Month: January 2023

Duke Energy’s Rolling Blackouts: Remember Jim Rogers’ CO2 Politics

Ed. Note: In mid-2019, MasterResource published a post on a notable political capitalist in the history of the energy industry, the late James E. Rogers, longtime CEO of Duke Energy. With that company’s rolling blackouts (“load shedding”) over Christmas weekend for a half-million customers “for the first time in the utility’s history“, it is worth remembering the damage done to free markets and electric reliability by the political track chosen by one executive. (The post is reproduced below with minor edits.)

At 41 [in 1988], [James Rogers] was named CEO of PSI Energy Inc., a small, financially troubled Indiana utility. Breaking ranks with others in the electric-power industry, he supported legislation putting caps on sulfur-dioxide emissions. “Some of my guys thought I was drinking the environmental Kool-Aid,” he said later. “But I said, ‘Let’s shape this, let’s make some money.’”

– James Hagerty, “Jim Rogers, Head of a Coal-Burning Utility, Crusaded Against Global Warming.” Wall Street Journal, December 20, 2018.

“I made money on sulfur [dioxide], and I’ll make money on carbon [dioxide].”

– James Rogers. Quoted in Eric Pooley, “The Smooth-Talking King of Coal–and Climate Change.” Bloomberg Businessweek, June 3, 2010.

James Eugene “Jim” Rogers Jr. (1947–2018) was a notable political capitalist (rent seeker) of the late 20th/early 21st century electricity market. He did his work after leaving Enron Corp in 1988 to head a Midwest electric utility, Public Service of Indiana, later Cinergy (1994–2006), then Duke Energy (2006–13).

At all stops as CEO, he broke from the electric industry to not debate but accept the anti-fossil-fuel narrative of mainstream, DC-based environmental groups. In this framework, he felt he could make more money for shareholders and thus himself by cutting deals with environmentalists and regulators. The [longer term] best interest of ratepayers and the free market as an ideal were not in this equation.

Cap-and-Trade: Credits for Coal Reductions

“Enron as a market maker for emissions was more interested in cap-and-trade policy than in a carbon tax,” I noted in Enron Ascending (pp. 331–32).

Enron-ex Jim Rogers, who was eager to convert his electricity units from coal to gas to receive CO2 credits to sell, was even more partial to cap and trade. Rogers, like [Ken] Lay, was waging civil war with his fellow electric utility executives, using Lay’s political-capitalism model.

Still, the risk that Rogers took was that cap-and-trade would not become law (it failed in 2010) or that if the law, carbon credits would be depreciated by regulatory change (they were not  a property right).

As such, Rogers brought Enron’s political model re natural gas (versus coal and oil) to the electricity industry. The upshot was that Ken Lay and James Rogers, not only BP’s John Browne, advanced the global warming agenda in the 1980s and 1990s that resulted in Obama’s aggressive climate policy and, today, the Green New Deal. [1]

Before he got to the CO2 issue, Rogers was active on the sulfur dioxide (acid rain) front: As I noted in Enron Ascending (p. 323):

Instead of SO2 trading, coal interests sought a national fee on all electricity sales (including gas-generated sales) to fund scrubbers. Enron-ex Jim Rogers, now head of the coal-heavy Public Service Company of Indiana (PSI), argued for a “cost sharing mechanism” to help underwrite five scrubbers (each costing in excess of $200 million) that his coal plants needed to comply with what he called the “Bush bill.” Without such help, PSI’s rates would rise around 20 percent for the anticipated two-thirds-plus reduction in SO2 emissions.

Quotations

James Rogers was politically correct. The mainstream press adored the folksy Rogers who was bucking his peers on the climate issue–and the need, in time, for forced energy transformation. Yes, Rogers was making a deal with the devil, but he could claim to be playing defense. But he hurt the entire fossil fuel industry by playing the political game to start a civil war in the power industry. The Baptists needed this Bootlegger.

Some quotations establishing the factual base of Political Rogers follow:

Rogers on Rogers

“I was the first CEO in the electric utility industry to speak about the changes needed in the face of climate change.”

“While I was CEO, Duke Energy was recognized as a leader in sustainability. In 2010 and 2011, the company was named to the elite Dow Jones Sustainability World Index; it has been a part of the Dow Jones Sustainability Index for North America for the past nine years.”

