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HOW THE UK ENERGY REGULATOR WAS RENDERED TOOTHLESS

HOW THE UK ENERGY REGULATOR WAS RENDERED TOOTHLESS

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John Constable: How Ed Miliband Neutered UK Energy RegulatorGWPF Energy Comment, 16 May 2017

Dr John Constable: GWPF Energy Editor
 
There is likely to be increasing pressure to reform the gas and electricity regulator, Ofgem, which is widely held to have failed in the protection of consumers. This accusation is to a large degree both misguided and unjust. Ofgem is constrained by its Statutory Duties, which were revised by Ed Milliband in 2010 to put climate policy costs beyond criticism. It is this, as much as institutional lassitude, that accounts for it being so ineffective a consumer champion.

In the wake of concern about rising electricity retail prices to domestic households, the Conservative Party has suggested a price cap on Standard Variable Tariffs. It is fair to say that this policy has not been well received by commentators and economists, who with very good reason believe it likely to be counterproductive. Whether the voting public will be persuaded that a price cap is in their long-term interest remains to be seen, but it could well prove popular. – With a maladroit sense of timing that is typical of the hapless energy industry my own electricity and gas supplier has just sent me a letter explaining that due to price rises next year’s annual dual fuel bill is likely to be about 8% higher.

Doubtless many other households are receiving similar news, and perhaps thinking positively about Mrs May’s offer to stamp on rip-off tariffs.

One, more sophisticated, reaction to this sort of news is to blame the regulator, Ofgem. If the government needs to wade in to protect consumers, surely the regulator must have failed in its job. This is an understandable conclusion, but to a very significant degree it is unjust to Ofgem, which is itself tightly regulated by the legal definition of its Statutory Duties and powers. These are defined in the Gas Act 1986, the Electricity Act 1989, the Utilities Act 2000, the Competition Act 1998, the Enterprise Act 2002, the Business Protection from Misleading Marketing Regulations 2008 and the Unfair Terms in Consumer Contracts Regulations 1999, and, crucially, in amendments to these acts. Perhaps the most important of these amendments occurred in the Energy Act of 2010, which originated under Ed Miliband when he was Secretary of State at the Department of Energy and Climate Change. Though a small change, it drew the regulator’s teeth.

The Utilities Act 2000 had described the overarching principal objective for energy regulation as the protection of the interests of existing and future consumers, wherever appropriate by promoting competition (for further details see this DECC analysis). This was a lucid and unconstricting brief. A determined regulator could range far and free in the pursuit of consumer welfare.

The Energy Act of 2010 amended this principal objective by defining “interests” thus in two separate paragraphs (16 (3) 1A and 17 (3) 1A referring to gas and electricity:

Those interests of existing and future consumers are their interests taken as a whole, including—
(a) their interests in the reduction of gas-supply/electricity supply emissions of targeted greenhouse gases; and

(b) their interests in the security of the supply of gas/electricity to them.

This change was of enormous importance, since an increasingly large part of the charges on the consumer were (and still are) the result of policy. In effect, the revision to Ofgem’s principal purpose made them unable to comment on the imposition of cost increases resulting from measures to mitigate climate change.

Since these coercive cost increases are invisible to the market and cannot be reduced by competition, there was no means other than the regulator, or the slow and uncertain cycles of electoral democracy, to expose them to criticism.

This is no trivial matter. Policies now account for about 17% of the price to domestic households, in other words about £26/MWh of a total price to household consumers of £154/MWh (see the Committee on Climate Change Energy Prices and Bills). Median annual domestic electricity consumption in the UK is approximately 3.5 MWhs per household, so this amounted to about £91 per household per year, or roughly £2.4 billion a year, assuming 26 million households, a sum that greatly exceeds the £1.5 billion a year rip-off that prompted Mrs May to suggest a price cap.

