Month: May 2023

Unreliable Green Energy Has the World Running Back to Coal and Nuclear

By Vijay Jayaraj

Since an earthquake and tsunami severely damaged nuclear reactors at Fukushima, Japan has struggled with powering its economy. While the country’s initial reaction to the 2011 disaster was to abandon a once robust nuclear program, a decade later Japan is not only returning to splitting atoms and but also seeking to burn more fossil fuels than once would have been imagined.

To an extent, Japan is an example of what is happening in developed economies across the globe. More countries are coming to appreciate the importance of nuclear energy, and an increasing number in the West are finding it hard to abandon fossil fuels despite publicly vowing to do so.

Japan: An Economy that runs on Nuclear, Oil, Coal and Gas

Tokyo’s move away from nuclear energy was entirely because of the unwarranted fears surrounding the technology. However, once it was understood that Fukushima was more of a natural disaster than a fundamental technological failure, the country began to reverse its nuclear retrenchment and is now fully on track with an ambitious plan to use power reactors.

Historically, much of Japan’s electricity needs have been met by fossil fuels, especially coal. Then, in the late 2000s, like most developed economies of Europe and North America, Japan was confronted by pressures to reduce coal use to address a purported climate emergency. However, Japan now realizes that it can continue to use coal using state-of-art technology, which reduces pollution significantly.

In its coverage of a new clean-coal plant backed by $384 million of public funds, Nikkei Asia reports that the country’s initiatives are bearing fruit and providing much needed electricity.

“Japan, which sources about one-third of its power from coal, sees the project as key to its policy of safely achieving energy security as well as economic and environmental efficiency,” said Nikkei Asia.

Quoting Japan’s latest energy plan, the publication said coal is “an important energy source with excellent stability of supply and economic efficiency at present, because it has the lowest geopolitical risk related to procurement, is cheap and is easy to store.”

It is likely that Japan will fall back on its coal power whenever it is needed.

The country’s choice to go against the global anti-coal movement may seem unique, but more and more countries find themselves in a position where they have no option but to continue depending on fossil fuels.

Nuclear and Fossil Fuels: An Emerging Global Pattern

U.S. and France depend heavily on nuclear for power. More than 50 percent of all electricity generated in Slovakia, Ukraine and Belgium come from nuclear plants.

Hell-bent in its opposition to nuclear, Germany is somewhat unique in shutting down nuclear plants in the midst of an energy crisis, Yet, Germany has consistently failed to keep its promise to reduce emissions from fossil fuel combustion and is now turning back to coal. In 2022, Germany imported 44.4 million tons of coal, an eight percent increase from 2021. This is no surprise.

Among the world’s foremost anti-fossil fuel advocates are leaders in the UK, U.S., EU, Canada and Australia. Nonetheless, many of them, especially in the EU, continue to rely significantly on fossil fuels for various reasons.

In the EU, a shortage of gas stemming from interruptions of Russian gas supplies and a disgracefully incompetent renewable-transition policy ensured a shortage of fuels to generate power.

Thomas Moller-Nielsen in The Brussels Times notes that “the EU’s increase in coal consumption is particularly ironic, given that the bloc has previously impressed on major polluters the need to take urgent steps to tackle climate change. Indeed, in an unprecedented reversal of roles, China recently urged European leaders to take ‘positive action’ to address human-induced global warming.”

So what we have is a situation where the reality of energy demand beckons these advanced economies to fall back on trustworthy fossil fuels and embrace highly efficient nuclear energy. Unreliable solar and wind cannot meet the needs, and attempts to have them do so will likely lead to national bankruptcies.

This commentary was first published at Daily Caller, May 5, 2023, and can be accessed here.

Vijay Jayaraj is a Research Associate at the CO2 Coalition, Arlington, Virginia. He holds a master’s degree in environmental sciences from the University of East Anglia, UK and resides in India.

Tags: fossil fuelsnuclear energyVijay JayarajFukushimaJapanFukushima Japan

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May 20, 2023 at 08:31AM

For California to achieve 1.8 Million EV trucks it must exploit developing countries

The supply chain for minerals needed for EV batteries are dominated by China and developing countries.

The post For California to achieve 1.8 Million EV trucks it must exploit developing countries appeared first on CFACT.

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May 20, 2023 at 06:47AM

Clintel Report Blows Lid Off Biased IPCC Report, Permeated With Errors, Bias

But not the end he was thinking of ? [credit: wizbangblog.com]

Each successive report is spun up for political purposes to look more alarming than the last one, with minimal change to any relevant data.
– – –
The IPCC ignored crucial peer-reviewed literature showing that normalized disaster losses have decreased since 1990 and that human mortality due to extreme weather has decreased by more than 95% since 1920, say Marcel Crok and Andy May @ Climate Change Dispatch.

The IPCC, by cherry-picking from the literature, drew the opposite conclusions, claiming increases in damage and mortality due to anthropogenic climate change.

