Lockdown Fail In One Easy Graph
Guest “Excel-lent!” by David Middleton
What happens if you crossplot the “lockdown” rating of the Lower 48 states and DC with the COVID-19 infection rate?
To the extent there is a correlation, the states with the tightest lockdowns have the highest infection rates. Alaska and Hawaii were the only states ranking in the top 10 most aggressive lockdowns that didn’t have high infection rates. They are also isolated relative to the contiguous United States.
But, but, but… Correlation is not causation! States could have locked down more tightly in response to the infections! The lockdown rating was as of April 6, 2020 and the infection data are as of May 11, 2020.
Data Sources
Worldometer. WORLD / COUNTRIES / UNITED STATES. Last updated: May 11, 2020
| State | Lockdown Rating | Total Cases/1M | Deaths/1M | Deaths % of pop. |
| New York | 1 | 17,755 | 1,378 | 0.14% |
| District of Columbia | 2 | 8,887 | 458 | 0.05% |
| Alaska | 3 | 518 | 14 | 0.00% |
| Hawaii | 4 | 446 | 12 | 0.00% |
| New Jersey | 5 | 15,763 | 1,043 | 0.10% |
| Rhode Island | 6 | 10,642 | 398 | 0.04% |
| Washington | 7 | 2,313 | 122 | 0.01% |
| Massachusetts | 8 | 11,287 | 722 | 0.07% |
| New Hampshire | 9 | 2,259 | 98 | 0.01% |
| West Virginia | 10 | 760 | 30 | 0.00% |
| Minnesota | 11 | 1,999 | 102 | 0.01% |
| Vermont | 12 | 1,486 | 85 | 0.01% |
| Maryland | 13 | 5,390 | 272 | 0.03% |
| Connecticut | 14 | 9,411 | 832 | 0.08% |
| Delaware | 15 | 6,621 | 230 | 0.02% |
| Louisiana | 16 | 6,797 | 492 | 0.05% |
| Maine | 17 | 1,068 | 48 | 0.00% |
| California | 18 | 1,719 | 69 | 0.01% |
| Pennsylvania | 19 | 4,691 | 299 | 0.03% |
| Ohio | 20 | 2,060 | 115 | 0.01% |
| Indiana | 21 | 3,584 | 224 | 0.02% |
| Montana | 22 | 429 | 15 | 0.00% |
| Illinois | 23 | 6,135 | 269 | 0.03% |
| Idaho | 24 | 1,248 | 37 | 0.00% |
| Oregon | 25 | 765 | 30 | 0.00% |
| Wisconsin | 26 | 1,755 | 69 | 0.01% |
| Tennessee | 27 | 2,194 | 36 | 0.00% |
| South Carolina | 28 | 1,486 | 64 | 0.01% |
| Georgia | 29 | 3,187 | 132 | 0.01% |
| Kansas | 30 | 2,387 | 60 | 0.01% |
| Colorado | 31 | 3,421 | 169 | 0.02% |
| Missouri | 32 | 1,631 | 81 | 0.01% |
| New Mexico | 33 | 2,319 | 95 | 0.01% |
| Kentucky | 34 | 1,441 | 68 | 0.01% |
| Virginia | 35 | 2,937 | 100 | 0.01% |
| Iowa | 36 | 3,790 | 84 | 0.01% |
| North Carolina | 37 | 1,424 | 54 | 0.01% |
| North Dakota | 38 | 1,957 | 46 | 0.00% |
| Arizona | 39 | 1,528 | 74 | 0.01% |
| Michigan | 40 | 4,720 | 456 | 0.05% |
| Nevada | 41 | 1,980 | 99 | 0.01% |
| Texas | 42 | 1,376 | 39 | 0.00% |
| Utah | 43 | 1,950 | 21 | 0.00% |
| Florida | 44 | 1,890 | 80 | 0.01% |
| Mississippi | 45 | 3,192 | 144 | 0.01% |
| Arkansas | 46 | 1,329 | 30 | 0.00% |
| Wyoming | 47 | 1,144 | 12 | 0.00% |
| Alabama | 48 | 2,020 | 80 | 0.01% |
| Nebraska | 49 | 4,298 | 51 | 0.01% |
| South Dakota | 50 | 3,835 | 38 | 0.00% |
| Oklahoma | 51 | 1,160 | 69 | 0.01% |
via Watts Up With That?
May 12, 2020 at 04:25AM
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