According to the government’s estimates, in the now discontinued Estimated Impacts, we can see that this problem is set to grow dramatically. In 2020 the domestic price impact will have in all probability doubled, to £52/MWh, or about £180 a year on the electricity bill, a nationwide cost of about £5 billion per year.
Constrained by its remit, as set out by Ed Milibands Energy Act of 2010, Ofgem is powerless to comment on these enormous impositions. In essence, by being compelled to have regard to the interests of future consumers in the light of climate change the regulator has been absorbed by government and, like the Committee on Climate Change, made a mere cog wheel in the policy delivery mechanism. Consequently, and with the sole exception of the National Audit Office, there is no statutory body that has any interest in holding the government to account on climate policy costs, and none that is exclusively focused on the energy sector.

Restoring Ofgem’s Statutory Duties to their earlier free-ranging state could yield enormous benefits for the consumer. Such a reform should also be supported by electricity retailers, who, for all their faults, are carrying the can for climate policy related price increases over which they have no control. By contrast, a ‘reform’ of Ofgem that further weakened an already crippled body would be a disaster for all concerned. 

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May 21, 2017 at 06:30PM

Energy & Environmental Newsletter: May 22, 2017

Energy & Environmental Newsletter: May 22, 2017

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The Alliance for Wise Energy Decisions (AWED) is an informal coalition of individuals and organizations interested in improving national, state, and local energy and environmental policies. Our premise is that technical matters like these should be addressed by using Real Science (please consult WiseEnergy.org for more information).

A key element of AWED’s efforts is public education. Towards that end, every three weeks we put together a newsletter to balance what is found in the mainstream media about energy and the environment. We appreciate MasterResource for their assistance in publishing this information.

Some of the more important articles in this issue are:

Wind turbines are not clean or green, and they provide zero global energy

Pitting Wind and Solar Against Nuclear Power

What Happens to an Economy When Forced to Use Renewable Energy?

How Much Does the U.S. Govt Subsidize Electricity Generating Technologies?

Wind Subsidies Should End

Is Renewable Energy an Economic Boon or Bust

Environmental Noise Pollution: Has Public Health Become too Utilitarian?

Impact of Noise on Health: The Divide between Policy and Science

MI Town passed 30 dBA night turbine noise limit and 35 dBA day limit

The Continuing Saga of Wind Turbine Noise

Bats Massacred by Wind Turbines May Get Reprieve in Sweden

Tennessee Passes One Year Wind Energy Moratorium

AWEA: Five Community Tactics to Enable More Wind Development

Thoughts on the Public Discourse over Climate Change

Are Microbiologists Climate-Denying Science Haters?

Red Team EMA’s Endangerment Finding

You’re Calling Me “Anti Science?”

15 New Studies Abandon Claims of Man-Made Influence on Arctic Climate

Dilbert Disses Global Warming; Liberal Heads Explode

How to Convince Skeptics that Climate Change is a Problem

Climate Dollars: How a flawed study fooled a lot of the media

Peer Reviewed Study: Penis is Conceptual Driver Behind Much of Climate Change

NY Times Apologizes for being Accurate and Objective

 

Greed Energy Economics:

What Happens to an Economy When Forced to Use Renewable Energy?

How Much Does the U.S. Govt Subsidize Electricity Generating Technologies?

Wind Subsidies Should End

Is Renewable Energy an Economic Boon or Bust

Big ‘Green’ and Mean: A Wind-Energy Giant Attacks Small-Town America

Today’s most productive energy workers are in coal and gas, not solar

Massachusetts’ Proposed Carbon Tax Harmful to Residents

Op-Ed: NY Wind Projects – No Economic Benefit In Sight

Wind Industry Titan Soaks Up Billions in Tax Subsidies

Big Wind gets Spanked in Michigan

Congress Asked To Eliminate $270 Million A Year In Solar Subsidies

SolarWorld Says It Is Insolvent

Wind energy – con: Tell taxpayers the real cost

 

Turbine Health Matters:

Environmental Noise Pollution: Has Public Health Become too Utilitarian?