These are two important conclusions of the report The Frozen Climate Views of the IPCC, published by the Clintel Foundation.

The 180-page report is – as far as we know – the first serious international ‘assessment’ of the IPCC’s Sixth Assessment Report.

In 13 chapters, the Clintel report shows the IPCC rewrote climate history, emphasizes an implausible worst-case scenario, has a huge bias in favor of ‘bad news’ and against ‘good news’, and keeps the good news out of the Summary for Policy Makers.

The errors and biases that Clintel documents in the report are far worse than those that led to the investigation of the IPCC by the Interacademy Council (IAC Review) in 2010. Clintel believes that the IPCC should reform or dismantled.

With the recently published Synthesis Report, the IPCC finished its sixth assessment cycle consisting of seven reports in total.

An international team of scientists from the Clintel network has analyzed several claims from the Working Group 1 (The Physical Science Basis) and Working Group 2 (Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability) reports. This has now led to the report The Frozen Climate Views of the IPCC.

In every chapter, the Clintel report documents biases and errors in the IPCC assessment. The errors are worse in the WG2 report than in the WG1 report.

Given the political relevance of what is known as “Loss and Damage” (at the yearly COP meetings, countries currently negotiate donations to a Loss and Damage fund) one would expect a thorough review of the relevant literature.

However, Clintel shows that the IPCC has totally failed in this respect.

For example, a review article on the subject, published in 2020, showed that 52 out of 53 peer-reviewed papers dealing with “normalized disaster losses” saw no increase in harm that could be attributed to climate change.

The IPCC highlighted the single paper that claimed an increase in losses. That paper is – unsurprisingly – flawed, but its cherry-picking by the IPCC suggests they found its conclusions irresistible.

Climate-related deaths

“We are on a highway to climate hell”, said UN boss Guterres recently. But an in-depth look at the mortality data shows that climate-related deaths are at an all-time low.

Well-known economist Bjorn Lomborg published that important information in a 2020 peer-reviewed paper, but the IPCC, again, chose to ignore it.

The strategy of the IPCC seems to be to hide any good news about climate change and hype anything bad.

Full article here.

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May 20, 2023 at 04:35AM

New high risk, high reward studies will tackle key unanswered questions about our planet

NERC has invested £25 million in a host of high risk, high reward research projects to tackle critical environment challenges

Grant and Award Announcement

UK RESEARCH AND INNOVATION

NERC has invested £25 million in a host of high risk, high reward research projects to tackle critical environment challenges.

The 44 projects cover the full spectrum of environmental science including geology, atmospheric science, biodiversity and ecology.

The research will, for example: 

  • improve our understanding of volcanic activity such as eruptions a lava flows
  • age the Earth’s solid inner core
  • investigate historic mass extinction events
  • predict future changes to carbon storage and biodiversity of the amazon rainforest
  • study new microbes capable of consuming the powerful methane greenhouse gas
  • Establish which species are the most and least resilient to environmental changes

Lasting 3 to 4 years, the projects have received up to £1.3 million to conduct the research, which is a key part of NERC’s investment portfolio.

Professor Sir Duncan Wingham, Executive Chair of NERC, said:

“This investment supports researchers’ curiosity and imagination to enable discoveries that unlock new knowledge. The studies will tackle some the most critical unanswered questions about our planet.

“By supporting high risk, high reward environmental science, we are harnessing the full power of the UK’s research and innovation system to tackle large-scale, complex challenges.”

Further information

The projects are:

Explosive-effusive volcanic eruption transitions caused by pyroclast sintering

Fabian Wadsworth, Durham University         

£830,468

NERC-NSFGEO Community And Structural Collapse During Mass Extinctions (CASCaDE)

Alexander Dunhill, University of Leeds         

£730,589

On the edge?

Ian Main, University of Edinburgh     

£799.940

Hydrothermal controls on caldera explosivity

Isobel Yeo, National Oceanography Centre 

£990,558

Tracing volatile cycling during progressive subduction in the Mariana Forearc

Catriona Menzies, Durham University

£742,120        

SCREED: Supergene enrichment of carbonatite REE deposits

Martin Smith, University of Brighton  

£799,992

Palaeomagnetic field behaviour in the Palaeozoic and the hunt for inner core birth

Andrew Biggin, University of Liverpool          

£802,901

Enabling CO2 mineralisation through pore to field-scale tracking of carbonate precipitation: INCLUSION

Stuart Gilfillan, University of Edinburgh         

£799,995

DV3M: Deforming Volcanoes with Dynamic Magma-Mush Models

James Hickey, University of Exeter

£777,705

Magmatic volatiles in the fourth dimension

Margaret Hartley, University of Manchester

£797,938

OceanBound

Christopher Hughes, University of Liverpool and Daniel Jones, NERC British Antarctic Survey

£863,794

FUTURE-FLOOD: New estimates of evolving UK flood risk for improved climate resilience

Elizabeth Kendon, University of Bristol         

£798,313

Silicon CycLing IN Glaciated environments

Katharine Hendry, NERC British Antarctic Survey   

£999,535

Greenland ice marginal lake evolution as a driver of ice sheet change – how important are rising lake temperatures?

