COVID discussion thread IV

by Judith Curry

My latest roundup of articles

NY:  first results from a statewide antibody study: 14% [link]

A leaked Chinese study finds no benefit from anti-viral remdesivir in treating COVID-19 patients. https://reason.com/2020/04/23/leaked-study-finds-no-benefit-from-antiviral-remdesivir-in-treating-covid-19/

South Korean patients who test positive for reactivated COVID have little or no infectivity [link]

COVID-19 causes strokes in young adults [link]

COVID-19 superspreader events in 28 countries: critical patterns and lessons [link]

on the use of saliva as a diagnostic sample for #SARSCoV2 testing [link]

CDC’s failed coronavirus tests were tainted with coronavirus [link]

U.S. intelligence officials are still weighing the possibility that coronavirus might have escaped by accident from a Chinese lab. [link]

A mysterious blood-clotting complication is killing coronavirus patients [link]

Pandemic death toll twice as high as official figure [link]

Coronavirus patients don’t realize they have pneumonia  [link]

Coronavirus: curse of the ‘Bat Woman’.  What went on in the Wuhan lab? [link]

Coronavirus has mutated to become far deadlier in Europe than the milder strain that made its way to the US west coast, Chinese study finds https://mol.im/a/8237849

COVID19 – whats wrong with the models? [link]

How does coronavirus kill?  Clinicians trace a ferocious rampage through the body [link]

COVID-19 ability to mutate has been vastly underestimated [link]

A roundup of COVID drugs/vaccines being tested [link]

Early Results of Antibody Testing Suggest Number of COVID-19 Infections Far Exceeds Number of Confirmed Cases in Los Angeles County [link]

Forecasting S-curves is hard [link]

Contamination delayed CDC’s coronavirus test, scientists say [link]

public health interventions with the epidemiology of the COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan based on analysis of 32,000+ lab-confirmed COVID-19 cases in Wuhan till Mar 8 appeared on April 10. [link]

Dont try to predict COVID19.  if you must, use deep uncertainty methods [link]

Policy and economy

Lockdowns don’t work [link]

Models, math and COVID19:  A public health response [link]

Ed Dolan’s roadmap for ending the COVID lockdown [link]

Coronavirus antibody testing shows LA County outbreak is up to 55 times bigger than reported cases. [link]

The secret to Germany’s COVID19 success: Angela Merkel is a scientist [link]

COVID19 and the policy sciences:  initial reactions and perspectives [link]

Doubt is essential for science – but for politicians its a sign of weakness [link]

Viral politics [link]

New pathogen, old politics [link]

Vietnam’s low cost COVID strategy [link]

We’re not going back to normal.  What will the new normal look like? [link]

COVID: do governments ever truly listen to the science? [link]

What the WHO said about COVID19 as the pandemic  unfolded [link]

How China deceived the WHO [link]

Inside America’s Two-Decade Failure to Prepare for Coronavirus https://politico.com/news/magazine/2020/04/11/america-two-decade-failure-prepare-coronavirus-179574

“There is an absence of evidence to support the immediate national deployment of symptom tracking applications, digital contact tracing applications and digital immunity certificates.” [link]
.

Sociology

How to communicate effectively about the pandemic [link]

Could Covid-19 Affect Public Trust in Science? [link]

Typhoid Mary left a trail of scandal and death [link]

Rethinking human ecology in the age of COVID19 [link]

How not to lose the COVID19 communication war [link]

Is the virus giving us back philosophy [link]

via Climate Etc.

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April 23, 2020 at 06:48PM

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