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Oil And Climate Alarmism Don’t Mix For Shareholders

Oil And Climate Alarmism Don’t Mix For Shareholders

via JunkScience.com
https://junkscience.com

My Investor’s Business Daily op-ed about my ExxonMobil shareholder proposal to send all climate activist shareholders.

Oil And Climate Alarmism Don’t Mix For Shareholders

By Steve Milloy
May 18, 2017, Investor’s Business Daily

Which is the greater threat to oil and gas industry shareholders — anti-fossil fuel activists dressed in shareholders’ clothing or oil and gas industry corporate management? It’s a question that Exxon Mobil shareholders now have the opportunity to ponder before the oil giant’s May 31 annual shareholder meeting.

Shareholders will vote on the proposal I submitted titled, “Nuisance Shareholders,” which might more descriptively be called the “shareholder proposal to end all political activist shareholder proposals.”

As described in George Washington University professor Jarol B. Manheim’s 2004 book “Biz-War and the Out-of-Power Elite: The Progressive Attack on the Corporation,” left-wing political activists met and decided after the election of Ronald Reagan in 1980 that one way back to political power was to become activist shareholders in publicly owned corporations.

That is, they would exercise the rights and status of shareholders to pressure, if not, capture corporate managements so as to use corporate resources and influence to help achieve their political agenda.

It has been an enormously successful strategy for the activists, especially when it comes to the controversy over climate change. Not only do many of the largest and best-known publicly-owned corporations now openly advocate for climate policies, even oil and gas companies have been pressured into pursuing policies that militate against their own products.

After years of its annual meeting being turned into a circus by fossil fuel-opposing climate activist shareholders and other activist pressure, Exxon Mobil is perhaps foremost among U.S. oil and gas companies that now advocate for government action on climate, and against its own products and the best interests of its own shareholders.

Despite the November 2016 election of a presidential candidate who promised to withdraw the U.S. from the Paris climate treaty, called climate change hysteria a “hoax” and who promised to unleash the U.S. energy industry after eight years of anti-fossil fuel policies, Exxon Mobil management not only openly supports the Paris climate treaty but also supports a “carbon tax.” Both policies are intended to dramatically reduce if not eliminate fossil fuel use.

Some may imagine that Exxon Mobil’s announced climate policy is mere “greenwashing” — i.e., insincere posturing as eco-friendly for public relations purposes. But I take Exxon Mobil management at its word as expressed in deed and to me in negotiations over my proposal. Management believes that the climate is at risk from greenhouse gas emissions and that something needs to be done about it. While that is a perfectly reasonable position to take — if you are a climate activist — it is not so reasonable for oil company management.

As Milton Friedman famously wrote in 1970: “There is one and only one social responsibility of business — to use its resources and engage in activities designed to increase its profits so long as it stays within the rules of the game, which is to say, engages in open and free competition without deception or fraud.”

So businesses serve as society’s wealth generators. They are not governments, charities, or activist groups. When it comes to climate, Exxon Mobil’s job is to create wealth via production and sale of oil and gas — not to participate in the dubious pursuit of returning the atmosphere to pre-Industrial Revolution conditions.

The consequences to investors of oil and gas corporate management’s failing to seriously and effectively fight climate activists is best demonstrated by the recent experience of the coal industry in which I worked for years.

Although climate activists frequently demonize Republican politicians and climate skeptics as being in the pockets of the coal industry, the reality is somewhat different. The coal industry was never a major financial supporter of climate skeptics and generally refused to openly challenge climate science or counterattack climate activists.

The effect of coal industry political contributions was essentially nullified after the 2009-2010 failure of cap-and-trade legislation and President Obama’s subsequent resort to his regulatory agencies. Political contributions produced little in the way of return as Congress could only pass ill-fated bills that President Obama would never sign.

And it is a fact that much of the coal industry actually supported the anti-coal Waxman-Markey cap-and-trade bill in the vain and naive hope that peace could be negotiated with politically-driven coal industry opponents.

The result to shareholders of the coal industry management’s failure to combat its opponents was dramatic. The market value of coal companies declined from $69 billion in 2011 to $4.8 billion in 2016 — a 93% drop in five years. Many large publicly-owned coal companies filed for bankruptcy. When the largest, Peabody Energy, emerged from bankruptcy in April 2017, shareholders had their stock zeroed out.

