Week in review – science edition

by Judith Curry

A few things that have caught my eye these past few weeks

Scafetta: Testing the CMIP6 GCM Simulations versus Surface Temperature Records from 1980–1990 to 2011–2021: High ECS Is Not Supported [link]

Svensmark, Shaviv et al. Large effect of solar activity on Earth’s energy budget [link]

The discovery of whale bones and marine shells at ancient beach sites along the shores west Greenland 32 to 36 m above today’s shorelines have been dated to 5000 to 9000 yrs ago. Beach sites were still ~6 m higher than now 1500-2000 yrs ago. [link]

Oceanic harbingers of Pacific Decadal Oscillation predictability [link]

Impact of Indian Ocean on climate predictions for Australia [link]

Consistency and Challenges in the Ocean Carbon Sink Estimate for the Global Carbon Budget https://bit.ly/3mxtmEz

Global and regional increase of precipitation under global warming [link]

A dynamical adjustment perspective on extreme event attribution https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-2-971-2021

Robust detection of forced warming in the presence of potentially large climate variability [link]

Indian Ocean variability since 1675 [link]

Amplified extreme temperatures over tropical land [link]

Ever wonder how the eastern equatorial Pacific (EEP) was warm AND biologically productive during the Pliocene? [link]

A 993 AD storm on the sun produced a pulse of radiation so strong it changed the chemistry of trees on Earth — and recently helped scientists pinpoint the exact year Vikings arrived in the Americas [link]

Interesting analysis of deaths from cold versus deaths from heat [link]

Global Survey of the MJO and Extreme Precipitation. Geophysical Research Letters, 48, https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL094691….

UN Climate Disaster doubling revisited [link]

Changes in North Atlantic major hurricane frequency [link]

Greenland temperature variability over the last century [link]

Useless green energy hitting the wall [link]

New papers on the medieval warm period [link]

Land based measures to mitigate climate change [link]

“Lasting impact of winds on Arctic sea ice through the ocean’s memory” https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/15/4703/2021/…

Recent increases in tropical cyclone precipiation extremes over the US east coast [link]

How unusual was the 31 year NAO trend that ended in the 1990s? Models say it is much rarer than observations do, pointing to a possible new model error. [link]

A second of two recent papers showing a decrease in peaks of more frequent floods but an increase in the peaks of larger more rare floods, and why: https://sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022169421010441…

vidently sea level rose over 2.6 meters during the 8200-years-ago (8.2 ka) event. That’s a lot. https://pubs.geoscienceworld.org/gsa/geology/article/doi/10.1130/G49296.1/608090/New-estimates-of-the-magnitude-of-the-sea-level

Decadal climate variabilityin the tropical pPacific [link]

Decreasing subseasonal temperature variability attributed to human influence [link]

Interesting modeling study projecting future flood damage under adaptation assumptions https://nature.com/articles/s41558-021-01158-8…

Cooling in Antarctica [link]

Towards usable predictive climate information at decadal time scales [link]

New article showing how important simulating rain-on-snow events is for getting high flows right during the cold season, but also their role in exacerbating hydrological drought months later. https://sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022169421010222…

Intensified water cycle slows down global warming, new study finds [link]

our paper on the hydroclimate of the Indo-Pacific Warm Pool is out! We investigate the IPWP hydroclimate during the last deglaciation using an isotope‐enabled Earth system model, and explore its implications for isotope records. [link]

ur paper on Science Advances today shows that global fire emissions have been stable despite the substantial decline in global burned areas over the past two decades because we tend to have more emissions from forest fires. [link]

The inherent uncertainty in precipitation variability [link]

New Australian drought report. Recent drought cannot be connected unambiguously to human causes [link]

Future projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate based on climate model simulations substantially underestimate the uncertainty from large-scale atmospheric circulation variability https://nature.com/articles/s43247-021-00268-7

Does the presence of moisture make the weather more predictable? In a new @AMS_atmos paper w/@MHell we argue that it does at mid-latitudes by increasing the persistence of annular mode anomalies (the leading mode of variability in mid-latitudes) https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/atsc/aop/JAS-D-21-0055.1/JAS-D-21-0055.1.xml…

