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Charging six electric cars at once could cause local power outages

Charging six electric cars at once could cause local power outages

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By Paul Homewood

From Auto Express:

 

ScreenHunter_794 May. 29 14.35

Britain’s energy networks are in need of investment and improvement if they’re to deal with future uptake of EVs

Just six electric cars charging at the same time on a street could cause local power shortages, according to a new study that warns Britain’s energy system needs urgent investment to keep pace with EV uptake.

A report by Green Alliance said the country’s energy networks are unprepared to deal with the growing uptake of electric cars and solar panels in the future. Unless there’s investment in significant upgrades, the uptake of electric cars is a “recipe for disaster,” as blackouts, inadequate generation at peak times and rising energy bills grow.

Already, "as few as six closely located vehicles charging together at peak times could lead to local brownouts." The report by Green Alliance said a single EV charge can use as much electricity as a household uses in three days.

Today, the 86,169 plug-in and electric cars on the road consume less than one per cent of the annual electricity output, however, by 2040 – when over 4.6 million EVs are forecasted on Britain’s roads – electric cars could account for 7 per cent of total electricity demand, according to energy consultants Element Energy.

To avoid congestion and blackouts during peak hours, the Green Alliance urges the Government to invest in more smart chargers that can defer when cars are topped up, as well as invest in large-scale energy projects like generators.

Investments in public charging infrastructure will also be required, as Auto Express previously highlighted how the UK’s electric charging infrastructure is rapidly falling behind electric vehicle uptake. The ratio of EVs per charger has grown from 0.78 to 7.34 in just four years. The European Commission previously suggested the maximum ratio to avoid charging blockages and congestion is one in 10.

The Green Alliance report warned: “The way the UK energy system is currently governed, this disruption is very likely to lead to future value destruction and grid defection. Both the power system and power markets are designed for unidirectional flows of electricity from large-scale generation to the transmission network, then to the distribution network and, finally, into people’s homes.

“Power markets can be reformed and technologies regulated to create a cost effective, manageable system.This can only happen by first reassessing the role the government plays in determining the energy system.”

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If just six cars can trigger a brownout, just imagine what will happen when millions are on the road.

Still, we should not worry. Jillian Ambrose tells us:

Part of the answer is to hand more power to the smaller, local distribution network operators. In the future these small regional networks will need to take on a role similar to that played by National Grid, by carefully managing supplies of power from roof-top solar panels.

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It appears nobody has told her that solar power produces next to no power in the middle of winter.

 

The Telegraph piece continues:

The national system operator itself says it is up to the challenge. It believes electric vehicles could drive electricity demand up by 13- 21 TWh by 2033 and at peak times create a net drain of 1GW, the equivalent of two large power plants.

But these numbers don’t stack up. 21 TWh, averaged over 24 hours, equates to 2.4GW. The peak would be much higher still.

Most drivers logically would plug their cars in during early evening, so we could easily be looking at a peak of 20GW plus.

Smart chargers might help to spread the load a little, but how many drivers will wake up next morning, and find their car batteries are still flat? Particularly when the Grid decides to draw power back from your car at breakfast time, when demand peaks.

The more we look at these sort of detailed issues, the more the problems multiply.

We are rapidly approaching a time of great danger for the energy security of this country. We only have a glimmer of the sort of problems we are creating for ourselves, and even less idea of how to find a way around them.

All of this at great cost, and for no good reason at all.

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May 29, 2017 at 05:48AM

Arctic Springtime Postponed

Arctic Springtime Postponed

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May 27, 2017 Sea ice all the way to Labrador – Cape Norman Northern Peninsula Newfoundland h/t Newfoundsander

Too dangerous to go fishing due to ice, Coast Guard warns

Weather Canada Marine Forecast
East Coast – north of Cape St. Francis

Issued 10:00 AM EDT 28 May 2017
Today Tonight and Monday
Special ice warning in effect.
1 tenth of first-year ice including a trace of old ice except 9 tenths of first-year ice including a trace of old ice near parts of the mouth of Bonavista Bay and the mouth of Trinity Bay. Unusual presence of sea ice in the western section.
Iceberg Count
More than 100 icebergs.