“I’ve long advocated investing in energy efficiency and renewables such as solar and wind; modernizing the electric infrastructure; and pursuing advanced technologies and nuclear energy to grow the economy and transition to a low-carbon future.”

“While at Duke Energy, I invested four billion dollars in wind and solar assets. I served as vice chairman of the World Business Council for Sustainable Development, and was a founding member of the U.S. Climate Action Partnership, a collaboration of leading businesses and environmental groups that came together to call on the federal government to enact legislation to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.”

“I was chairman of the Edison Electric Institute (EEI) when it changed its position to support federal climate legislation in 2009.”

“… [I] was the founding chairman of the Institute for Electric Efficiency, former co-chair of the Alliance to Save Energy and past co-chair of the National Action Plan for Energy Efficiency.”

His affiliations included:

  • Aspen Institute
  • Brookings Institution
  • Clinton Global Initiative
  • U.S. Climate Action Partnership
  • World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.
  • Institute for Electric Efficiency (founding chairman)
  • National Action Plan for Energy Efficiency
  • Alliance of Save Energy (co-chair)
  • Host committee, Democratic Convention in Charlotte (co-chair)

New York Times on Rogers

James E. Rogers, who as chief executive of Duke Energy emerged as one of the industry’s most passionate supporters of sustainable energy, died on Dec. 17 in Louisville, Ky. He was 71.

But Mr. Rogers proved to be an anomaly among utility chiefs, who were often quick to dismiss green activists. He not only held extensive meetings and talks with the company’s environmental critics; he also went several steps further, actively lobbying Washington for stricter regulation of greenhouse gases.

During his tenure, Duke Energy began to reduce its own carbon emissions and made significant investments in renewable energy projects.

In 1988 he was offered the job of turning around an Indiana electrical utility, PSI Energy, which was teetering on the verge of bankruptcy after environmentalists forced it to halt the construction of a nuclear plant, resulting in a $2.7 billion write-off. Rather than dismiss the environmentalists, Mr. Rogers met with them to find a way to get the company on firmer ground. In 1994, PSI merged with Cincinnati Gas & Electric, creating the Cinergy Corporation, with Mr. Rogers as chairman and chief executive.

Throughout the 1990s, as concerns about climate change entered the public debate, Mr. Rogers began meeting with climate experts. In 2001, he shocked a room of fellow energy executives when he declared that the industry should work to pass a federal carbon cap, a law that would strictly limit the amount of carbon dioxide produced in the United States and impose enormous costs on any company that releases more carbon than its assigned limit.

“They were stunned,” Ralph Cavanagh, an energy program director at the Natural Resources Defense Council who was present at the meeting, said in a 2008 New York Times Magazine piece about Mr. Rogers titled “A Green Coal Baron?” “That was the first time I had heard a major energy executive say anything like this. But because he was chairman of their energy committee, he wasn’t just a flaky maverick.”

 – Julie Creswell, “James Rogers, 71, Dies; Utility Chief and Clean Energy Advocate.” New York Times, December 21, 2018.

Washington Post on Rogers

Jim Rogers, the former chief executive of Duke Energy who became one of the first prominent energy industry officials to recognize the threat of climate change and argue that it should be addressed through federal policy, died Dec. 17 at a hospital in Louisville, where he was visiting family. He was 71.

Mr. Rogers, a lawyer by training and a policy person at heart ….

Seeing tougher restrictions on coal as inevitable, Mr. Rogers broke taboos in the utility industry and became a supporter of a cap-and-trade approach that President Barack Obama favored to reduce carbon emissions. During negotiations over the cap-and-trade bill that ultimately passed the House but failed in the Senate, Mr. Rogers frequently told audiences and reporters that “if we are not at the table, we will be on the menu, and I intend to be at the table.”

Jason Bordoff, founding director of Columbia University’s global energy policy center and former National Security Council senior director for energy and climate under Obama, said that Mr. Rogers “saw the potential for clean electricity sources like renewables earlier than many of his peers.”

Bordoff also said that Mr. Rogers was “a key member of the U.S. Climate Action Partnership that developed a template for the climate legislation passed by the House of Representatives.”

