Month: February 2020

CDC Covid-19 – Possible US Case of Chinese Corona Virus from an Unknown Source

Guest essay by Eric Worrall

CDC efforts to contain the Chinese Corona Virus in the USA have focussed on identifying chains of infection and isolating everyone who might have come in contact with infected people. But a case of Chinese Corona Virus infection has appeared in California, without an obvious chain of infection, prompting fears the virus may be spreading undetected in the community.

CDC Confirms Possible First Instance of COVID-19 Community Transmission in California 

Date: February 26, 2020
Number: NR20-006
Contact: Corey Egel | 916.440.7259 | CDPHpress@cdph.ca.gov

SACRAMENTO – The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention today confirmed a possible first case of person-to-person transmission of COVID-19 in California in the general public. The individual is a resident of Solano County and is receiving medical care in Sacramento County. The individual had no known exposure to the virus through travel or close contact with a known infected individual. 

California has a strong health care system and public health infrastructure. California has prepared for the potential spread of diseases, such as H1N1, in the past and is prepared and actively responding to the potential community spread of COVID-19. Contact tracing in this case has already begun. 

The health risk from novel coronavirus to the general public remains low at this time. While COVID-19 has a high transmission rate, it has a low mortality rate. From the international data we have, of those who have tested positive for COVID-19, approximately 80 percent do not exhibit symptoms that would require hospitalization. There have been no confirmed deaths related to COVID-19 in the United States to date. California is carefully assessing the situation as it evolves. 

“Keeping Californians safe and healthy is our number one priority,” said Dr. Sonia Angell, Director of the California Department of Public Health and State Public Health Officer. “This has been an evolving situation, which California has been monitoring and responding to since COVID-19 cases first emerged in China last year. This is a new virus, and while we are still learning about it, there is a lot we already know. We have been anticipating the potential for such a case in the U.S., and given our close familial, social and business relationships with China, it is not unexpected that the first case in the U.S. would be in California. That’s why California has been working closely with federal and local partners, including health care providers and hospitals, since the outbreak was first reported in China — and we are already responding.” 

As in any public health emergency, the Department of Public Health’s Emergency Operations Center has been actively coordinating response efforts across the state and preparing for possible community transmission. California continues to prepare and respond in coordination with federal and local partners. 

This would be the first known instance of person-to-person transmission in the general public in the United States. Previously known instances of person-to-person transmission in the United States include one instance in Chicago, Illinois, and one in San Benito County, California. Both cases were after close, prolonged interaction with a family member who returned from Wuhan, China and had tested positive for COVID-19, the disease caused by novel coronavirus. As of today, including this case, California has had 7 travel-related cases, one close contact case, and now one community transmission. 

As with any virus, especially during the flu season, the Health Department reminds you there are a number of steps you can take to protect your health and those around you: 

  •  Washing hands with soap and water. 
  • Avoiding touching eyes, nose or mouth with unwashed hands. 
  •  Avoiding close contact with people who are sick are all ways to reduce the risk of infection with a number of different viruses. 
  • Staying away from work, school or other people if you become sick with respiratory symptoms like fever and cough. 

The California Department of Public Health will not be providing additional information about this patient due to patient confidentiality. For more information about novel coronavirus, please visit the CDPH website.  

Source: https://www.cdph.ca.gov/Programs/OPA/Pages/NR20-006.aspx

How do you prepare for a virus?

The most important thing is not to panic. Panic is useful if you need an extra burst of speed to escape a hungry lion, but it messes up your ability to think clearly. Panic does not help you think your way to safety.

At the same time, don’t ignore this.

My personal response has been to buy a few extra tins of food, stock up with a month worth of non-perishable food. Almost exactly the same precautions I take when my district is threatened by floods and storms.

Make sure that if you have to lock your front door for a few weeks, you won’t go hungry. And don’t run out of toilet paper, like we almost did in 2013 when we were cut off by floods.

What else should we do? Personally I’m continuing to go about my normal life. Because bills still have to be paid, and life goes on.