The Atlantic ice extents show little retreat during May.  Newfoundland coast on the upper left is still locked in ice though less now than 10 days ago.  In Barents not much has changed.

The graph below shows May extent through yesterday, May 28.

For the first time the decadal average dropped below 12M km2.  2017 is 300k km2 above average, 400k km2 above 2007 and 1.1M km2 higher than 2016.  The graph below show the Arctic ice extents, excluding the Pacific basins of Bering and Okhotsk.

Note how persistent is 2017 ice extent, currently 500k km2 above 2007 and the decadal average, and 1M km2 above last year at this date.

The table below shows regional extents for 2017 compared to decadal average and to 2007 on day 148.

Region 2017148 Day 148
Average
2017-Ave. 2007148 2017-2007
 (0) Northern_Hemisphere 12294150 11990991 303159 11886249 407901
 (1) Beaufort_Sea 1009369 1008031 1338 1059461 -50092
 (2) Chukchi_Sea 818347 904706 -86359 905098 -86750
 (3) East_Siberian_Sea 1037744 1073527 -35783 1069198 -31454
 (4) Laptev_Sea 871872 847487 24384 774503 97369
 (5) Kara_Sea 901704 845784 55920 879973 21731
 (6) Barents_Sea 502369 328055 174314 307955 194414
 (7) Greenland_Sea 635773 574248 61526 559480 76293
 (8) Baffin_Bay_Gulf_of_St._Lawrence 1122564 928837 193727 960512 162052
 (9) Canadian_Archipelago 820170 818658 1511 819338 831
 (10) Hudson_Bay 1184050 1102567 81483 1093176 90874
 (11) Central_Arctic 3247685 3221113 26572 3228660 19025
 (12) Bering_Sea 34151 212595 -178444 137425 -103274
 (13) Baltic_Sea 4542 319 4223 0 4542
 (14) Sea_of_Okhotsk 101998 123254 -21255 89730 12269

Note the strong surpluses of ice in Kara, Barents, Greenland Sea and Baffin Bay.  Note also that Bering is nearly ice free, and the two Pacific basins are now at 136k km2 combined at day 148, which matches where the decadal average will be in 25 days on day 161.

Finally, the image below shows Svalbard comparing 2017 with last year on day 148.

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May 29, 2017 at 05:22AM

EU Economists say carbon price needs to rise 10 – 20 fold to even meet pledges

EU Economists say carbon price needs to rise 10 – 20 fold to even meet pledges

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The EU Ministry for The Management of Nice Weather says that the artificial price of carbon credits must rise a magnitude or two if they are going to have any chance of meeting their “climate” target. In some senses they are right — the price of carbon would have to be very high to get people to shift energy sources, because the ones that produce carbon dioxide are so wonderfully, blissfully, cheap. They don’t seem to mention what this will do to electricity prices. Global carbon prices must soar to meet Paris climate target: report By Susanna Twidale | LONDON Reuters

The cost of emitting carbon dioxide must rise to $50-$100 per tonne by 2030, much higher than the current price in Europe of less than $6, if countries are to meet climate pledges made under the Paris Agreement, economists said on Monday.

 Under the Paris deal, more than 190 countries pledged to keep planet-warming well below 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) to stave off the worst effects of climate change.

The Commission on Carbon Prices, a group of 13 leading economists supported by the World Bank, said in their report that carbon dioxide prices would need to […]

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May 29, 2017 at 05:19AM

New Video : “Arctic Fake News”

New Video : “Arctic Fake News”

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You can see all of my videos on my YouTube channel https://www.youtube.com/c/TonyHeller

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May 29, 2017 at 05:14AM