Month: January 2023

CFACT’s Shakira Jackson calls for liberty over communism with NFSCTV

Jackson discussed communism, foreign policy, liberty, and more live at America Fest 2022 hosted by Turning Point USA!

The post CFACT’s Shakira Jackson calls for liberty over communism with NFSCTV appeared first on CFACT.

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January 13, 2023 at 09:03AM

Chris Skidmore’s Rubber Stamp Of Net Zero

By Paul Homewood

Surprise, surprise!! The government’s “Independent Report” has rubber stamped its Net Zero agenda!!

 

 

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https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/review-of-net-zero?utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=govuk-notifications-topic&utm_source=3f3926b4-6a8b-4a26-bdf7-d6cf47c48197&utm_content=daily

Given that it was written by Chris Skidmore, this should come as no surprise! It was Skidmore, you may recall, who signed into law the Net Zero Act in 2019.

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As one of the bunch of extreme green Tories, it was inevitable that he would rubber stamp Net Zero. It was always a stitch up job, to placate Tory MPs who were critical of the Act, while at the same time being a sop to greens while Truss was pushing for fracking.

A truly independent review would have critically assessed all of the assumptions, costings and projections for this appalling piece of legislation. Instead we have got a report that might as well have been written by Gummer’s Committee on Climate Change –indeed given the 340 pages in the review, it probably was written by the CCC.

We get all of the same platitudes that we have read many times before in CCC handouts – how cheap renewable energy is, millions of green jobs, the UK’s world leadership, how we will all be better off by 2050 (we have to take Skidmore’s word for this!), how we must not fall behind the rest of the world in the race for Net Zero.

I have searched the report comprehensively, and cannot find a single reference to the costs which will have to be borne in the medium term by the public, things like heat pumps, insulation and electric cars. These costs will be unaffordable for most households, and will act as a brake on economic growth in the same way as high energy prices are doing now. Nobody cares about how well off they may be in thirty years time,and certainly won’t believe anybody who tells them he does know. But people do know that current policies will be extremely expensive.

Neither is there any quantification of the massive costs which will be incurred for upgrading electricity grids and distribution networks, and building hydrogen storage and infrastructure. Or the reliance on unproven carbon capture.

Nor is there any critical assessment as to how the country can actually run predominantly on intermittent wind and solar power, albeit backed up by nuclear power. Instead he seems to simply accept the pie-in-the-sky projections of the National Grid.

The report does mention CCC estimates of the need to spend £50 to 60bn a year by the early 2030s. As it points out, most of this will come from private sector investors, who will want high returns. Skidmore does not mention that it will be the poor old consumer who will end up paying for all this though:

 

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And as many critics, including Dieter Helm, have pointed out, successive projections of costings have been woefully speculative.

A proper independent review would have asked all of these questions.

Since its very inception, the Net Zero Act was enacted as a “good idea”, without any plan as to how it could be carried out, or a clearly costed budget.

This review should have been an ideal opportunity to row back, putting the whole thing on the backburner while these fundamental issues were addressed.

Unfortunately it is a chance missed.

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January 13, 2023 at 09:00AM

US Climate Is Getting Less Extreme, Not More

From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

I covered this story the other day, and inevitably it is making headlines across the media (as it was intended to):

The claim is not based on any actual data, but on weather attribution models.

But what does the actual data tell us?

Much of the world lacks long term, high quality data. But one country that does have it in abundance is the US, and it tells us a completely different story to the one presented in the latest report.

Heatwaves, for instance, used to be much worse than now, and not only during the dustbowl years of the 1930s. Climate fraudsters love to begin their trends from the 1960s, when the world was cooling. But as the graph below shows, there is nothing out of the ordinary about recent heatwaves:

https://www.epa.gov/climate-indicators/climate-change-indicators-heat-waves

Then we can turn to drought. The record exhibits large swings, but plainly droughts are not getting worse – on the contrary, the 1920s, 30s and 50s were much worse than now:

https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/climate-at-a-glance/national/time-series/110/pdsi/all/12/1895-2022?base_prd=true&begbaseyear=1901&endbaseyear=2000

Floods? I’m afraid not. The data provided by the EPA is the inevitable mixed bag; after all nature does not do straight lines. Some places, such as the North East show a worsening trend, whilst others have been decreasing. Such regional changes may well be associated with oceanic cyclical changes, such as the AMO and PDO, which are known to affect US rainfall patterns. But if the weather attribution models are right, we would expect to see worsening flood trends everywhere.

https://www.epa.gov/climate-indicators/climate-change-indicators-river-flooding

And storms?

There are no trends in the frequency of hurricanes or major ones:

https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/hurdat/All_U.S._Hurricanes.html

And violent tornadoes are much less frequent now:

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/#data

The US is of course only one country, albeit a large one. And maybe other parts of the world are experiencing more extreme weather. But if the weather attribution models are right, all of the world, including the US, should be seeing the same effects.

The fact that the US, and for that matter the UK, is not seeing such effects fundamentally undermines their credibility.

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January 13, 2023 at 08:58AM

Global temperature 2022 – same again

NASA, NOAA and the UK Met Office have released the global temperature for 2022, showing it to be a warm year, ranked sixth warmest year. It was subdued, the researchers say, because we have had the third consecutive year of La Nina conditions.

The announcement was accompanied with the usual proviso that the past nine years were the warmest recorded. But to anyone thinking about the claims and numbers should prompt a look behind the headlines.

Fig 1 shows the global temperature anomaly this century: blue is HadCRUT5, Orange is NASA and grey is NOAA.

What is quite apparent is that the global temperature record in the 21st century spends long periods relatively flat. The so-called hiatus, for instance, lasted from circa 2001 and 2013 and was ended by a very strong El Nino. Since then there has been another period of relatively unchanging temperature. Noticeable increases in temperature occur in the lead-in to an El Nino, such as the increase of approx. 0.3°C between 2011-2015.

The stepwise influence of El Nino events on the long-term trends seems very apparent. It was the strong El Nino of 1998 that marked the a jump of global temperature to the hiatus, and the 2015 El Nino may have done the same. Of course no one knows how long the current stagnation will continue. Everyone is expecting the three-year La Nina to lift. Some estimate that these events have depressed the global temperature by about 0.06°C. If there is another El Nino in 2024 then a new global record will almost certainly result.

Looking at the distribution of recent warming the dominance of the arctic is obvious. It almost leads one to suggest that the phrase global warming should be replaced by arctic warming!

Feedback: david.Whitehouse@netzerowatch.com

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January 13, 2023 at 07:23AM