Category: Uncategorized

Paris, Meet Kyoto

Paris, Meet Kyoto

via The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF)
http://www.thegwpf.com

Despite the best efforts of environmentalists to asphyxiate the fossil fuel industry, the United States has unexpectedly emerged as the world’s leading energy producer—and we owe it to old-fashioned American innovation.

Cheaper energy has brought the U.S. greater security in the international arena, reduced U.S. reliance on oil-rich tyrannies, and made the average consumer wealthier. And ironically, this new status as natural gas- and petroleum-producer has also made the country more environmentally sensitive.

Hydraulic fracturing, or “fracing” in industry jargon, has drastically lowered annual carbon emissions by about 12 percent over the last decade. That’s a faster rate than the “environmentally conscious European Union” has achieved with draconian regulations, notes Victor Davis Hanson writing for National Review. Even with severe limits on where companies can frac and drill, private industry has ramped up oil production while minimizing America’s carbon footprint. That’s a feat unmatched by the EU’s anti-energy policies, and it should serve as a lesson against taking policy cues from Europe.

When President George W. Bush withdrew the U.S. in 2001 from the Kyoto climate protocol signed by his predecessor he was assailed in the media for his pigheaded “isolationism” in turning the United States into a “rogue state.” These apocalyptic predictions, however, turned out to be so much bunk. According to a report by the American Enterprise Institute, in the years following the Kyoto retreat, U.S. energy prices were half those of the EU, where carbon emissions actually increased due to the large-scale abandonment of nuclear energy. And in an ironic twist sure to reduce many Eurocrats to fits, the United States still became the first industrial state to meet the Kyoto Protocol emissions targets in 2012, thanks to vast increases in natural gas output.

The same can’t be said for Europe. New research shows that Germany – once hailed as “the green man of Europe” – is expected to miss its 40 percent emissions reduction goal by 2035—even after Germans have spent an extra 300 euros per person, per year in additional power bill costs.

Like former President Bush, President Donald Trump has met similar accusations following his decision last month to withdraw from the Paris Climate Accord—the fake “treaty” CRC’s Dr. Steven J. Allen calls “a bad deal based on flawed logic.” Like the Kyoto protocol, the Paris Climate Accord offered little tangible environmental gains – but trillions in lost wealth over the next two decades.

President Trump would do well to continue to encourage domestic energy growth, which has thus far yielded dividends to the average consumer.

Advances in fracing have streamlined costs and increased output dramatically. From 2014 to 2016, gas prices dropped by some $1.50 per gallon – amounting to more than $1,000 average annual savings for consumers. Americans today pay a national average of $2.26 per gallon of gas, according to the American Automobile Association’s price tracker. That figure contrasts starkly with the peak just five years ago, when gas prices in some areas neared $4 per gallon. Lower fuel costs put money in the pockets of working men and women, drive down the cost of food, and encourage governments to build and maintain more roads with less expense. More accessible energy is the foundation of our national economic prosperity.

Full post 

via The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF) http://www.thegwpf.com

July 13, 2017 at 07:05AM

A Remarkable Climate Warming Hiatus Over Northeast China Since 1998

A Remarkable Climate Warming Hiatus Over Northeast China Since 1998

via The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF)
http://www.thegwpf.com

In the Global Warming Hiatus (GWH) period, the annual mean temperature consistently exhibited a cooling trend in Northeast China.

