Week in review – science edition

by Judith Curry

A few things that caught my eye this past week.

North American mega droughts in the Common Era [link]

Ice sheets interact with the atmosphere, ocean, lithosphere, sea ice, and biosphere. How does it all work? Via   [link]

A fresh take on ancient climate change in the North Pacific [link]

New Science Affirms Arctic Region Was 6°C Warmer Than Now 9000 Years Ago [link]

Evaluating the accuracy of seasonal forecast predictions [link]

Collection of Nature papers on forests and climate [link]

The impact of stratospheric circulation extremes on minimum arctic sea ice extent [link]

John Kennedy blog post on sea surface temperature measurements [link]

Choice of a priori aerosol-forcing time-series has a strong effect on the estimated climate sensitivity [link]

A new study finds that the ground underneath the West Antarctic Ice Sheet region is rebounding, or rising, at an extraordinarily rapid rate.[link]

“Land Surface Air Temperature Data Are Considerably Different Among BEST‐LAND, CRU‐TEM4v, NASA‐GISS, and NOAA‐NCEI” [link]

Embracing an uncertain future: importance of natural internal variability [link]

Investigating the transient response to Arctic sea ice loss in a coupled atmosphere-ocean model. Ocean dynamics are important in evaluating the response. [link

It’s challenging to represent natural climate variability in regional model projections. [link]

“Effect of recent minor volcanic eruptions on temperatures in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere” [link]

New study assessing the projected narrowing and less-wavy North Atlantic wintertime jet. This results from the tug-of-war between upper-troposphere tropical warming  and Arctic amplification . [link]

Previously unsuspected volcanic activity confirmed under West Antarctic Ice Sheet at Pine Island Glacier [link]

Planting carbon storage [link]

New  paper on climate modes and sea level  [link]

Influence of radiative forcing factors on ground-air temperature coupling during the last millennium: implications for borehole climatology [link]

US landfalls “a statistically significant downward trend since 1950, with the percentage of total Atlantic ACE expended over the continental U.S. at a series minimum during the recent drought period” [link]

How many water droplets are in a cloud? And why it matters.  [link]

This paper is a nice example of why climate modeling is so hard. The fact that most ice-crystals have complicated structures means they have more than 1 Wm-2 greater cooling than if they were symmetric [link]

When environmental forces collide:  multiple factors in extreme weather events [link]

The land ice contribution to sea level during the satellite era [link]

New study finds volcanic activity under the West Antarctic Ice Sheet.  [link]

What can the internal variability of climate models tell us about their sensitivity? [link]

Sunlight, clouds, sea ice, albedo, and the radiative budget: the umbrella versus the blanket [link]

Arctic warming hotspot in the northern Barents Sea linked to declining sea-ice import [link]

Atlantic impacts on the tropical Pacific on multidecadal timescales. [link]

Impact of aerosol and water vapour on SW radiation at the surface: Sensitivity study and applications [link]

On the mechanisms of warming the mid-Pliocene and the inference of a hierarchy of climate sensitivities with relevance to the understanding of climate futures (link)

Social science and policy

Not perfect – but lots of good: What we can learn from China’s fight against environmental ruin [link]

Pielke Jr: Climate denial of the second kind. How UN climate policies are inducing myopia in terms of actually dealing with the issue. [link]

Water scarcity in Pakistan: conspiracy or mismanagement? [link]

Google.gov:  the quiet alignment  between “smart government” and the information engine [link]

The problem with solving problems: causes people to redefine problems as they are reduced [link]

Building Back Better:  How to reduce global disaster losses by 31 percent?? [link]

Benefits of Silvopasture: healthier animals, better soil, less pest control and mowing, and climate change mitigation [link]

Nordhaus:  The Earth’s carrying capacity is not fixed [link]

Heuristics and public policy. [link]

Perspective: The ability of societies to adapt to twenty-first-century sea-level rise [link]

If we want to overcome the systemic issues behind today’s problems, we need to change the thinking that led to them.” [link]

Rethinking the river [link]

About science and scientists

Cargo-cult statistics & scientific crisis [link

The slippery math of causation [link]

Daniel Sarewitz on the scientific method [link]

How to use behav sci to work with people and tell stories that open minds, rather than reinforce certainty. [link]

Cmmemoration of Keith Briffa’s contributions to Dendroclimatology published online in The

Bonfire of the academies: two professors on how leftist intolerance is killing higher education [link]

This is a long read. But what a cesspit academic existence has become. A truly depressing tale [link]

Wow, using a weather ballon to make a suicide look like a homicide. [link]

via Climate Etc.

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July 14, 2018 at 01:35PM

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