Month: March 2017

German Scientists Slam DWD German Weather Service Concealment Of February Cooling Trend!

German Scientists Slam DWD German Weather Service Concealment Of February Cooling Trend!

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By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt

(German excerpts translated/edited by P Gosselin)

On February 27, 2017, the DWD German National Weather Service concluded in its February report:

February 2017 was much too warm and with only average sunshine

Offenbach, 27 February 2017– At the beginning of February 2017, it was still cold in the north-east due to the influence of high pressure. However, low pressure troughs bringing milder air were already reaching into the south and west of the country. Then, from the middle of the month onwards, all parts of the country were exposed to a powerful westerly airflow that brought much precipitation. These conditions culminated on 23 February with storm gusts, particularly in the west, and spring-like temperatures in the south. Overall, February was much too warm and precipitation and sunshine were almost balanced. This is what the initial analysis by the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) of data from its around 2,000 weather stations shows.”

Continue reading at DWD.

The recent February was much too warm! One can easily imagine as follows: A wild temperature peak standing out well above the otherwise usual temperatures. Once again more proof that for years things have been going in only one direction: only hotter and hotter and hotter.

However the DWD does not provide any chart along with its press release. Wouldn’t many people certainly like to see the February heat trend as a chart? It’s a pity that the DWD chooses not to show charts here.

Thankfully Josef Kowatsch stepped in for the DWD and produced a chart using the official DWD data to show the February mean temperature curve for the last 30 years:

Figure: Chart of the February mean temperature over the past 30 years in Germany, data from the DWD, chart: Josef Kowatsch.

The sense of wonder is large: What do they mean by “much too warm”? The climate trend over the past 30 years for February shows a clear downward movement. This year’s uptick is nothing unusual and has happened regularly over the past 3 decades. nach.

This is truly a poor showing by the DWD, which misled the citizens. There is absolutely no reference made to the last 30 years, no chart, no context. This is a most dubious politicization of the weather report…

Moreover what follows is the trend of the North Atlantic oceanic heat, which shows a very clear cooling trend has taken hold since 2007:

Figure: Trend of the North Atlantic heat down to a depth of 700 meters over the past 60 years. Chart: Climate4You

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March 14, 2017 at 02:37AM

“Arctic ice loss driven by natural swings, not just mankind: study”

“Arctic ice loss driven by natural swings, not just mankind: study”

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Guest post by David Middleton From the No Schist, Sherlock files… The “record low wintertime maximum extent” still looks pretty icy. By Alister Doyle | OSLO Natural swings in the Arctic climate have caused up to half the precipitous losses of sea ice around the North Pole in recent decades, with the rest driven by […]

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March 14, 2017 at 01:11AM

Hail Shale: OPEC Is Losing The Global Oil Game

Hail Shale: OPEC Is Losing The Global Oil Game

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The prospect of rising US shale production threatens to undermine the efforts of OPEC, which now looks at risk of having ceded market share for no substantial price gain. –Jesse Snyder, Financial Post, 11 March 2017 Oil settles at the lowest level since November as record U.S. crude inventories and a boost in drilling activity […]

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March 14, 2017 at 01:04AM

Gas power shortage sees Australia face blackout threat

Gas power shortage sees Australia face blackout threat

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By Paul Homewood

 

image

A shortage of gas-fired power generation and gas supply has seen the Australian gas market operator issue a blackout warning.
The country faces a gas crunch from 2019, as a string of outages and electricity price spikes in
Australia‘s eastern states over the past year highlighted the need for gas-fired generation to shore up power supplies.

Mike Cleary
"We’re going to see security of both systems, gas and electricity, become more challenging," Mike Cleary, chief operating officer of the Australian

Energy Market Operator (AEMO), told Reuters.

Reuters reports that according to the AEMO annual gas outlook, more gas power plants will be needed as they can raise and lower output more quickly than coal-fired plants as a back-up for intermittent wind and solar.
The need has become more acute after three new liquefied natural gas (LNG) export plants opened in the northeast, tripling gas demand and drawing supply out of the domestic market

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March 14, 2017 at 12:24AM