Dry, hot summers could become ‘common’ in Scotland-Or maybe not!

By Paul Homewood

 

h/t Joe Public

The latest junk science courtesy of the Met Office and BBC:

 

 

 image

Scotland should prepare for more dry, hot summers with temperatures of about 30C, according to researchers.

They say that unless CO2 emissions are cut "very drastically" across the world, record-breaking summers such as 2018 could become "quite common".

That summer was unusually hot, with a near record high of 31.9C recorded at Bishopton in Renfrewshire.

Academics say the country should plan how to deal with more frequent high temperatures caused by climate change.

The report by researchers from Edinburgh and Oxford universities and Met Office staff analyses UK climate projections.

They suggest there is a substantial increase in the likelihood of temperatures reaching 2018’s levels between now and 2050.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-51347881

 

Back in the real world, the summer of 2018 was only the 7th hottest since 1885, and it was not even as hot as in 1933 and 1955:

 

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/uk-temperature-rainfall-and-sunshine-time-series 

 

Such summers are still very rare events, and show no sign of becoming more common.

 

The “near record” temperature of 31.9C set at Bishopton in 2018 is actually nothing of the sort, or indicative of a warming trend.

Temperatures above 32C have been recorded in every month between June and September, in 1893, 1908, 1901, 2003 and 1906:

image

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/uk-climate-extremes

 

And at Eskdalemuir, peak summer temperatures have been dropping since 1976:

 

time series

http://climexp.knmi.nl/gdcntmax.cgi?id=someone@somewhere&WMO=UK000003162&STATION=ESKDALEMUIR&extraargs= 

 

Finally we should look at summer rainfall in Scotland. As we can see, even the summer of 2018 was not unusually dry, unlike several earlier in the record.

 

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/uk-temperature-rainfall-and-sunshine-time-series

 

And they have the nerve to call themselves scientists!

via NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

https://ift.tt/3811p1g

February 4, 2020 at 11:30AM

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