Month: February 2017

Debunking claims of Antarctica’s ‘record’ sea ice loss

Debunking claims of Antarctica’s ‘record’ sea ice loss

via Current News – Principia Scientific Internationalhttp://principia-scientific.org

The NSIDC announced #Antarctica’s #Sea Ice loss was the greatest it’s been since 1978 (when tracking began) despite a long-term trend showing the continent gaining in size. The sea ice, which shrinks every summer, contracted 883,015 square miles. The previous low was 884,173 square miles in 1997. That’s a difference of 0.1 percent or 1,158 square miles.

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via Current News – Principia Scientific International http://ift.tt/1kjWLPW

February 24, 2017 at 01:12AM

BBC: Most Scientists ‘Can’t Replicate Studies By Their Peers’

BBC: Most Scientists ‘Can’t Replicate Studies By Their Peers’

via The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF)http://www.thegwpf.com

Science is facing a “reproducibility crisis” where more than two-thirds of researchers have tried and failed to reproduce another scientist’s experiments, research suggests.

This is frustrating clinicians and drug developers who want solid foundations of pre-clinical research to build upon.

From his lab at the University of Virginia’s Centre for Open Science, immunologist Dr Tim Errington runs The Reproducibility Project, which attempted to repeat the findings reported in five landmark cancer studies.

“The idea here is to take a bunch of experiments and to try and do the exact same thing to see if we can get the same results.”

You could be forgiven for thinking that should be easy. Experiments are supposed to be replicable.

The authors should have done it themselves before publication, and all you have to do is read the methods section in the paper and follow the instructions.

Sadly nothing, it seems, could be further from the truth.

After meticulous research involving painstaking attention to detail over several years (the project was launched in 2011), the team was able to confirm only two of the original studies’ findings.

Two more proved inconclusive and in the fifth, the team completely failed to replicate the result.

“It’s worrying because replication is supposed to be a hallmark of scientific integrity,” says Dr Errington.

Concern over the reliability of the results published in scientific literature has been growing for some time.

According to a survey published in the journal Nature last summer, more than 70% of researchers have tried and failed to reproduce another scientist’s experiments.

Marcus Munafo is one of them. Now professor of biological psychology at Bristol University, he almost gave up on a career in science when, as a PhD student, he failed to reproduce a textbook study on anxiety.

“I had a crisis of confidence. I thought maybe it’s me, maybe I didn’t run my study well, maybe I’m not cut out to be a scientist.”

The problem, it turned out, was not with Marcus Munafo’s science, but with the way the scientific literature had been “tidied up” to present a much clearer, more robust outcome.

“What we see in the published literature is a highly curated version of what’s actually happened,” he says.

“The trouble is that gives you a rose-tinted view of the evidence because the results that get published tend to be the most interesting, the most exciting, novel, eye-catching, unexpected results.

“What I think of as high-risk, high-return results.”

The reproducibility difficulties are not about fraud, according to Dame Ottoline Leyser, director of the Sainsbury Laboratory at the University of Cambridge.

That would be relatively easy to stamp out. Instead, she says: “It’s about a culture that promotes impact over substance, flashy findings over the dull, confirmatory work that most of science is about.”

Full story

see also GWPF Report: Donna Laframboise: Peer Review — Why Skepticism Is Essential

 

via The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF) http://www.thegwpf.com

February 24, 2017 at 01:04AM

Physicist – CO2 does not cause climate change, it RESPONDS to it – Video

Physicist – CO2 does not cause climate change, it RESPONDS to it – Video

via Current News – Principia Scientific Internationalhttp://principia-scientific.org

More CO2 would actually help the planet , says Professor William Happer of Princeton University. CO2 can actually be beneficial to an ecosystem rather than a burden. Interviewed on TV at ‘Squawkbox.’ Asserts higher levels of carbon dioxide positively good thing. No risk to health, environment.

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via Current News – Principia Scientific International http://ift.tt/1kjWLPW

February 24, 2017 at 12:42AM

EU Sees Almost No Fossil Fuel Consumption Progress Despite Hundreds Of Billions Of Euros Invested!

EU Sees Almost No Fossil Fuel Consumption Progress Despite Hundreds Of Billions Of Euros Invested!

via NoTricksZonehttp://notrickszone.com

The statistics arm of the European Union, Eurostat, has released recent figures on energy consumption. They are a huge disappointment and show that the community has only succeeded at wasting hundreds of billions of euros, while having no impact on the climate.

EU energy consumption fell only a measly 2.5% from 1990 to 2015, eurostat reports.

Also the share of fossil fuels in total energy consumption in the EU remains stubbornly high:

        Despite committing an estimated 1 trillion euros in green energies, Europe remains intensively high with respect to fossil fuel consumption. Source:

eurostat

      . For the money, Europe will contribute theoretically only a very few tenths of degree less warming to the global climate by the year 2100.

Though energy consumption in the EU is below its 1990 level, EU dependency on fossil fuel imports is on the rise:

Source: eurostat.

In 2015, gross inland energy consumption, which reflects the energy quantities necessary to satisfy all inland consumption, amounted in the European Union (EU) to 1,626 million tonnes of oil equivalent (Mtoe), below its 1990 level (-2.5%) and down by 11.6% compared to its peak of almost 1,840 Mtoe in 2006.

Accounting for nearly three-quarters of EU consumption of energy in 2015, fossil fuels continued to represent by far the main source of energy, although their weight has constantly decreased over the past decades, from 83% in 1990 to 73% in 2015. However, over this period, EU dependency on imports of fossils fuels has increased, with 73% imported in 2015 compared with just over half (53%) in 1990.

In other words, while in 1990 one tonne of fossil fuels was imported for each tonne produced in the EU, by 2015 three tonnes were imported for each tonne produced.

Source: eurostat.

Based on EU 2012 directives, EU renewable energy share is supposed to be at least 27% of the electric power production 2030. And according to an EU 2014 agreement, greenhouse gas emissions is supposed to be 40 percent less, a target that climate protection activists say is too little!

Though statistics showing considerable greenhouse gas reductions since 1990, the vast majority of it happened right after the shut down of the dilapidated, communist run industries in the first years after the fall of the Iron Curtain. There has been little progress since.

 

via NoTricksZone http://notrickszone.com

February 24, 2017 at 12:40AM