Exxon Mobil shareholders ought to consider than when they vote on my proposal. Here’s why:

First, Exxon Mobil’s attempted appeasement of climate activists, from its supporting climate policies to refusing to fund climate skeptics, has gotten the company nothing — except an activist-inspired RICO criminal investigation by state attorneys general led by New York’s Eric Schneiderman.

Next, while the world can’t function without oil and gas, the world can function without Exxon Mobil shareholders. Even though coal companies went bankrupt and shareholders were zeroed out, the coal companies nevertheless provided fuel for about one-third of our electricity needs during 2011-2016.

I submitted the shareholder-proposal-to-end-all-proposals once before in 2008. Although the proposal failed, my presentation at the annual meeting was received with thunderous applause. At that meeting, my message was directed at the poseur activist shareholders: “If you don’t like the oil and gas business, get out,” I urged.

It hadn’t quite dawned on me at the time that the message might have been better directed at Exxon Mobil’s management.

Milloy is a senior fellow at the Energy & Environment Legal Institute and the author of “Scare Pollution: Why and How to Fix the EPA.”



via JunkScience.com https://junkscience.com

May 19, 2017 at 11:31AM

Extra Icy Arctic in May

Extra Icy Arctic in May

via Science Matters
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Image from earth:nullschool showing arctic wind patterns. This is the link to the animated display:
http://ift.tt/2rAA3cw

In May Arctic ice continues to be more extensive than recently.  As previously reported, central and Atlantic sea ice is above decadal averages.  The image below shows surprising growth since day 120 (April 30), with a pause the last few days.

Things are different on the Pacific side where Bering in particular has melted ahead of schedule, and now extending in Chuchi sea, inside the actual Arctic basin.

 

The graph below shows how in recent days 2017 NH ice extents have grown above average, even including the exceptionally low amounts of ice in the Pacific, Bering in particular.

 

Note that as of day 138, yesterday, 2017 NH ice was ~200k km2 above average, 300k above SII estimates, 600k above 2007 and nearly 800k km2 more than last year.

The graph below shows Arctic ice excluding the Pacific seas of Bering and Okhotsk.  This provides an even more dramatic view of this years ice extents.  Mid April Arctic ice was average, and look what has happened since May began on day 121.  There was a drop and a rise, with a current surplus of 450k km2.

The table for day 138 shows the regional extents for 2017 compared to averages and 2007.

Region 2017138 Day 138
Average
2017-Ave. 2007138 2017-2007
 (0) Northern_Hemisphere 12765934 12609649 156285 12228251 537683
 (1) Beaufort_Sea 1037364 1035052 2313 1063324 -25960
 (2) Chukchi_Sea 855121 935117 -79997 940430 -85309
 (3) East_Siberian_Sea 1068289 1082898 -14609 1069398 -1109
 (4) Laptev_Sea 897845 871037 26807 789644 108201
 (5) Kara_Sea 931636 883725 47911 892687 38949
 (6) Barents_Sea 526079 378812 147267 335179 190899
 (7) Greenland_Sea 629810 612779 17031 578928 50883
 (8) Baffin_Bay_Gulf_of_St._Lawrence 1286982 1059735 227247 1002295 284687
 (9) Canadian_Archipelago 851190 834484 16706 840548 10642
 (10) Hudson_Bay 1203259 1157573 45687 1132632 70627
 (11) Central_Arctic 3247685 3225767 21917 3231808 15877
 (12) Bering_Sea 86844 339072 -252228 227132 -140288
 (13) Baltic_Sea 7716 4442 3274 4398 3318
 (14) Sea_of_Okhotsk 134303 186523 -52219 117127 17177

The 300k km2 deficit in Bering and Okhotsk is evident.  Also Chuchi is starting to the show the effects from early Bering melting.  Every other sea is above average, with large surpluses in Baffin and Barents sea.

Some insight into the unusual Arctic ice growth comes from AER Arctic Report and Forecast May 8, 2017

Currently positive pressure/geopotential height anomalies are mostly focused on the North Atlantic side of the Arctic with mostly negative pressure/geopotential height anomalies across the mid-latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere (NH). This is resulting in a near record low Arctic Oscillation (AO) and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) for May.