Impact of Noise on Health: The Divide between Policy and Science

MI Town passed 30 dBA night turbine noise limit and 35 dBA day limit

The Continuing Saga of Wind Turbine Noise

Vermont Issues new noise standards, and 10 X setback

Abstracts Accepted for International Wind Turbine Noise conference

Archive: Wind Turbine Infrasound Recordings Shown On An Oscilloscope

In Canada the Minister of Health does not have authority over turbines

 

Renewable Energy Destroying Ecosystems:

Bats Massacred by Wind Turbines May Get Reprieve in Sweden

Birds, tortoise at new risk from wind power growth

NYS’ Hypocrisy re Wind Energy

Wind-power pollution: turbine oil seeps into the land in Mexico

Ten Lies About Fracking

 

Miscellaneous Energy News:

Wind turbines are neither clean nor green and they provide zero global energy

Pitting Wind and Solar Against Nuclear Power

The War On Wind Turbines Is So Right

The coming threat from US wind states

Prior Governor: Wind Energy Was A Big Mistake

Tennessee Passes One Year Wind Energy Moratorium

AWEA: Five Community Tactics to Enable More Wind Development

Bill McKibben’s Wind Energy Hypocrisy

Local Michigan Voters Say No To More Wind Development

Sign Petition to Scrap Renewable Energy Targets

Inside Greenpeace’s Campaign to Stop Australian Coal Export

African Nations to build over 100 New Coal Plants

Why India and Pakistan are Renewing their Love Affair with Coal

Report: China and India Dominate Coal Ownership

Former PM: Renewable Energy Policy is Scandalous

France’s pro-science leader has many challenges ahead

UK Energy and Climate Change Policy

Remarks by President Trump at Signing of EO to Create Energy Independence

 

Manmade Global Warming Articles:

Thoughts on the Public Discourse over Climate Change

Are Microbiologists Climate-Denying Science Haters?

Red Team EMA’s Endangerment Finding

You’re Calling Me “Anti Science?”

15 New Studies Abandon Claims of Man-Made Influence On Arctic Climate

Dilbert Disses Global Warming; Liberal Heads Explode

How to Convince Skeptics that Climate Change is a Problem

Climate Dollars: How a flawed study fooled a lot of the media

Peer Reviewed Study: Penis is Conceptual Driver Behind Much of Climate Change

Global Warming and Consensus Claims Are Betrayals of Science

NY Times Apologizes for being Accurate and Objective

Open Letter to Ivanka Trump

New Short Video: The Fake News 97% Consensus

Obama Administration Falsified ‘Climate Change’ Data

Global Temperatures Plunge .5 degrees C in April

Is There a Trend in Global Average Temperature?

Sign Petition Against Paris Agreement

Escaping the Paris Climate Agreement

A Global Warming Surprise

NPR Bungles Sea Level Rise Story

Earth’s forests grew 9% in a new satellite survey

Study: The epistemological status of general circulation models

Study: Scrutinizing the carbon cycle and CO2 residence time in the atmosphere

 

See Prior AWED Newsletters

The post Energy & Environmental Newsletter: May 22, 2017 appeared first on Master Resource.

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May 21, 2017 at 06:09PM

The Concerned Household Electricity Consumers Council Once Again Calls on President Trump and EPA to Revisit and Revoke the Scientifically Invalid CO2 Endangerment Finding

The Concerned Household Electricity Consumers Council Once Again Calls on President Trump and EPA to Revisit and Revoke the Scientifically Invalid CO2 Endangerment Finding

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I have previously discussed how important it is for the US Environmental Protection Agency to revisit and revoke the EPA Endangerment Finding for Greenhouse Gases issued in 2009. To date the USEPA has not decided to do so. I have suggested how anyone who pays electric bills can petition the USEPA to do this. What follows is a press release by one group that recently sent a supplement of an earlier petition. This supplement reflected primarily new 2017 research and provides the necessary new research results that justify a revisit and revocation. I do not know for sure whether others have submitted such petitions with a somewhat similar basis other than one from the Competitive Enterprise Institute and the Science and Environmental Policy Project on February 17 (as updated February 23), which was previously published by Inside EPA. In addition, the Texas Public Policy Foundation has recently submitted a Petition to EPA based on a different basis.

Key Points of New Press Release:

1. Just released, with even more definitive research findings that make it even more certain that CO2 is not a pollutant but rather a beneficial gas that should not be regulated.
2. If the Endangerment Finding is not vacated, whether the current administration likes it or not, it is certain that electric utility, automotive and many other industries will face ongoing EPA CO2 regulation.
3. This scientifically illiterate regulation will raise energy prices thereby reducing U.S. economic growth and jobs.

