Category: Uncategorized

In one graph, why the #ParisAgreement is useless

In one graph, why the #ParisAgreement is useless

via Watts Up With That?
http://ift.tt/1Viafi3

Activists think the world will be uninhabitable for our children if the U.S. pulls out of the Paris Climate Accord. For example, via Vox

Quitting the Paris climate agreement would be a moral disgrace

President Trump is selling out our kids to give false hope to coal workers.

…

There is no employment upside to an “America First” retreat from global leadership on one of the few issues that can accurately be described as a potentially existential threat to humankind.

There is only the profound immorality of abdication — of gleefully passing a mounting problem on to our children, and on to the poor.

And one of it’s writers, David Roberts:

Oh, the humanity!

But, the data says, essentially “no difference”

Source: Bjorn Lomborg -Impact of Current Climate Proposals DOI: 10.1111/1758-5899.12295

Ouch.

Worse, even if we DID stay in it, and all the other countries too) that .05°C savings is likely to get lost in the noise, since global temperature measurements are rounded. For example, in the USA, NOAA rounds the high and low temperature to the nearest whole degree Fahrenheit (0.55°C, a value ten times greater than the .05°C savings Paris offers):

From NOAA’s REQUIREMENTS AND STANDARDS FOR NWS CLIMATE OBSERVATIONS:

The observer will round the entered data to whole units Fahrenheit by rounding up all positively signed values between T.5ºF and T.9ºF inclusive, (i.e., + 66.5ºF to 67ºF), and rounding down positively signed values between T.1ºF and T.4ºF, inclusive. For sub-zero temperatures, special attention is given to –T.5ºF values, to round it down. This method is known as ‘round half up asymmetric.’ For all negatively signed values between -T.5ºF and –T.1ºF, inclusive you round down (i.e., -3.5ºF to -3ºF) to nearest integer. For negatively signed values between –T.6ºF and –T.9ºF, inclusive, the data is rounded up (i.e., -10.6ºF to -11ºF) to higher absolute value.

Source: http://ift.tt/2o5Pdoc

For Global temperature, GHCN data for example, NOAA rounds to the nearest tenth of a degree C, (0.1°C) TWICE the value of .05°C savings Paris offers.

Even the best case scenario out of the Paris Climate Accord will get lost in the data rounding.

 

via Watts Up With That? http://ift.tt/1Viafi3

May 31, 2017 at 09:47AM

If Trump Exits Paris, Will It Make The Slightest Difference To Climate?

If Trump Exits Paris, Will It Make The Slightest Difference To Climate?

via NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT
http://ift.tt/16C5B6P

By Paul Homewood

    

Word is coming out of Washington that President Trump has finally made the decision to exit the Paris Agreement.

   

There have already been various stories about the apocalypse waiting around the corner if that happens, not least from so-called scientists who should know better, eg:

   

image

http://ift.tt/2qwPAOC  

  

But just what difference will it make to global emissions?

Obama promised to cut GHG emissions by 26% from 2005 levels of 6.2 GtCO2e, in his INDC at Paris. Yet between 2005 and 2012 (the last year figures are available from UNFCCC) emissions had already fallen by 11%. Most of this occurred shortly after the financial crash.

   

image

http://ift.tt/1D0hUpg

         

Provisional data suggests that emissions have flattened since 2012.

Therefore, if the US keeps to its target, emissions would need to drop by about another 0.9 GtCOe.

But what about global emissions?

Even the UNFCCC admitted that the Paris Agreement would mean that these would rise from 49 Gt in 2010, to 55 Gt in 2030, a rise of 6 Gt.

Therefore, if the US does not cut emissions any further, worldwide emissions will rise by 6.9 Gt, instead of 6.0 Gt.

         

fig2exec_syr_update_v27apr2016_905_withlegend_thumb_thumb_thumb_thumb

http://ift.tt/1kXTR6p

            

If climate scientists honestly believe that the US exiting from Paris will make so much difference, perhaps they ought all to get on a (slow) boat to China, and ask them why they are not cutting their emissions.

As we all know, none of this has anything at all with climate. The real concern amongst corrupt scientists, rent seeking renewable scamsters and wealth redistributors is that the money will dry up.

Take away the US, and the whole house of cards will soon come crashing down.

via NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT http://ift.tt/16C5B6P

May 31, 2017 at 08:15AM

Ice Gain In The Beaufort Sea Since Last Year

Ice Gain In The Beaufort Sea Since Last Year

via Climate Change Dispatch
http://ift.tt/2jXMFWN

Last year on this date, the Beaufort Sea was largely ice free. This year the Beaufort Sea is full of ice, prompting professional climate fraudsters to say sea ice extent is at a record low. Read more at Real Climate Science

via Climate Change Dispatch http://ift.tt/2jXMFWN

May 31, 2017 at 08:11AM

Experts Dismiss Paris Hysteria: Market Likely to Reduce U.S. Emissions

Experts Dismiss Paris Hysteria: Market Likely to Reduce U.S. Emissions

via Climate Change Dispatch
http://ift.tt/2jXMFWN

Reports on Wednesday that President Donald Trump has decided to pull the United States out of the Paris climate change accord prompted a freakout on the Left, but several experts disputed predictions of environmental calamity. The 147-nation pact, negotiated in Paris in 2015, set a goal of limiting the rise in global temperatures to less […]

via Climate Change Dispatch http://ift.tt/2jXMFWN

May 31, 2017 at 07:41AM