2017 : The Year Without An Intelligent Climate Scientist

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In February, the Washington Post announced that 2017 was the year without a winter in the Northeast US, because it was too warm. They said spring had arrived early.

‘Fast-forward spring’: America’s February warmth is extreme, and it’s just getting started – The Washington Post

This week, Mashable said the exact opposite and declared 2017 to be the year without a spring in the Northeast US, because it was too cold. And they threw in that heatwaves are getting much worse because of global warming.

Tens of millions will roast in first major U.S. heat wave of the season

Apparently cold is the new hot, and gibberish from climate experts is the new normal. June heatwaves in the DC area are becoming much less common and much shorter than they were 100 years ago.

The forecast high today in the DC area is 94 degrees. On this date in 1902, it was 100 degrees, with every day except one above 90 degrees during the first half of June 1902.

Summer maximum temperatures in the US have plummeted since the 1930’s.

And the frequency of hot summer days has also plummeted in the US since the 1930’s.

There is zero indication that heatwaves are getting worse. The data shows the exact opposite. So how do these fraudulent studies get through peer review and into the press?

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June 13, 2017 at 12:37AM

Ocean Cooling Resumes

via Science Matters
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May Sea Surface Temperatures are now available, and we can see ocean cooling resuming after a pause in the downward trajectory over the previous 13 months.

HadSST is generally regarded as the best of the global SST data sets, and so the temperature story here comes from that source, the latest version being HadSST3.

The chart below shows the last two years of SST monthly anomalies as reported in HadSST3 including May 2017.

After an upward bump in April 2017 due to the Tropics and NH, the May SSTs show the average declining slightly.  Note the Tropics recorded a rise, but not enough to offset declines in both hemispheres and globally.  SH is now two months into a cooling phase. The present readings compare closely with April 2015, but currently with no indicators of an El Nino event any time soon.

Note that higher temps in 2015 and 2016 were first of all due to a sharp rise in Tropical SST, beginning in March 2015, peaking in January 2016, and steadily declining back to its beginning level. Secondly, the Northern Hemisphere added two bumps on the shoulders of Tropical warming, with peaks in August of each year. Also, note that the global release of heat was not dramatic, due to the Southern Hemisphere offsetting the Northern one.

Satellite measures of the air over the oceans give a slightly different result.  The graph below provides UAH vs.6 TLT (lower troposphere temps) over the oceans confirming the general impression from SSTs.

In contrast with SST measurements, air temps in the TLT over the oceans upticked in May with all areas participating in the rise of about 0.2C.  In the satellite dataset, it is quite noticeable that land air temps rose quite strongly and may have caused air temps in the May TLT over oceans to show higher anomalies than the SSTs.

We have seen lots of claims about the temperature records for 2016 and 2015 proving dangerous man made warming.  At least one senator stated that in a confirmation hearing.  Yet HadSST3 data for the last two years show how obvious is the ocean’s governing of global average temperatures.

USS Pearl Harbor deploys Global Drifter Buoys in Pacific Ocean

The best context for understanding these two years comes from the world’s sea surface temperatures (SST), for several reasons:

• The ocean covers 71% of the globe and drives average temperatures;
• SSTs have a constant water content, (unlike air temperatures), so give a better reading of heat content variations;
• A major El Nino was the dominant climate feature these years.

Solar energy accumulates massively in the ocean and is variably released during circulation events.

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June 13, 2017 at 12:26AM

Cook Says Apple Is Focusing on Making an Autonomous Car System

via Principia Scientific International
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After years toiling away in secret on its car project, Apple Inc. Chief Executive Officer Tim Cook has for the first time laid out exactly what the company is up to in the automotive market: It’s concentrating on self-driving technology. “We’re focusing on autonomous systems,” Cook said in an interview on Bloomberg Television on June […]

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June 13, 2017 at 12:15AM

How Scientists Predict the Path of the 2017 Total Solar Eclipse

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Millions of people intend to watch the 2017 total solar eclipse, which will cross the continental U.S. on Aug. 21. Here’s how NASA scientists figure out exactly where the moon’s shadow will fall on the surface of the Earth, down to the city block. Space.com talked with NASA’s Ernie Wright, who has been producing NASA’s […]

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June 13, 2017 at 12:10AM