Month: May 2023

THE LONGER THE REPORT THE LESS IT GETS READ

 Ever Expanding: In discussing the
Sixth Assessment Report of the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
(IPCC, AR6, 2021 to 2023), researcher Andy May produces an interesting
statistic – the ever-growing length of the reports. The first assessment report
was 168 pages, the second 572 pages, AR5 was 1535 pages and AR6 2391 pages.



May also shows a graph of the “5-Year Running Mean of Tropical Temperature
CMIP5 Anomalies of 300-200 hPa [units of pressure related to altitude] Layer
(1979-2019) by Ross McKitrick and John Christy (2020). The difference between
the temperature trends projected by the models and observed atmospheric
temperature trends is increasing. So, the reports get longer as the physical
evidence supporting them gets weaker. True bureaucracy in action.

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May 24, 2023 at 01:32AM

EVs: Political Pushback (151 Republicans vs. Big Brother)

“Specifically, over its lifetime, an EV only has lower emissions than an internal combustion engine vehicle if it travels between 28,069 and 68,160 miles and remains in service for more than 10 years – circumstances which are not being realized today.” [4]

The illusion of electric vehicles as economically viable and ecologically blessed is part of the “magical thinking” and shared narrative of our day. Progressive environmentalists themselves are driving EVs in bad conscience. Thankfully, many members of one major political party here in the U.S. are on the side of the economy and the environment when it comes to transportation. May other members of other political parties join in–and in other countries.

The latest on EV politics comes from a Press Release from May 22, 2023, and it reads:

151 House Republicans, led by Energy and Commerce Committee Chair Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R-WA), today sent a letter to Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Administrator Michael Regan urging him to rescind the agency’s proposed emissions standards for light- and medium-duty vehicles and heavy-duty trucks. The EPA’s ill-conceived effort is just their latest attempt to carry out President Biden’s radical rush-to-green agenda, which will take away Americans’ choice when it comes to the kind of vehicle they drive—and arm-twist people into buying vehicles they can’t afford.

————–

The full letter to Michael S. Regan, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, follows:

Dear Administrator Regan,

We write to express deep concerns with the Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA’s) proposed standards for light- and medium-duty vehicles and heavy-duty trucks.1 The proposals are the latest effort by the Biden administration to commandeer America’s transportation sector and force its complete vehicle electrification under the guise of mitigating climate change.

The light- and medium-duty vehicle proposed standards are unworkable and impractical. EPA estimates that the proposed standards would lead to electric vehicles (EVs) accounting for 67 percent of new light-duty vehicle sales and 46 percent of new medium-duty vehicle sales in the United States by model year 2032. The projected statistics are a far cry from the current EV market share of 4.5 percent,2 making these standards a deliberate market manipulation to prop up EVs. Furthermore, a rapid shift towards EVs would benefit only the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), as China has a stranglehold on the critical minerals supply chain and manufacturing of EV batteries. For example, China currently controls 50 to 70 percent of global lithium and cobalt refining that are necessary for EV batteries.3

Additionally, EVs are not necessarily better for the environment in terms of emissions reductions. Specifically, over its lifetime, an EV only has lower emissions than an internal combustion engine vehicle if it travels between 28,069 and 68,160 miles and remains in service for more than 10 years – circumstances which are not being realized today.4

Worst of all, the proposed standards would make life harder and even more unaffordable for Americans and their families. According to Kelley Blue Book, the average price of an EV is $65,291, which is $17,197 more than the average price of an internal combustion engine vehicle.5 Insurance for electric cars costs $206 per month on average, which is $44 more per month than insuring a gas-powered car.6 Pricing is especially important, because access to a car is tied to improved economic outcomes for low-income households.7 Americans should not be forced into paying an excessive amount for a car they do not want and cannot afford. Also, the lack of driving range continues to be a problem with EVs. Forcing rural America into a largely EV future is condemning these communities into isolation.

Given that the recent EPA announcement was only a proposal, we strongly urge you to rescind this ill-considered effort. Americans want the ability to choose the vehicle that best meets their needs, that is reliable, and that they can afford — not be forced into buying an EV.

—————–

1 The two proposals announced on April 12, 2023 by the EPA are the “Multi-Pollutant Emission Standards for Model Years 2027 and Later Light-Duty and Medium-Duty Vehicles” (EPA-HQ-OAR-2022-0829) and the “Greenhouse Gas Emissions Standards for Heavy-Duty Vehicles – Phase 3” (EPA-HQ-OAR-2022-0985).

2 See “Electric Vehicles,” International Energy Agency, September 2022.

3 See “The Role of Critical Minerals in Clean Energy Transitions: Executive Summary,” International Energy Agency, March 2022.

4 See Written Testimony of Ashley Nunes, Director, Federal Policy, Climate and Energy, The Breakthrough Institute, before the Committee on Energy and Commerce, April 26, 2023.

5 See “Electric Car FAQ: Your Questions Answered,” Kelley Blue Book, October 31, 2022.
6 See “Electric Car Insurance 2023 Guide“, Policygenius, December 29, 2022.
7 See “Driving to Opportunity,” The Urban Institute, March 2014

The post EVs: Political Pushback (151 Republicans vs. Big Brother) appeared first on Master Resource.

