Month: July 2020

The Ultimate Divide and Conquer

“The whole concept of “lockdowns” is exactly upside down.”
– Russ Bangs
Excerpts from a very insightful article by Russ Bangs”

The global evidence is converging on the facts: This flu is somewhat more contagious than the norm and is especially dangerous for those who are aged and already in poor health from pre-existing maladies. It is not especially dangerous for the rest of the population.

The whole concept of “lockdowns” is exactly upside down, exactly the wrong way any sane society would respond to this circumstance.

It’s the vulnerable who should be shielded while nature takes its course among the general population, who should go about life as usual. Dominionist-technocratic rigidity can’t prevent an epidemic from cycling through the population in spite of the delusions of that religion, especially since Western societies began their measures far too late anyway.

See entire great article:
https://off-guardian.org/2020/07/27/the-ultimate-divide-and-conquer/

Thanks to Penelope for this link

The post The Ultimate Divide and Conquer appeared first on Ice Age Now.

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July 30, 2020 at 05:22PM

Hull To Be Wiped Out By 9m Of Sea Level Rise-Says Telegraph

By Paul Homewood

h/t Mike Jackson

 

 

 It’s little wonder that confidence in Britain’s press has plummeted to record low levels, with garbage like this:

 

 

 image

Boston, Grimsby and Hull could become some of the world’s worst hit coastal flooding hotspots in the next 80 years as climate change raises sea levels and increases the severity of storms, according to a new study.

Coastal flooding worldwide will rise by 48 per cent and threaten assets worth up to 20 per cent of global GDP without flood defences or action to mitigate global emissions, according to research from the Universities of Melbourne and East Anglia.

If emissions are mitigated, the figures are lowered to an increase of 33 per cent of land at risk of flooding and threats to assets worth $12.7 trillion, or around 17 per cent of global GDP.

The study, published in the journal Nature, says the north-east of the UK will be among the worst hit areas.

It predicts a rise of 5-9 metres along the coast of Boston, Grimsby and 2-5m in Hull in a worst-case scenario, though the researchers say more detailed local modelling is needed. 

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/07/30/boston-grimsby-hull-could-become-global-flooding-hotspots-2100/

 

Nine meters by 2100? What planet is this dopey bird on?

On the NE coast, sea levels have been rising at just 1.9mm a year, a rate over the next 80 years of 152mm, or 6 inches:

 

 mean trend plot

https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends_station.shtml?id=170-053

 

 

Worse still for the fraudsters, the rate of rise has declined since the mid 20thC.

50 year trend plot

 

Studies like this one are written by so-called scientists, who know their grants rely on propagating rubbish like this.

 

It is noticeable that the Telegraph has not dared to include comments on this ludicrous article, because it knows its readers would destroy its credibility.

I reported about a poll last week, which showed that confidence in the press had collapsed in the last year amongst both Tory and Labour voters, while it had increased in the tiny rump of Lib Dim voters.

This article shows exactly why. The press nowadays is now part and parcel of the London metropolitan bubble, which has sold its soul to the global warming scam. Meanwhile, out here in the sticks, the vast majority outside of the illiterate, young woke mob, have not fallen for this nonsense.

This is painfully obvious from comments in the Telegraph, when they are allowed, which regularly expose the articles for the nonsense they are.

 

The Telegraph, which has probably lost more readers than most in the past year because of its shift to the woke left, will not recover credibility until it takes editorial content away from babies like Emma Gatten, and returns it to the adults.

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July 30, 2020 at 04:36PM

North Atlantic climate far more predictable following major scientific breakthrough

CMCC FOUNDATION – EURO-MEDITERRANEAN CENTER ON CLIMATE CHANGE

A team of scientists, led by UK Met Office, has achieved a scientific breakthrough allowing the longer-term prediction of North Atlantic pressure patterns, the key driving force behind winter weather in Europe and eastern North America. CMCC scientists Panos AthanasiadisAlessio BellucciDario Nicolì and Paolo Ruggieri from CSP – Climate Simulation and Prediction Division were also involved in this study.

Published in Nature, the study analysed six decades of climate model data and suggests decadal variations in North Atlantic atmospheric pressure patterns (known as the North Atlantic Oscillation) are highly predictable, enabling advanced warning of whether winters in the coming decade are likely to be stormy, warm and wet or calm, cold and dry.

However, the study revealed that this predictable signal is much smaller than it should be in current climate models. Hence 100 times more ensemble members are required to extract it, and additional steps are needed to balance the effects of winds and greenhouse gases. The team showed that, by taking these deficiencies into account, skillful predictions of extreme European winter decades are possible.

Lead author Dr Doug Smith, who heads decadal climate prediction research and development at the Met Office Hadley Centre, said: “The message from this study is double-edged: climate is much more predictable than we previously thought, but there is a clear need to improve how models simulate regional changes.”

Advance warning of severe winter weather is imperative to those who make risk-based decisions over longer timescales.For example, better forecasts can help the Environment Agency plan water management and flood defences, insurance companies plan for the changing risks, the energy sector to mitigate against potential blackouts and surges, and airports plan for potential disruption.

Improving model simulations will enhance the countries’ response, resilience and security against the effects of extreme weather and climate change – influencing future policy decisions to protect people’s lives, property and infrastructure.

###

Read more:
The paper on Nature:
Smith, D.M., Scaife, A.A., Eade, R. et al. North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models implyNature 583, 796-800 (2020). https://ift.tt/2EBdaS8

Source: based on Met Office press release

From EurekAlert!

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July 30, 2020 at 04:10PM

The IPCC Claimed Earth Warmed 0.6°C From 1861-2014. Now It’s Claimed Earth Warmed 1.72°C From 1850-2015

The magnitude of claimed global warming since the mid-1800s has tripled from 0.56°C to 1.72°C in the last few years.

As recently as 1994, the IPCC claimed global surface temperatures had risen “0.3 to 0.6°C” (0.45°C) since 1861. By 2001, it was changed to 0.61°C warming from 1861 to 2000 (IPCC TAR 2001).

Image Source: IPCC TAR 2001

In 2013, the IPCC claimed there was a hiatus from warming from 1998-2012 and that “almost all CMIP5 historical simulations [111 of 114] do not reproduce the observed recent warming hiatus” (IPCC AR5 2013). In 2014 the journal Nature was still investigating “the case of the missing heat” in the 16-year hiatus (Tollefson, 2014). As recently as 2015 scientists were still pointing out “global mean surface warming has stalled since the end of the twentieth century.” (Lee et al., 2015).

HadCRUT3 – the dataset the IPCC used until AR5 – suggested a slight ~0.05°C cooling from 2001 to 2014, which would mean the warming from 1861 to 2014 amounted to about 0.56°C.

Image Source: WoodforTrees.org

Now a new study (El-Borie et al., 2020) claims global surface temperatures rose 1.72°C from 1850 to 2015, which would mean more than 1.1°C warming has been added to the mid-1800s to 2010s temperature trend just in the last few years.

Image Source: El-Borie et al., 2020

Interestingly, this same paper claims Total Solar Irradiance variations alone are responsible for 0.5°C of the warming from 1950 to 2016, with the decline in cloud cover corresponding to galactic cosmic ray intensities since the early 1980s.

Image Source: El-Borie et al., 2020

So without the added/changed/adjusted temperatures during the last few years, it could be said that changes in TSI are mostly responsible for recent warming.

Perhaps this is why the added/changed/adjusted temperatures have just recently appeared.

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July 30, 2020 at 12:21PM