It might be the second week of May but an unusually strong block/high pressure exists in the northern North Atlantic including Iceland and Greenland and is more commonly associated with winter. The unusually strong block is contributing to not only below normal temperatures to both sides of the North Atlantic, including Europe and the Eastern US but late season snowfall to Southeastern Canada, the Northeastern US and Russia. The negative geopotential height anomalies that have developed both downstream across western Eurasia including Europe and upstream across the Eastern US are predicted to persist for much of the month of May helping to ensure a relatively cool month of May for both Europe and the Eastern US.

Summary

Do not be mislead by reports of declining sea ice in the Arctic; it is a distraction based on early melting in the Pacific, especially Bering sea.

Meanwhile, on the Atlantic side of the Arctic, we have sightings and reports of ice surges along the coast of Newfoundland, such amounts not seen since the 1980s. Below is a NASA satellite photo of Newfoundland Sea Ice, May 5, 2017 Source: Newsfoundsander

 

via Science Matters http://ift.tt/2oqIky9

May 19, 2017 at 08:21AM

Theresa Wants To Lead The Fight Against Climate Change–But Won’t Tell Us How!

Theresa Wants To Lead The Fight Against Climate Change–But Won’t Tell Us How!

via NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT
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By Paul Homewood

 

image

http://ift.tt/2rmFkYK

 

The Tory manifesto also contains the above statement.

On the face of it, if we have got half way in 27 years, it should not be hard to get the rest of the way in the next 33. But, unfortunately, it is not quite as simple as that!

 

 

GHG emissions last year were 460 MtCO2e, down from 797 MtCO2e in 1990:

 

image

http://ift.tt/2nsrYW2

 

The 2050 target is 80% below 1990, that is 159 MtCO2e. We therefore need to reduce current emissions by 65% to meet this figure.

Moreover, the low lying fruit has already been picked.

In 1990, coal generation accounted for 68% of total power, with virtually no CCGT at all. Long before the Climate Change Act the dash for gas in the 1990s, built upon cheap North Sea gas, quickly began to supplant coal (and oil as well).

Last year, gas accounted for 42%, with coal down to 9%. This switch has been responsible for a good chunk of reduced emissions. Clearly, with coal nearly off the scene, there is little scope for such savings in future.

Secondly, energy consumption by industry has plummeted by 33% since 2000. Much of this must be due to offshoring. BEIS optimistically assume that energy demand from industry will remain pretty much stable in coming years !

 

Needless to say, the Tory manifesto does not give an inkling as to how we are supposed to eliminate most of our emissions in the next 33 years.

via NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT http://ift.tt/16C5B6P

May 19, 2017 at 08:15AM

Germany’s Energiewende ‘An Economic, Social and Ecological Disaster’, Leading Social Democrat Warns

Germany’s Energiewende ‘An Economic, Social and Ecological Disaster’, Leading Social Democrat Warns

via The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF)
http://www.thegwpf.com

In a referendum slated for this coming Sunday, Swiss citizens are being called to vote on a national energy strategy, dubbed Energiestrategie 2050.

Germany Green Party co-founder and former federal Homeland Minister Otto Georg Schily warns Swiss citizens voting on energy referendum that the Energiewende is “an economic, social and ecological disaster”. 

Now it is reported that just days ago German Green Party co-founder (later turned socialist) and former German Homeland Minister Otto Schily has come out to warn Swiss citizens against voting yes on the project, reminding them that Germany’s Energiewende (transition to green energies) is not the success it is often claimed to be, and that it has in fact turned into a 25 billion euro a year disaster.

This is reported the online Swiss daily, Basler Zeitung here.

Schily held the top position in Germany’s Homeland Ministry in the country’s Socialist/Green coalition government led by Gerhard Schröder from 1998 to 2005. He is regarded as one of the country’s most respected elderly politicians and statesmen.

According to the Basler Zeitung, Schily wrote a letter to Christoph Blocher, where he judged the Energiewende to be an “economic, ecological and social disaster” and so urged Swiss citizens to vote no.

The rightwing Swiss SVP party, led by Blocher, is leading the campaign against the green energy transformation project put forth by Swiss President Doris Leuthard of the centrist Christian CVP party. Both Schily and Blocher were Homeland ministers at the same time in their respective countries in the 2000s and are reported to maintain light contact.

The online Swiss site BLICK characterized Schily’s letter as “explosive”.

Full post

via The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF) http://www.thegwpf.com

May 19, 2017 at 07:47AM