Since Mr. Rogers became its chief executive, Duke Energy has invested more than $4 billion on wind and solar power projects.

But Mr. Rogers also came under criticism from environmental groups because he favored a gradual transition away from coal. They also contended that he had not moved fast enough to shut down coal plants or to clean up the coal ash waste that had built up over decades. That corporate legacy surfaced recently after the rains from Hurricane Florence led to a Duke coal ash facility overflowing its banks and into the Cape Fear River.

Climate change hung over his career at Duke. “I believe in global warming,” he told comedian Stephen Colbert in a 2009 interview. But Mr. Rogers still said that he favored a search for ways to extract carbon dioxide from the exhaust of coal plants, a costly technology that is still being researched. He told Colbert he hoped to “decarbonize” the fleet of coal plants, not junk it.

Mr. Rogers said he read extensively about climate change, including Al Gore’s book “An Inconvenient Truth.” “It’s not like I woke up one morning and felt God spoke to me,” he said in an interview in 2007. “It took years of reading and thinking about it.”

Though a supporter of nuclear power, Mr. Rogers also said it was too expensive to “bet the farm” on it. He compared the site of an abandoned nuclear plant with the set of a “Mad Max” movie.

Mr. Rogers was at times openly critical of congressional Republicans for defeating the cap-and-trade plan that was modeled on a similar plan President George H.W. Bush used to slash sulfur dioxide emissions. Mr. Rogers, who as chief executive of PSI Energy had supported Bush’s plan, was convinced later that the same approach would cut carbon dioxide emissions.

In the 2011 Post interview, Mr. Rogers said that “the only approach to address the carbon issue [is one] that allows us to successfully reduce emissions in a way that is fair and allows us to transition to a [less carbon-intensive] world. Unfortunately, the people who invented it have demonized it — the Republicans. When they created it, they called it the greatest use of market forces to solve the problems of the world.”

By that time, especially with the surge of cheap shale gas, Duke sped up the retirement of coal plants.

Today, one of the final new coal plants to go online in the United States is named for Mr. Rogers. Because it is relatively new, Duke doesn’t expect to close it until 2048.

– Steven Mufson, “Jim Rogers, Duke Energy Executive who Promoted Clean Energy, Dies at 71.” Washington Post, December 21, 2018.

Wall Street Journal

Jim Rogers liked to be known as an environmentalist leading a crusade against global warming. He also was the CEO of the electric-power utility Duke Energy Corp. , one of the nation’s largest coal burners. The apparent contradiction got him an interview on Stephen Colbert’s talk show in 2009.

The comedian said he was confused by Mr. Rogers’s PR. “I’d love to call myself a vegetarian because I’m having broccoli with my veal,” Mr. Colbert said. “Is that the same deal?”

Though Mr. Rogers laughed along with the jokes, he was earnest in his role as one of the most outspoken energy industry leaders on finding ways to reduce emissions of carbon dioxide—notably by transitioning to more use of nuclear, solar and wind power. Some environmentalists said he didn’t do enough to live up to his talk.

In 2013, as he prepared to retire from Duke, Mr. Rogers told the Charlotte Observer that he sometimes found himself in an “unenviable place where people who don’t want any environmental legislation don’t like you, and where people who don’t think you’ve done enough, the environmentalists, don’t like you. But compromise is the way forward.”

Over the next five years, he pursued his environmental causes and wrote a book, “Lighting the World,” suggesting ways to bring reliable electric power to the poorest parts of the world, without burning more coal.

Tougher restrictions on coal were inevitable, Mr. Rogers believed, so he aimed to help steer the transition—and make money out of it. “If we are not at the table, we will be on the menu,” he said.

The espresso-fueled CEO spoke of “building a bridge to a low-carbon world” and was optimistic that technological advances would make that possible. He mastered the art of talking about energy policy without being boring. “He was a walking sound bite,” said Roberta Bowman, a former Duke Energy executive.

At 41, he was named CEO of PSI Energy Inc., a small, financially troubled Indiana utility. Breaking ranks with others in the electric-power industry, he supported legislation putting caps on sulfur-dioxide emissions. “Some of my guys thought I was drinking the environmental Kool-Aid,” he said later. “But I said, ‘Let’s shape this, let’s make some money.’”