North Atlantic jet stream projections in context of the last 1,250 hears https://pnas.org/content/118/38/e2104105118

Methane release from Siberian permfrost following the 2020 heat wave [link]

Policy & technology

The developing world needs energy – and lots of it [link]

Past world economic production constrains current energy demands [link]

The emerging Republican climate policy framework [link]

Using artificial intelligence to safeguard the world’s energy infrastructure [link]

Global potential for harvesting drinking water from air using solar power [link]

UNEP: Current climate commitments are weak promises [link]

The promise of integrated electricity planning [link]

Reliance on renewable energy runs into reality [link]

Why is california shutting down its last nuclear power plant? [link]

Japan to restart nuclear power plants amid carbon cutting push https://cityam.com/japan-to-restart-nuclear-power-plants-amid-carbon-cutting-push/…

France bets o more nuclear power in face of European energy crisis [link]

Is nuclear power ready at last for its ‘Model T’ moment? [link]

How to power a planet with lava [link]

Drivers of exceptional coastal warming in the northeastern United States [link]

European wind drought [link]

California’s new energy infrastructure: A transition to nowhere [link]

Asian Development Bank plans to buy out coal plants [link]

#UK Government Announces #NetZero Strategy That Includes Large-Scale #Nuclear And New #Reactor #Technologies https://nucnet.org/news/government-announces-net-zero-strategy-that-includes-large-scale-nuclear-and-new-reactor-technologies-10-2-2021…

Geophysical constraints on the reliability of wind and solar power world wide [link]

Contrails: How tweaking flight plans can help the climate [link]

Recycled lithium batteries good as newly mined [link]

Why India can’t wean itself off coal [link]

Making giant batteries out of iron [link]

Renewable energy paradox Solar Panels and their toxic waste [link]

In global energy crisis, anti-nuclear chickens come home to roost [link]

Bangladeshis really a climate success story [link]

U.S. Beef and dairy sectors can be climate neutral by 2050 [link]

California is poised to launch a groundbreaking program to buy vulnerable beachfront homes and rent them out until sea-level rise makes them uninhabitable. [link]

“Lack of electricity is one of the biggest and most intractable problems affecting Africa’s most populous country, where power cuts lasting hours or days are commonplace and millions of people have no access to any electricity at all.” [link]

How to prevent mega fires in the Sierra Nevada region [link]

Floating farms boost flood resilience [link]

What went wrong? Three decades of failure with carbon capture and storage [link]

About science and scientists

Follow the science? On the marginal role of social scientists in the Covid-19 pandemic [link]

MIT abandons its mission. And me [link]

The cancellation of a geophysics professor simply for having reasonable views on affirmative action does not bode well for academic freedom at MIT. https://realclearscience.com/2021/10/22/cancel_culture_has_a_lot_to_answer_for_800146.html

Ed Yong: How public health took part in its own downfall [link]

Funtowicz: A quick guide to post-normal science [link]

Provocative new book: The Dawn of Everything. Human history gets a rewrite [link]

#TheTrick — a drama about the 2009 hacking of emails from the Climatic Research Unit — is broadcast on BBC [link]

New ideas are struggling to emerge from the sea of science. Ossification of canon [link]

Australia High Court rules Peter Ridd firing by James Cook Uni was justified “Dr Ridd criticised the scientific organisations, alleging their work was not properly checked or replicated. He said some scientists were “emotionally attached to their subject”” https://abc.net.au/news/2021-10-14/qld-peter-ridd-high-court-appeal-loss-academics-free-speech/100535328

Nobel winners Card, Angrist, and Imbens didn’t just discover interesting stuff about the economy — they made economics more like a science. [link]

Why the latest campus candellation is different [link]

The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences has decided to award the 2021 #NobelPrize in Physics to Syukuro Manabe, Klaus Hasselmann and Giorgio Parisi “for groundbreaking contributions to our understanding of complex physical systems.”

what even counts as science writing anymore? [link]

Science is political, and we must deal with it [link]

Who gets to decide what is misinformation? The social science monoculture doubles down. [link]

Think again: The power of knowing what you don’t know [link]

via Climate Etc.


October 31, 2021 at 08:05PM

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