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May 24, 2023 at 01:10AM

They Believe In Science

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May 24, 2023 at 12:46AM

Feds play shell game with wind / whale impacts

From CFACT

By David Wojick

NOAA is taking public comments on a massive proposal to harass large numbers of whales and other marine mammals by building a huge offshore wind complex. There is supposed to be an Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) for the proposed harassment but it is not there with the proposal.

We are told it is elsewhere but after searching we find that it simply does not exist. Like a shell game where the pea has been palmed, there is nothing to be found.

First the bureaucratic background. The wind project is Dominion’s 2,600 MW offshore Virginia facility, which if built would be the world’s biggest. NOAA’s National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS) is proposing to issue a five year harassment authorization for the construction of this monster. This is about an enormous amount of pile driving, not just a sonar site survey, although there is more of that too.

Technically this is a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking. Here is the announcement:

“NMFS has received a request from the Virginia Electric and Power Company, doing business as Dominion Energy Virginia (Dominion Energy), for Incidental Take Regulations (ITR) and an associated Letter of Authorization (LOA) pursuant to the Marine Mammal Protection Act (MMPA).”

https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2023/05/04/2023-08924/takes-of-marine-mammals-incidental-to-specified-activities-taking-marine-mammals-incidental-to-the

There is a handy comment button at the beginning. I urge people to comment, especially along the lines discussed below.

An incredible 762 whale harassments are proposed. NMFS notes that this massive action requires an EIS under NEPA. We already wrote about the Empire Wind EIS saying harassment can kill. Here is a key excerpt: “It is possible that pile driving could displace animals into areas with lower habitat quality or higher risk of vessel collision or fisheries interaction.”

See https://ift.tt/FWRaCS9

So we looked forward with great interest to see how this LOA EIS handles these potentially extreme effects. The basic question is simple — what are the reasonably likely impacts of all this harassment?

Turns out there is no EIS with this NMFS proposal. They punt to BOEM’s EIS for the entire project. Here is the announcement:

“NMFS proposes to adopt the BOEM Environmental Impact Statement (EIS), provided our independent evaluation of the document finds that it includes adequate information analyzing the effects of promulgating the proposed regulations and LOA issuance on the human environment.” In NEPA speak whales are part of the human environment.

The Draft BOEM EIS (DEIS) is here:

https://www.boem.gov/renewable-energy/state-activities/CVOW-C

However the LOA EIS in not mentioned in the six page Table of Contents. Nor is it one of the 15 Appendices. This is a massive 562 page document, making finding the LOA EIS therein a bit of a shell game. Our approach was to do key word searches. Here are the telling results.

Word searches and findings on the BOEM/Dominion DEIS:

Search on “LOA”

There is just one occurrence, a reference in passing to Table 40 of the original NMFS application, which is now obsolete. There is no discussion of the impact of the now proposed LOA.

Search on “Authorization”

There are two clusters of NMFS related occurrences, both just explaining that the BOEM EIS is the EIS for the harassment authorization. One in the executive summary and a similar one on the main document. There is no discussion of the impact of the authorization. Plus one other occurrence, a reference in passing to the original NMFS application. There are also several references to other agency authorizations.There is no discussion of the impact of the now proposed Authorization.

Search on “Harassment”

There are just three occurrences, all in a table of definitions. There is no discussion of harassment, much less the impact of harassment.

In short there is no EIS for the proposed LOA. NMFS might argue that some of the project EIS discussion amounts to an EIS for the proposed regulations and LOA, but it is a impossible to have an EIS for an action that is never discussed.

It is not like they do not know about the issue of the adverse impact of harassment. I actually discussed the likelihood of increased ship collisions from the Dominion project in an article last September, that I sent to key NMFS people. Here is a central excerpt:

“Dominion’s Construction and Operation Plan (COP) provides the necessary navigation data in Appendix S: Navigation Risk Assessment. Ironically this assessment is all about the risk to ships, not to whales. The project creates what amounts to an intense noise wall that the whales will undoubtedly go around, either to the East or to the West. Immediately to the East lies the westernmost lane of the very busy coastal ship traffic. To the West lies the equally busy coastal barge traffic. Both are deadly. It seems like the project was deliberately located where there is the least shipping traffic. This would make sense if it were not for the whales. As it is the project closes the low shipping corridor, which the whales undoubtedly use. Being hit by ships is the leading cause of death to the whales.“

See https://www.cfact.org/2022/09/27/how-to-kill-whales-with-offshore-wind/

An EIS for the LOA is required under NEPA and until one is produced the LOA cannot be issued or the regulations thereto finalized. NMFS (or BOEM) must assess the reasonably likely adverse impact of the proposed harassments, with special attention to their causing deadly behavior. That is the law.

The shell game must end.

Author

David Wojick

David Wojick, Ph.D. is an independent analyst working at the intersection of science, technology and policy. For origins see

http://www.stemed.info/engineer_tackles_confusion.html

For over 100 prior articles for CFACT see

http://www.cfact.org/author/david-wojick-ph-d/

Available for confidential research and consulting.

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May 24, 2023 at 12:18AM