norman Smith for this link


 

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June 13, 2017 at 12:53PM

Snake-oil Salesman Ups the Ante – Says God Told Him to Fight Global Warming

Snake-oil Salesman Ups the Ante – Says God Told Him to Fight Global Warming

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Former Vice President Al Gore is now telling his climate disciples that God commands us to go forth and fight global warming.

While promoting  his new global warming film “An Inconvenient Sequel,” Gore compared the fight against global warming to a religious-based, moral crusade similar to the civil rights fight, women’s suffrage, and the abolitionist movement during the Civil War era.

Gore’s “An Inconvenient Truth” is filled with mistaken assertions and failed predictions, says this article on Breitbart. “Despite the many inaccuracies of his previous film, in an interview last year Gore still insisted that he “underestimated” how bad global warming is.”

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Thanks to Kevin A for this link


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June 13, 2017 at 10:52AM