Contributor Steve Brown has sent me this nice plot he’s made of Solar Cycle 25 forecasts. It’s worth noting that Rick Salvador’s (blue) is the earliest, made back in 2013. The ‘NASA consensus’ forecast (green) is quite similar to Leif Svalgaard’s.
Also of interest is NASA scientist Irina Kitiashvili’s forecast, made earlier this year. It has similar magnitude to Rick’s, but is billed to start later.
The Sun is a big non-linear beast, and the magnitude of it’s changes in activity are not easy to predict. The next few years will make interesting watching for all solar scientists and researchers.
There are several different prediction methods in play here, and conclusions will be drawn as to which are more useful in the next few years.
via Tallbloke’s Talkshop
December 30, 2019 at 11:03AM
Iowa Climate Science Education 