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BBC’s Silly Anthrax Scare Story

BBC’s Silly Anthrax Scare Story

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By Paul Homewood

 

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The BBC have gone right over the top now, with this latest silly little scare story:

 

Throughout history, humans have existed side-by-side with bacteria and viruses. From the bubonic plague to smallpox, we have evolved to resist them, and in response they have developed new ways of infecting us.

We have had antibiotics for almost a century, ever since Alexander Fleming discovered penicillin. In response, bacteria have responded by evolving antibiotic resistance. The battle is endless: because we spend so much time with pathogens, we sometimes develop a kind of natural stalemate.

However, what would happen if we were suddenly exposed to deadly bacteria and viruses that have been absent for thousands of years, or that we have never met before?

We may be about to find out. Climate change is melting permafrost soils that have been frozen for thousands of years, and as the soils melt they are releasing ancient viruses and bacteria that, having lain dormant, are springing back to life.

Reindeer (Rangifer tarandus) migrating (Credit: Eric Baccega/naturepl.com)

Reindeer (Rangifer tarandus) migrating (Credit: Eric Baccega/naturepl.com)

In August 2016, in a remote corner of Siberian tundra called the Yamal Peninsula in the Arctic Circle, a 12-year-old boy died and at least twenty people were hospitalised after being infected by anthrax.

The theory is that, over 75 years ago, a reindeer infected with anthrax died and its frozen carcass became trapped under a layer of frozen soil, known as permafrost. There it stayed until a heatwave in the summer of 2016, when the permafrost thawed.

This exposed the reindeer corpse and released infectious anthrax into nearby water and soil, and then into the food supply. More than 2,000 reindeer grazing nearby became infected, which then led to the small number of human cases.

The fear is that this will not be an isolated case.

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Apparently we are expected to believe that, before it popped its clogs, this particular reindeer dug its own grave below permafrost thousands of years old!

Of course, 75 years ago, temperatures were the same as now, and there was no permafrost where Rudolf keeled over. It is only since then that the soil has frozen.

 

http://ift.tt/2qbQ1NC

http://ift.tt/2qbQ1NC

 

The BBC report then regales us with viruses, thousands of years old, which will be released to kill us all as the permafrost further melts.

Given that it has been warmer than now for most of the last 8000 years, this seems extremely remote, to put it mildly.

 

 

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Indeed, according to Russian researchers, Koshkarova and Koshkarov, temperatures in Central Siberia were 3-9 degreesC higher in winter and 2-6 degreesC higher in summer 8000 years ago.

 

Towards the end of the BBC’s sci-fi report, the author, Jasmin Fox-Skelly, states:

One argument is that the risk from permafrost pathogens is inherently unknowable, so they should not overtly concern us. Instead, we should focus on more established threats from climate change. For instance, as Earth warms northern countries will become more susceptible to outbreaks of "southern" diseases like malaria, cholera and dengue fever, as these pathogens thrive at warmer temperatures.

 

This is when we know the whole report is fake news. As has been well established by proper scientists, malaria and dengue fever are not affected by temperatures.

As one of the world’s leading specialists in the natural history and biology of mosquitoes, Prof Paul Reiter, told the Parliamentary Select Committee on Economic Affairs in 2005:

“The most catastrophic epidemic [of malaria] on record anywhere in the world occurred in the Soviet Union in the 1920s, with a peak incidence of 13 million cases per year, and 600,000 deaths. Transmission was high in many parts of Siberia, and there were 30,000 cases and 10,000 deaths due to falciparum infection (the most deadly malaria parasite) in Archangel, close to the Arctic circle.”

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But I don’t know why I am surprised. The BBC long ago lost any credibility where reporting on climate change is concerned.

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May 6, 2017 at 10:09AM

Freeze could cut Bordeaux wine harvest by 50 percent

Freeze could cut Bordeaux wine harvest by 50 percent

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Wine production to fall by about 350 million bottles.

Bordeaux vineyards in southwestern France could lose about half of their harvest this year after two nights of frost at the end of April damaged the crop, a wine industry official said today.

Frost damage varied widely depending on location. Some owners expected to lose only 15% to 30% of their grape harvest, others could see their entire production wiped out.

Wines from the Cognac, Bergerac and Lot-et-Garonne regions were also affected.

This follows last year’s 10 percent drop in France’s total wine output due to adverse weather conditions and a more than 20 percent drop the year before that.

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Thanks to Stephen Bird for this link


The post Freeze could cut Bordeaux wine harvest by 50 percent appeared first on Ice Age Now.

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May 6, 2017 at 08:37AM

How can they spin “global warming” into this?

How can they spin “global warming” into this?

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‘Dragon skin ice’ filmed off Antarctica as scientists study winter behaviour of region’s waters 6 May 2017

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May 6, 2017 at 08:16AM

Climate modelers: snow on Hawaiian peaks to disappear by end of century

Climate modelers: snow on Hawaiian peaks to disappear by end of century

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From the UNIVERSITY OF HAWAII AT MANOA and the “Hawaiian children just won’t know what snow is” department…

Snow in Hawai’i: What does the future hold?

Snow is on Mauna Kea and Mauna Loa, Hawai’i. CREDIT Gisela Speidel

Daydreams of the tropical paradise of Hawai’i rarely include snow in the imagery, but nearly every year, a beautiful white blanket covers the highest peaks in the state for at least a few days. However, systematic observations of snowfall and the snow cover dimensions on Mauna Kea and Mauna Loa are practically nonexistent. A group of climate modelers led by Chunxi Zhang from the International Pacific Research Center (IPRC) at the University of Hawai’i at Manoa used satellite images to quantify recent snow cover distributions patterns. They developed a regional climate model to simulate the present-day snowfalls and then to project future Hawaiian snowfalls. Their results indicate that the two volcano summits are typically snow-covered at least 20 days each winter, on average, but that the snow cover will nearly disappear by the end of the century.

To evaluate the current situation, Zhang and his colleagues examined surface composition data retrieved from satellite imagery of Hawai’i Island from 2000 to 2015 to construct a daily index of snow cover. They used this data compilation to evaluate the quality of their regional atmospheric climate model, based on global climate projections that included several scenarios of anticipated climate change. Zhang then ran simulations representative of the end of the 21st century, assuming a moderate business-as-usual scenario for greenhouse gas emissions projections, to establish how long Hawai’i might enjoy its occasional glimpses of white-topped mountains.

“We recognized that Hawaiian snow has an aesthetic and recreational value, as well as a cultural significance, for residents and visitors,” explained Zhang. “So, we decided to examine just what the implications of future climate change would be for future snowfall in Hawai’i.” Unfortunately, the projections suggest that future average winter snowfall will be ten times less than present day amounts, virtually erasing all snow cover.

Long term annual snowfall on Mauna Loa and Mauna Kea on Hawai’i Island. a) Current average snowfall (in mm of liquid water equivalent) b) Projected snowfall by 2100, from model run with moderate emissions scenario. Topographic contour interval is 200 m. CREDIT Zhang, et al. (2017)

The findings were not a total surprise, with future projections showing that even with moderate climate warming, air temperatures over the higher altitudes increase even more than at sea level, and that, on average, fewer winter storm systems will impact the state. However, the group’s new method for establishing the current snow cover on these Hawaiian mountains provides another avenue for monitoring the progression of climate change in the region. Ultimately, this study also illustrates the benefits of the recent trend in model downscaling, highlighting the regional and local effects of global climate change.

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The paper: http://ift.tt/2qbtkZN

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May 6, 2017 at 07:30AM