Through a series of mergers, he became CEO of Duke Energy in 2006. In 2012, Duke acquired Progress Energy Inc. for $26 billion. The plan was for Bill Johnson, the head of Progress Energy, to become CEO of Duke. Hours after the merger was completed, though, Duke’s board ousted Mr. Johnson and named Mr. Rogers CEO of the combined company. Regulators launched an investigation of the boardroom coup. Several months later, Mr. Rogers agreed to retire by the end of 2013 as part of a settlement with regulators.

His schedule remained packed. While still living in Charlotte, N.C., he taught energy courses at Duke University and served as vice chair of the Nature Conservancy, a global environmental group. Mr. Rogers also campaigned to bring electricity to sub-Saharan Africa, India and other impoverished regions. He helped found the Global BrightLight Foundation to distribute solar lanterns and cellphone chargers in poor countries.

A young man in a Kenyan village had told him of having to walk three hours to reach a charging station for his cellphone. That spurred Mr. Rogers’s desire to help, he wrote, adding: “I can barely stand it when I check into a hotel and there’s not an outlet conveniently placed next to my bed.”

– James Hagerty, “Jim Rogers, Head of a Coal-Burning Utility, Crusaded Against Global Warming.” Wall Street Journal, December 20, 2018.

Appendix A: Criticism from Environmentalists

“But Mr. Rogers also came under criticism from environmental groups because he favored a gradual transition away from coal. They also contended that he had not moved fast enough to shut down coal plants or to clean up the coal ash waste that had built up over decades. That corporate legacy surfaced recently after the rains from Hurricane Florence led to a Duke coal ash facility overflowing its banks and into the Cape Fear River.”(Washington Post)

Rogers stands out in the coal (and broader energy) industry as a CEO who openly acknowledges the threat of climate change. Despite this, his company “is building two new coal plants.”  Rogers also talks much about the need to develop carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) technology, although Duke Energy is not spending any money on such expensive prospects, and generates only 1.5% of its electricity from wind projects. At the same time, Rogers served on the board of the staunchly anti-environmentalist U.S. Chamber of Commerce. Rogers left the US Chamber’s Board in April 2010, although apparently because of terms limits. (Polluter Watch)

Rogers pulled Duke out of the National Association of Manufacturers and the American Coalition for Clean Coal Electricity. Duke claims the motivation for these withdrawals came from the lack of support for climate legislation among these groups. While this appears to be intentional public support for climate legislation, it is important to note that the House climate bill included massive provisions for the coal industry, including emissions exemptions on the two new coal plants Duke is currently reconstructing (Cliffside and Edwardsport). (Polluter Watch)

Duke Energy also faced accusations of double-speak by Greenpeace in December 2011, after the non-profit (and managing organization of this site) highlighted Duke’s conflicting behavior regarding the EPA’s Mercury and Air Toxics Standards or “Mercury Rule”. Although Rogers had already indicated that Duke’s fleet was prepared to comply with the regulation, Duke was apparently a member of the Electric Reliability Coordinating Council (ERCC), a utility industry group that had actively worked “to delay and weaken much-needed federal mercury protections.” (Polluter Watch)

————-

Tribute to Rogers from the Aspen Institute

On behalf of the entire Aspen Institute and the Energy and Environment Program, we are saddened to hear about the passing of Jim Rogers, former Duke Energy CEO. 

As a leader at both Duke Energy and Cinergy, Jim led the way in the areas of renewable energy and sustainability and had been part of the Aspen family for decades, bringing a wealth of knowledge and experience to the Aspen Energy program. 

We are grateful to Jim for supporting our program through the years and  allowing the Aspen Energy program to expand its leadership in policy by endowing the James E. Rogers Energy Fellowship.

Even after his retirement from Duke Energy, he continued his work by publishing the book “Lighting the World” about energy development in the developing world….

—————————

Postnote: Regarding “Lighting the World: Transforming our Energy Future by Bringing Electricity to Everyone” (Rogers: 2015), the problem is that energy in the developing world is constrained and challenged by climate alarmism where inferior energies are promoted in place of mass, superior ones. MasterResource posts on this moral issue, include:

The post Duke Energy’s Rolling Blackouts: Remember Jim Rogers’ CO2 Politics appeared first on Master Resource.

