by Judith Curry
A few things that caught my eye these past few weeks
A critical assessment of extreme events in times of global warming [link]
Gavin confirms that climate models are running too hot. Only 2 years in last 25 are above the CMIP6 model mean, screened for “reasonable” TCR values. [link]
How much temperature related mortality in England and Wales changes at different levels of global warming https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac50d5
Evaluating Coupled Climate Model Parameterizations via Skill at Reproducing the Monsoon Intraseasonal Oscillation [link]
New paper on US flood risk [link]
Sixfold Increase in Historical Northern Hemisphere Concurrent Large Heatwaves Driven by Warming and Changing Atmospheric Circulations [link]
Weather regimes in a changing climate [link]
Combining machine learning and SMILEs to classify, better understand, and project changes in ENSO events https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-105
A regime shift in seasonal total Antarctic sea ice extent [link]
What causes Arctic Ocean warming? A new study suggests internal atmopsheric variability accounts for ~60% of accelerated warming since 2000. [link]
CLIVAR Variations: Improving the value of #climate data and models for assessing climate impacts and policies [link]
Application of deep learning to capture the nonlinear response of glacier mass balance to future climate change [link]
Impact of paleoclimate on present and future evolution of the Greenland Ice Sheet [link]
A new climate model suggests that conditions associated with severe storms will arise 5%–20% more often for each 1°C of global warming. [link]
Does disabling cloud radiative feedbacks change spatial patterns of surface greenhouse warming and cooling? Chalmers et al. 2022 https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0391.1…
Assessing the Potential for Compound Storm Surge & Extreme River Discharge Events at the Catchment Scale with Statistical Models [link]
Safeguarding critical minerals for the energy transition [link]
Did volcanoes accelerate the fall of chinese dynasties? [link]
Radionuclides from ice cores and tree rings reveal that an extreme solar storm hit Earth about 9200 years ago during a quiet phase of the Sun within the 11 year solar cycle. [link]
Overcoming the challenges of ocean data uncertainty [link]
“Storms drive outgassing of CO2 in the subpolar Southern Ocean” [link]
Policy and technology
Good overview of water mismanagement in India, with impacts on their energy transition [link]
McKinsey Report: Bigger spend needed for net-zero world than assumed [link] $9.2 trillion/year for 30 years to achieve netzero
Satellite finds massive methane leaks from gas pipelines [link]
Limited impacts of carbon tax rebate on public support for carbon pricing [link]
Closing California’s Diablo nuclear plant results in a loss of carbon-free generation equivalent of tearing down every wind turbine or every rooftop solar panel in California. [link]
“Belgium’s plan to close its nuclear power plants by 2025 could put energy supplies coming under pressure and further increase the price of electricity” [link]
Germany’s Nuclear Phase Out Delayed its Coal Exit by 8 Years [link]
Germany’s nuclear phaseout ignores energy realities [link]
A Soviet-era snafu caused a methane-filled pit in Turkmenistan to burn for half a century. Now, the country’s president wants to extinguish the eternal fires at the ‘Gateway to Hell’. [link]
A new study reveals that the loss of even a hectare of wetlands costs society an average of $1900 in flood damages per year. https://l8r.it/yD72
The economics of greenium: How much is the world willing to pay to save the Earth? Sadly, not much. [link]
Pielke et al.: Plausible 2005-2050 emissions scenarios project between 2 and 3C warming by 2100 [link]
Indicate separate contributions of long-lived and short-lived greenhouse gases in emissions targets [link]
Energy transition risks and red herrings in 2022 [link]
How a debate over carbon capture derailed California’s landmark climate bill [link]
New AMS Best Practice Statement: Extreme Cold Temperature Outbreaks: A Call to Action for Better Preparation [link]
Texas Electric Grid Failure was a warm-up [link] little has been done to prevent the next one
Improving judgements of existential risk: better forecasts, questions, explanations, policies [link]
The promise of geothermal energy [link]
As coal use surges, America finds it hard to unplug from carbon [link]
Rare Earths: Fighting for the fuel of the future [link]
What are solar trees, and could they replace solar panels? [link]
California is poised to kill rooftop solar [link]
Recycling electric vehicle batteries [link]
Drop in transportation emissions since the onset of the pandemic, and how a long-term shift to remote work could help make that change a bit more permanent. (1) https://thebreakthrough.org/issues/energy/pandemic-and-vehicle-miles-traveled…
Yachts to be exempt from EU’s carbon pricing plans [link]
Wildfires, climate change, and the courts [link]
Burning Sugar Cane Pollutes Communities of Color in Florida. Brazil Shows There’s Another Way. [link]
Climate ripe for nuclear advances [link]
How green policies are fueling the energy crisis [link]
About science and scientists
What college students really think about cancel culture [link]
Scientists must resist cancel culture [link]
Why is Covid modelling so controversial [link]
Fun article: culinary fluid mechanics [link]
Hong Kong’s contested academic freedom [link]
Jordan Peterson resigns tenured Professor position [link]
We need to talk about the vaccines [link]
The importance of academic impartiality [link]
How our universities became sheep factories [link]
America’s top environmental groups have lost the plot on climate change [link]
Strengthening scientific integrity [link]
UK’s scientists failed the pandemic test [link]
Edward O. Wilson (1929–2021) https://go.nature.com/33mCWWr
Stop blaming th climate for disasters [link]
via Climate Etc.
February 5, 2022 at 11:42AM
Iowa Climate Science Education 