Abstract: Characteristics and causes of global warming hiatus (GWH) phenomenon have received much attention in recent years. Monthly mean data of land surface air maximum temperature (Tmax), minimum temperature (Tmin), and mean temperature (Tmean) of 118 national stations since 1951 in Northeast China are used in this paper to analyze the changes of land surface air temperature in recent 64 years with an emphasis on the GWH period. The results show that (1) from 1951 to 2014, the warming trends of Tmax, Tmin, and Tmean are 0.20, 0.42, and 0.34 °C/decade respectively for the whole area, with the warming rate of Tmin about two times of Tmax, and the upward trend of Tmean obviously higher than mainland China and global averages; (2) in the period 1998–2014, the annual mean temperature consistently exhibits a cooling phenomenon in Northeast China, and the trends of Tmax, Tmin, and Tmean are −0.36, −0.14, and −0.28 °C/decade respectively; (3) in the GWH period, seasonal mean cooling mainly occurs in northern winter (DJF) and spring (MAM), but northern summer (JJA) and autumn (SON) still experience a warming, implying that the annual mean temperature decrease is controlled by the remarkable cooling of winter and spring; (4) compared to the global and mainland China averages, the hiatus phenomenon is more evident in Northeast China, and the cooling trends are more obvious in the cold season; (5) the Northeast China cooling trend occurs under the circulation background of the negative phase Arctic Oscillation (AO), and it is also closely related to strengthening of the Siberia High (SH) and the East Asian Trough (EAT), and the stronger East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) over the GWH period.

Full paper (subscription required)

 

see also: China Met Office Confirms Global Warming Hiatus

via The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF) http://www.thegwpf.com

July 13, 2017 at 06:34AM

Three Years To Save The World!

Three Years To Save The World!

via NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT
http://ift.tt/16C5B6P

By Paul Homewood

 

Put this in your calendar for 2020!

 

image

The world has three years to start making significant reductions in greenhouse gas emissions or face the prospect of dangerous global warming, experts have warned in an article in the prestigious journal Nature.

Calling for world leaders to be guided by the scientific evidence rather than “hide their heads in the sand”, they said “entire ecosystems” were already beginning to collapse, summer sea ice was disappearing in the Arctic and coral reefs were dying from the heat.

The world could emit enough carbon to bust the Paris Agreement target of between 1.5 to 2 degrees Celsius in anything from four to 26 years if current levels continue, the article said.

Global emissions had been rising rapidly but have plateaued in recent years. The experts, led by Christiana Figueres, who as Executive Secretary of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change played a key role in the Paris Agreement, said they must start to fall rapidly from 2020 at the latest.

“The year 2020 is crucially important for another reason, one that has more to do with physics than politics,” they said.

Citing a report published in April, they added: “Should emissions continue to rise beyond 2020, or even remain level, the temperature goals set in Paris become almost unattainable.

“Lowering emissions globally is a monumental task, but research tells us that it is necessary, desirable and achievable.”

via NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT http://ift.tt/16C5B6P

July 13, 2017 at 06:21AM

Another Smoking Gun That GRACE Data Is Garbage

Another Smoking Gun That GRACE Data Is Garbage

via The Deplorable Climate Science Blog
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One of the more popular data sources of climate junk science data is GRACE

GRACE – Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment

They use gravity data from satellites to generate fake graphs and maps like the one below, showing Greenland losing ice in places which never get above freezing.

Total mass change: Polar Portal

Grace_curve_La_EN_20160300.png (1882×1080)

To show how worthless the GRACE data is, I overlaid the DMI surface mass balance (SMB) data on the GRACE data. The SMB data (blue line) shows Greenland gaining lots of ice, while the GRACE data shows Greenland losing ice.

2013-2014      2014-2015    2015-2016

The SMB data doesn’t take into consideration flow of ice away from underneath, but it is pretty difficult to believe that the huge discrepancy between the two data sets is real. In any case, the claimed ice loss is not due to in situ melting. It is either data error or flow of ice into the ocean – which would have nothing to do with global warming.

The problem with gravity data is that it is affected not only by ice, but also by other things like movement of the land underneath the ice. The GRACE people have failed to take that into consideration, and have made wildly exaggerated claims of ice loss in the past which they had to stand down on.

Climate Change: New Study Halves the Rate of Ice Cap Melt | TIME.com

GRACE also claims that Antarctica is losing ice.

Climate Change: Vital Signs of the Planet: Land Ice

But Jay Zwally at NASA says Antarctica is gaining ice.

NASA Study: Mass Gains of Antarctic Ice Sheet Greater than Losses | NASA

The GRACE data is meaningless garbage, but climate scientists use it because it is good for funding.

via The Deplorable Climate Science Blog http://ift.tt/2i1JH7O

July 13, 2017 at 05:42AM