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January 17, 2023 at 01:06AM

RE-Treat: Europe’s Repeated Wind & Solar Failures Force Renewable Energy Reversal

Germany and Britain are so heavily dependent on wind and solar, that gloomy, windless weather now presents an existential threat. The Germans have even coined a word for it: ‘dunkelflaute’.

If mass blackouts during freezing winter weather weren’t a threat to millions of lives, it would almost be comical.

What’s occurred is the perfect example of what happens when engineers are shown the door and starry-eyed ideologues with arts and sociology degrees are handed the controls.

The idea that densely populated, industrialised nations can run on sunshine and breezes alone is as crazy as it sounds; and the evidence that proves the delusion – provided by Germany and Britain – is simply incontrovertible.

As recounted on these pages, the Germans have shelved ideas to close their remaining three nuclear power plants; they’re maintaining and ramping up every single coal-fired power plant they have; and they’re in the process of building five more, as if thousands of lives depend upon it, and they do.

Ralph Schoellhammer is an assistant professor in economics and political science at Webster University Vienna.

In this article, he drills down on the evidence of what is a perfectly predictable (and perfectly avoidable) energy policy disaster. However, it’s not all doom and gloom. Danish wind turbine maker, Vestas has seen a total collapse in new orders for wind turbines, which suggests RE investors and wind power outfits have lost faith in the grand ‘transition’. Better late than never.

Renewables won’t keep us warm this winter
Spiked Online
Ralph Schoellhammer
14 December 2022

There are already many German loan words in the English language, but the latest addition should surely be the term ‘Dunkelflaute’. It describes a period of time in which virtually no energy can be generated using wind and solar power. It is a word that captures the grave problem that both Britain and Germany are facing today – namely, that you cannot run a modern economy on renewable energy. Especially during a windless and dark winter.

As real-time data from Electricity Maps shows, electricity production from renewables in Germany and the UK over the past few days has been abysmal. In Germany it is coal that is keeping the lights on, while in Britain it is gas. Falling temperatures are rapidly increasing both countries’ need for fossil fuels. It is not yet clear whether reserves for this winter are going to be sufficient.

Using electricity is a bit like breathing. Even a short break could prove lethal. An economy needs constant access to energy (electricity in particular), or it will collapse. We cannot simply expect households to live without electricity for a few days, unless we are prepared for civil society to break down.

Some may argue that if humanity has lived without modern technology before, we should be able to do so again. Perhaps. But such a transition would be neither desirable nor entirely peaceful. Once the Promethean flame of modernity has been acquired, few will want to give it up.

The fact is that renewables simply do not offer a viable alternative energy source at the moment. The technology does not yet exist to effectively store electricity, meaning we cannot stockpile any surplus produced by wind and solar during summer. So it doesn’t matter how impressively renewables perform between June and August if they provide barely any energy between November and March. To keep an industrialised economy going requires energy all year round.

Most governments are aware of this. Which is why, despite the elites’ lip-service to renewables, both Germany and Britain have maintained a fleet of fossil-fuel power plants to make up for the unreliability of wind and solar. Unfortunately, those fuels are becoming more expensive as a result of the global energy crunch. With no proper alternatives in sight for energy production, it is consumers who increasingly have to pay the price.

And it is not as if this month’s Dunkelflaute is a bolt from the blue. Everyone knew that the current energy crisis was going to hurt us most during winter, when it is cold and dark, and when renewables, especially solar, are barely producing any power.

Yet still, green activists and politicians insist the answer to our energy crisis lies in expanding our use of wind and solar. This is a form of cognitive dissonance. It is like an ancient tribe, disappointed that throwing virgins into a volcano has not led to better harvests, deciding to double down on the child sacrifices. No amount of solar panels will brighten a northern European winter.

On 11 December, for instance, renewables contributed a measly three per cent of electricity generation in Britain – with solar clocking in at an impressive 0.00 gigawatts. The forms of energy keeping Britain going this winter are mostly gas, some nuclear (including imports from France) and even some coal.

In Germany, the situation is even worse. Last week, low renewable generation led Germany to burn more coal than it has in any week since 2019, and to burn more gas for electricity generation than ever before.

