Two technical critiques of the Harvey et al. polar bear Bioscience attack paper

Not much time for blogging, but two technical critiques  of the Harvey et al. paper have recently been posted, which you might like to read at your leisure. I will update this post when I can if more critiques appear plus I’ve provided a list of previous posts (my and others) on this issue.

Polar Bears, Inadequate data and Statistical Lipstick (18 Decemeber 2018, RomanM writing at ClimateAudit)

McIntyre guest blog on Harvey paper photo led_RomanM 18 Dec 2017

Polar bear attack paper invalidated by non-independent analysis” (Cross posted 14 December 2017 at ClimateScepticism from the blog of Shub Nuggarath, 12 December 2017).

Fig 3 Sea ice prediction vs reality 2012
Predicted sea ice changes (based on 2004 data) at 2020, 2050, and 2080 that were used in 2007 to predict a 66% decline in global polar bear numbers vs. an example of the sea ice extent reality experienced since 2007 (shown is 2012). See Crockford 2017 for details.

Read a short summary of the paper that Harvey et al. don’t want you to know about here:

Crockford, S.J. and Geist, V. 2018. Conservation Fiasco. Range Magazine, Winter 2017/2018, pg. 26-27. Pdf here.

The paper itself is here:

Crockford, S.J. 2017. Testing the hypothesis that routine sea ice coverage of 3-5 mkm2 results in a greater than 30% decline in population size of polar bears (Ursus maritimus). PeerJ Preprints 2 March 2017. Doi: 10.7287/peerj.preprints.2737v3 Open access. http://ift.tt/2ozOors

The paper being criticized (Harvey et al. 2017, in press: “Internet blogs, polar bears, and climate-change denial by proxy”, Bioscience, open acces) is available here.  There is a supplementary data file available here and the data for the principle component analsysis is available here 

More on this after Christmas but for now a list of previous blog posts of mine and others is provided below.

Previous blog posts of mine on this issue:

Polar bears refused to die as predicted and this is how the propheseers respond (29 November 2017)

Bioscience article is academic rape: an assertion of power and intimidation (2 December 2017)

Retraction request to Bioscience_FOIA emails document another harsh criticism of Amstrups 2007 polar bear model (5 December 2017)

Bioscience paper and starving polar bear follow-up (11 December 2017)

Bioscience editor tells journalist he won’t retract Harvey paper (16 December 2017)

Blog posts by others on this issue (my apologies if there are some I’ve missed):

Climate Scientists Harassing Women (asexually, of course)–Again–Matt Lauer, Meet Michael Mann (01 Dec 17 by thomaswfuller2)

Polar bears and Arctic sea ice (December 3, 2017, by Ken Rice)

Susan Crockford on the decline of the polar bear icon (05 Dec 17 by Paul Matthews)

Lying about Susan Crockford and others (06 Dec 17 by Paul Matthews)

Who Wrote the World’s Worst Scientific Paper? (06 Dec 17 by Geoff Chambers)

Polar-Bear-Gate (06 Dec 17 by Paul Mathews)

An interview with Dr. Susan Crockford on the Harvey et al. attack paper over polar bear research (December 7, 2017, Anthony Watts, WUWT)

via polarbearscience

http://ift.tt/2yTh1kS

December 18, 2017 at 03:34PM

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