Heatwave temperature threshold raised in England by Met Office

By Paul Homewood

 

Have the clowns at the Met Office nothing better to do with their time?

 

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Forecasters have raised the temperature at which a heatwave is declared in several areas of England.

The Met Office defines a heatwave as when an area experiences daily maximum temperatures meeting or exceeding a certain level for three days in a row.

Eight counties have had these limits raised by the forecaster by 1C.

Announcing the change, experts said climate data showed "undeniable warming" in the UK accompanying increasing greenhouse gas emissions.

The new limits are:

  • 28C (82F) in Surrey, Berkshire, Buckinghamshire, Bedfordshire, Hertfordshire and Cambridgeshire
  • 27C (81F) in Lincolnshire
  • and 26C (79F) in the East Riding of Yorkshire

What defines a heatwave is linked to historical climate data. The UK has been experiencing rising average temperatures in recent years as a result of global warming.

Previous thresholds used data from 1981 to 2010, but the new limits are based on the period between 1991 and 2020, the Met Office said.

‘More frequent heatwaves’

The Met Office’s heatwave thresholds vary in the UK between 25C to 28C, with London previously the only area to have a limit of 28C.

Most South East counties have a threshold of 27C, while many central areas have a threshold of 26C.

The rest of England, as well as all of Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland still fall under a 25C threshold.

Dr Mark McCarthy, head of the Met Office National Climate Information Centre – the body which manages the UK’s climate records – said climate statistics over time have revealed an "undeniable warming trend for the UK".

"Temperature rise has been greatest across parts of central and eastern England where they have increased by more than 1.0C in some locations, while further north areas of Scotland and Northern Ireland have seen temperatures rise by closer to 0.7C," he added.

Dr McCarthy said while heatwaves are "extreme weather events", scientific research that "climate change is making these events more likely".

The scientist explained a 2018 Met Office study showed that heatwaves are 30 times more likely to occur now than in 1750, because of higher levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-60908169

So, at a stroke, we will now have fewer heatwaves because the Met Office has upped the threshold.

For some reason, they also think it news that summer temperatures are slightly higher now than during the Little Ice Age! And why no mention of the fact that we have fewer extreme cold spells of weather?

The whole concept of a “heatwave” is in any event meaningless. If 28C means a heatwave in Surrey, why does Yorkshire have one when the temperature reaches 26C?

There is the usual attempt to grossly deceive the public about death tolls:

“In the summer of 2019 there was an increase in deaths when the UK experienced a heatwave, with a record temperature of 38.7C that July.”

As I reported last year, the death toll in the summer of 2019 was much smaller than any other season. Moreover, summer deaths as a proportion of annual deaths was less in both 2019 and the hotter summer of 2018 than in most other summers of the last decade:

 

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https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2021/07/20/bob-wards-fake-claims-of-heatwave-deaths/

It is not clear whether the above statement comes from the Met Office or the BBC. But if it is the former, the Met Office should be thoroughly ashamed of propagating this lie.

Despite the Met Office’s attempts to scare the public, the boring reality is that our summers are turning into Mediterranean ones:

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https://www.ecad.eu/utils/showindices.php?7i2tp35metlup39dagohkc971i

 

And I am sure most of the public would much prefer a nice, sunny summer to the cold, wet one we had to endure in 2012. That is why they will continue to ignore the Met Office’s heatwave warnings.

via NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

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March 29, 2022 at 04:03AM

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