The German government has not only committed heavily to renewable energy, it is also determined to switch off its nuclear power plants. Green Party politicians, like economy minister Robert Habeck, have tried to claim that abandoning nuclear power will have no effect on electricity generation. This is despite the fact that during windless nights, Germany’s three remaining nuclear power plants contribute more to the grid than all of its wind farms and solar panels combined. This winter, nuclear will play a key role in keeping the lights on. Yet these plants are slated to be decommissioned in April next year.

Greens will no doubt claim that the days when renewables are completely useless only materialise a few times a year – that these Dunkelflaute days are outliers. While that is true to an extent, it is tantamount to a doctor saying that your heart is in good condition, apart from a few days per year when it stops pumping blood through your system. A ‘blackout’ of this vital organ for even a few minutes is usually known as a heart attack. Statisticians might describe such an event as an ‘outlier’, but its consequences would surely be long-lived.

By favouring renewables ahead of more reliable sources of energy, many countries are currently creating all the conditions necessary for such blackouts. Although there are a few laudable exceptions, such as Poland, Finland, Hungary and the Netherlands, which are planning to give nuclear power another try.

It is not only the electricity grid that is suffering from the myopia of our green elites, but our finances, too. UK wholesale day-ahead electricity prices surged to a record high on Monday due to the disappointing performance of Britain’s wind farms.

Activists may claim that a switch to renewable energy is a scientific and moral imperative. But making our energy needs ever more dependent on the whims of the weather is neither scientific nor moral. Higher electricity prices will ultimately lead to higher prices of everything. This will impoverish those who are already suffering financially.

There are signs, however, that outside the minds of pundits and politicians, the hype over renewables is already fading. For instance, the most recent number of new orders for new offshore turbines at the world’s largest producer, Vestas Wind Systems, was the same as Britain’s solar electricity generation while I was writing this article: zero. So perhaps the winds are already changing. If so, it would signal a welcome return to sanity on energy production.
Spiked Online

How’s that wind and solar transition working out for you?

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January 17, 2023 at 12:30AM

Climate Activism Isn’t About the Planet. It’s About the Boredom of the Bourgeoisie

From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

JANUARY 16, 2023

By Paul Homewood

The downfall of capitalism will not come from the uprising of an impoverished working class but from the sabotage of a bored upper class. This was the view of the Austrian economist Joseph Schumpeter in 1942. Schumpeter believed that at some point in the future, an educated elite would have nothing left to struggle for and will instead start to struggle against the very system that they themselves live in.

Nothing makes me think Schumpeter was right like the contemporary climate movement and its acolytes. The Green movement is not a reflection of planetary crisis as so many in media and culture like to depict it, but rather, a crisis of meaning for the affluent.

Take for example a recent interview with Stanford biologist Paul Ehrlich on CBS’s 60 Minutes. Ehrlich is most famous for his career as a professional doom monger. His first major book, The Population Bomb, gave us timelessly wrong predictions, including that by the 1980s, hundreds of millions of people would starve to death and it went downhill from there. Ehrlich assured us that England would no longer exist in the year 2000, that even modern fertilizers would not enable us to feed the world, and that thermonuclear power was just around the corner.


“At the “Climate Action Summit” in 2018, two dozen billionaire-backed foundations pledged 4 billion dollars for climate-change lobbying. Some of them, like the Hewlett Foundation, are directly funding journalists at the Associated Press for “climate reporting,” while foundations associated with the Packard and Rockefeller families have been backing the journalistic endeavor “Covering Climate Now,” which “collaborates with journalists and newsrooms to produce more informed and urgent climate stories” and is financing hundreds of media outlets.”


Ehrlich, who recently turned 90, is in the lucky position to have witnessed the complete failure of all his predictions—only to double down on them in his 60 Minutes interview Ehrlich has been wrong on every public policy issue he pontificated on for almost 60 years, yet the mainstream media still treat him like a modern oracle.

The best answer to this question comes courtesy of New York Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who in 2019 famously said that, “I think that there’s a lot of people more concerned about being precisely, factually and semantically correct than about being morally right.” In other words, no matter what nonsense one spews, as long as it is “morally right,” it does not matter what the facts show.

Full story here.

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January 17, 2023 at 12:05AM

Tuesday Open Thread

Tuesday Open Thread

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January 16, 2023 at 10:32PM