David Rippin, University of York        

£710,619

Humid heat extremes in the Global (sub)Tropics (H2X)

Cathryn Birch, University of Leeds and Christopher Taylor, UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology       

£871,562

Enhanced carbon export driven by internal tides over the mid-Atlantic ridge (CarTRidge)

Jonathan Sharples, University of Liverpool,  Joanne Hopkins, National Oceanography Centre, Alberto Naveira Garabato, University of Southampton, Alex Poulton, Heriot-Watt University

£1,325,572

A mising link between continental shelves and the deep sea: Addressing the overlooked role of land-detached submarine canyons

Mike Clare, National Oceanography Centre, Rob Hall, University of East Anglia

£902,207        

Waves, levees and impact pressures in snow avalanches

Nico Gray, The University of Manchester

£564,284        

Simulating UNder ice Shelf Extreme Topography (SUNSET)

John Taylor, University of Cambridge, Paul Holland, NERC British Antarctic Survey

£872,431

Mobile Observations and quantification of Methane Emissions to inform National Targeting, Upscaling and Mitigation (MOMENTUM)

David Lowry, Royal Holloway, University of London

£815,196        

Investigating the potential for catastrophic collapse of Greenland’s ‘land’-terminating glacier margins

Peter Nienow, University of Edinburgh         

£611,281

Towards Maximum Feasible Reduction in Aerosol Forcing Uncertainty (Aerosol-MFR)

Jill Johnson, University of Sheffield   

£692,793

Next-Generation Modelling of Glacial Isostatic Adjustment

David Al-Attar, University of Cambridge        

£449,140

RIFT-TIP: Rates of Ice Fracture and Timing of Tabular Iceberg Production

Oliver Marsh, NERC British Antarctic Survey           

£1,093,961

Bridging theory to reality in projections of the Asian and West African monsoons (Bridge)

Ruth Geen, University of Birmingham           

£766,535

The End of the Amazon Carbon Sink? (AMSINK)

Oliver Phillips, University of Leeds    

£799,835

DMSP synthesis via a novel enzyme in cyanobacteria and diverse bacteria

David John Lea-Smith, University of East Anglia     

£606,000

Integrating and predicting responses of natural systems to disturbances

Roberto Salguero-Gomez, University of Oxford       

£799,513

Identifying novel microbial drivers to mitigate atmospheric methane emission

Laura Lehtovirta-Morley, University of East Anglia

£565,406        

Rainforest Fauna in the Anthropocene: an integrated approach to understanding impacts of climate and land use change (RAINFAUNA)

Jos Barlow, Lancaster University

£799,960        

Recovery pathways for lake ecosystems

Peter Langdon            University of Southampton    

£799,839

Role Specialization and plasticity at the origin of eusociality

Jeremy Field, University of Exeter

£526,150        

Discovering The Molecular Basis For Carbon Storage In Soil For Food Security And Climate Change Mitigation

Ian Bull, University of Bristol  

£799,329

Environmental and ecological drivers of tropical peatland methane dynamics across spatial scales

Nicholas Girkin, Cranfield University

£766,062        

Turbo-charging the mycorrhizosphere – Could more productive ecosystems threaten soil carbon stocks in boreal and sub-arctic zones of transition?

Philip Wookey, University of Stirling

£799,634        

A Novel Testing Paradigm to Identify and Manage Multiple Stressor Impacts on Wildlife

Frances Orton, University of the West of Scotland and Claus Svendsen, UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology

£859,965        

What happens to the green stuff? Applying a novel zoogeochemical lens to ecosystem nutrient cycling

Kate Parr, University of Liverpool

£770,297        

Mitigating Microbial Hazards – Eliminating HABs risks in salmon farms

Linda Lawton, The Robert Gordon University

£797,321

When does a supershedder become a superspreader?: The impact of individual-level heterogeneities on population-level transmission and spread

Amy Pedersen            University of Edinburgh         

798,990.00

The evolution of Chalk Sea ecosystems: biodiversity, resilience and ecological function in a warming world

Richard Twitchett, The Natural History Museum and Paul Bown, University College London

£799,297        

Was A Cold-blooded Strategy Key To Crocodile Survival Across Mass Extinctions?

Philip Mannion, University College London

£555,868        

The role of structural variants in rapid adaptation

Laura Kelly, Royal Botanic Gardens Kew

£790,303        

A palaeontological solution to the origin of the vertebrate pectoral girdle

Martin Brazeau, Imperial College London

£544,334        

Why did we start Fermenting cereals? A molecular dissection of Ancient Bread and Beer making (FABB)

Mark Thomas, University College London

£639,908

From EurekAlert!

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May 20, 2023 at 04:11AM