Using computer models to make climate predictions? All we can say is: good luck with that.
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Providing annually-updated five-year climate predictions at global and continental scales is the focus of a new international science collaboration co-ordinated by the WMO and led by the UK’s Met Office.
For the first time, climate scientists have joined forces and resources to produce an annually-updated climate snapshot looking at the next five years.
Harnessing the best computer models from ten climate centres around the world, every year will produce a new climate prediction looking out to five years ahead.
Professor Adam Scaife is the head of long range prediction at the Met Office. He said: “This is an exciting new scientific capability. As human-induced climate change grows, it is becoming even more important for governments and decision makers to understand the current climate risks on an annually-updated basis.”
The development of near-term prediction capability has long been an aspiration of the World Meteorological Organization – a so-called grand challenge.
“This study shows – with a high level of scientific skill – the enormous challenge ahead in meeting the Paris Agreement on Climate Change target of keeping a global temperature rise this century well below 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels and to pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase even further to 1.5 degrees Celsius,” said WMO Secretary-General Petteri Taalas.
Full article here.
via Tallbloke’s Talkshop
July 30, 2020 at 03:57AM
Iowa Climate Science Education 