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February 27, 2020 at 04:26PM

“This Is Still British Weather” – Ex BBC Weatherman John Kettley

By Paul Homewood

 

 

h/t Dave Ward

 

 

Dave sent me a copy of this snippet from The Mail today:

 

 kettley 

 

Indeed everything I have seen so far suggests that the rainfall this month is a long way from being unprecedented, even in the worst hot areas.

While the Met Office have been pointing this month to being one of the wettest Februaries on record, we need to bear in mind that February is typically the driest month of the autumn/winter period.

I await with interest the actual numbers, but strongly suspect that this month’s rainfall will be well down the list of all months.

Indeed the Met Office have been strangely reticent about actual numbers. They are usually keen to broadcast news of records, either broken or close to broken. Instead this month all we keep hearing is that a “month’s worth of rain has fallen in a day” somewhere. As we know this is a common event every year somewhere or another. Such a claim is no more than a PR stunt.

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February 27, 2020 at 01:43PM

A History Of Floods In Windsor

By Paul Homewood

 

George Clooney is worried that his tennis court is under a couple inches of water at his £12m mansion on the banks of the Thames in Berkshire:

 image

 https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/11010338/george-clooney-berkshire-mansion-storm-dennis-floods/

 

He ought to be grateful he was not living there in Oscar Wilde’s days!

From the Royal Windsor website, we find that Thames floods were regular occurrences back then:

image

It is not widely known that in Victorian times, Windsor, and also the rest of the country, suffered flooding far more regularly than in the 20th century. Although this can partly be blamed on less effective river management, there must also be an element of extreme weather conditions. For example, a particularly severe flood seems to have occurred in 1852, the Illustrated London News reporting that the floods of December 1872 were some two feet lower than the floods of 1852. It has also been reported that a severe flood, possibly worse than 1894 occurred in 1774.

 

January 1869

floods Jan 1869

The flood in Windsor in January 1869 pictured in The Illustrated London News.

 

January 1872

Floods January 1872

Thursday and Friday 25th and 26th January 1872.
A view from the GWR railway viaduct towards Windsor, with the floodwater reaching the lower areas of the town.

 

January 1873

1873 from round tower

The Floods of early January 1873 from The Round Tower

 

November 1875

Floods 1875

A tinted and slightly stylised view of flooding around The Goswells in November 1875

 

January 1877

Floods 1877

Floods of 1875

The flooding in December 1876 extended into January 1877. This view shows the Home Park inundated and only the raised roadway to Datchet, constructed in 1851, still passable.

 

1891

Goswells 1891

Floods in 1891 adjacent to the railway arch over Goswell Road.

 

1894

Goswells Flood 1894

In 1894 a major flood inundated Windsor, the highest until the floods of 1947.

 

And then there was 1947!

Flooded gasworks with punts

A view of the flooded gasworks from the GWR Station

Oxford Road

Oxford Road looking west from Alma Road as supplies are brought by boat to upstairs windows.

Oxford Road and Alma Road

A view of Alma Road looking north. A DUKW amphibious vehicle emerges from Oxford Road,

 

The archive finishes:

Floods in other Eras

In the course of researching the above article, we have also found references to floods in 1915, 1912, 1841, 1821, 1819, 1774 when Henley Bridge was swept away, 1768, 1764 and 1742.

http://www.thamesweb.co.uk/windsor/windsorhistory/floods1875.html

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February 27, 2020 at 01:19PM

Don’t Panic!

“Donald Trump is right about this one.”
– James McC…
______________

Don’t Panic!

James McC…

I live in a province (Northern Ireland) with a population of 1,880,000. China has a population of 1,440,000,000. – so there are about 750 Chinese (in China) for every person in Northern Ireland.

There have been 2,800 deaths in China from covid-19; that would correspond to 4 deaths in Northern Ireland. In the ‘flu season which is just winding down, we had 10 deaths from ‘flu, a bit less than average; the local media did not go ape or even mention it. After all, there are about 300 deaths from all causes per week in N.I., par for the course in the western world.

Donald Trump is right about this one.

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February 27, 2020 at 01:05PM