Press Release

The Concerned Household Electricity Consumers Council announces that on May 8, 2017 it filed with EPA a Supplement to the Council’s January 20, 2017 Petition asking the Agency to reconsider the scientifically invalid Endangerment Finding on which all Obama-era greenhouse gas regulations are based. The Supplement may be found here.

The Council’s original Petition demonstrated that the Endangerment Finding is nothing more than assumptions that have each been disproved by the most relevant empirical evidence from the real world. The original Petition was substantially based on a major peer-reviewed 2016 scientific paper by James Wallace, John Christy and Joseph D’Aleo (Wallace 2016) that analyzed the best available temperature data sets and “failed to find that the steadily rising atmospheric CO2 concentrations have had a statistically significant impact on any of the 13 critically important tropical and global temperature time series data sets analyzed.” The full text of Wallace 2016 may be found here.

The Supplement to the Petition now brings to the attention of EPA new developments, since the date of the Petition, that render the invalidation of the Endangerment Finding yet more definitive. First among the new developments is a new extensively peer reviewed April 2017 Research Report, also from Wallace, Christy and D’Aleo (Wallace 2017). Wallace 2017 can be found here.

Wallace 2017 takes a totally different analytical approach than Wallace 2016, and specifically estimates the impacts of the key natural factors, including solar, volcanic and oceanic/ENSO activity, on tropical and global temperatures. It concludes that once these natural factor impacts on temperature data are accounted for, there is no “natural factor adjusted” warming remaining to be attributed to rising atmospheric CO2 levels. That is, these natural factor impacts fully explain the trends in all relevant temperature data sets over the last 50 or more years. This research, like Wallace (2016) found that rising atmospheric CO2 concentrations did not have a statistically significant impact on any of the (14) temperature data sets that were analyzed. At this point, there is no statistically valid proof that past increases in atmospheric CO2 concentrations have caused what have been officially reported as rising, or even record setting, temperatures.

The Supplement to the Petition also demonstrates the improper use of Climate Models relied upon by EPA in the attribution of warming to human–related CO2 emissions. Court records make it very clear that the premise of using climate models in attribution is that such models are properly validated, provide reliable forecasts, and are unable to reproduce observed warming without the additional forcing from anthropogenic Green House Gases (GHGs). Wallace (2016) and Wallace (2017) both independently demonstrate that this premise is false. Both reports show that natural factors alone explain all the warming. Conversely, climate models show a pattern of warming in the tropical troposphere that simply does not exist in nature-–the Missing Tropical Hot Spot. Thus, the climate models have been invalidated and cannot be relied upon by EPA for attribution analysis in its Endangerment Finding. Therefore, simple but insistent logic precludes the use of invalidated climate models to attribute warming to human emissions of GHGs, and requires reconsideration of the Endangerment Finding.

The Supplement to the Petition also puts in the record before EPA information from the March 29, 2017 testimony of John Christy before Congress which also dealt with the Missing Tropical Hot Spot issue. Dr. Christy’s Congressional testimony showed that the temperature trend, projected by climate models on which EPA relies, differs from the actual trend of observations at the 99% confidence level. Thus, the models used by EPA to conclude that greenhouse gases pose a “danger” to human health and welfare have failed a simple “scientific method” test. They have been invalidated.

The scientific invalidity of the Endangerment Finding becomes more blindingly obvious and undeniable with each day’s accumulation of empirical data. It is time for an honest and rigorous scientific re-evaluation of this Obama-era political document. The Nation has been taken down a tragically foolish path of pointless regulations and wasteful mal-investments to “solve” a problem which does not actually exist. Our leaders must summon the courage to acknowledge the truth and act accordingly.

The Council brought its Petition because the Obama-era greenhouse gas regulations threaten, as President Obama himself conceded, to make the price of electricity “skyrocket.” All Americans will benefit from a new era where the cheapest sources of energy can also compete and prevail in the marketplace.

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May 21, 2017 at 04:13PM

More Pictures From This Afternoon

More Pictures From This Afternoon

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All taken in the South Boulder Wetlands, which the progressive University of Colorado and City of Boulder want to destroy.

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May 21, 2017 at 03:12PM