Month: September 2023

Van Gogh Waves in the Magnetosphere

‘A key finding of Kavosi’s paper is that the waves prefer equinoxes.’

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September 29, 2023 at 04:48PM

Climate Wars Heating Up in Rural Australia

Essay by Eric Worrall

To say tempers are running hot over climate policy related bullying and abuse of rural landowners would be an understatement.

I attended an action meeting on the 28th September in Gympie.

Katy McCallum (Kilkivan Action Group – she has featured before in WUWT) along with Jim Willmott presented disturbing footage of wholesale destruction of wilderness areas to make way for the industrial scale wind farm and solar development – vast swathes of trees cut down, corridors 10s of miles long through formerly pristine wilderness.

Wade Northausen of Billboard Battalion along with Michael Griffith of Cafe Locked Out discussed the issues they were facing in rural Victoria.

One of the most disturbing issues raised was about crowd control weapons used against EPIC freedom protestors in 2022.

The Aussie government has admitted to using LRADS, sonic weapons, to disperse the anti-vaccine mandate protest, though they claim the LRADs were not configured as weapons.

But the people I spoke to claim they were burned – burns which took weeks to heal. Sonic LRAD weapons don’t cause burns, they hurt your ears.

Perhaps something other than an LRAD was deployed. The US military developed a microwave radiation crowd dispersal weapon a decade ago, dubbed the “pain ray” in some popular press articles. The microwave weapon looks a lot like the LRAD weapon, the antenna superficially has a similar shape. The microwaves projected by the ADS weapon are not the same as your microwave oven, they are designed to be far less penetrating, to minimise the risk of injury – but they can still reportedly cause second degree burns.

I don’t know for sure what happened that day, I wasn’t there – but I was horrified at first hand accounts I listened to from protestors who claim they suffered inexplicable burns.

The meeting speakers also mentioned the need to avoid excessive organisational centralisation. I contributed a little to the discussion on this issue, I said “the one thing they can’t cope with is a brush fire”. I also pointed out the tendency of European populist leaders of centralised activist groups to have unfortunate automobile accidents, which got a round of applause from the audience. The leaders I was thinking of were Austrian politician Jörg Haider, who died in an automobile accident in 2008, after his party unexpectedly won almost a third of the vote in national elections, and Britain’s Nigel Farage, who also suffered a suspicious automobile accident while campaigning for Brexit, though thankfully Farage’s accident was not fatal.

The speakers were (thanks to Marie):

Allona Lahn – No Jab No Play

Marleen Owen – Feed the homeless

Michael Griffith – Cafe Locked Out

Wade Northausen – Billboard Battalion (Victoria)

Katy McCallum & Jim Willmott – Kilkivan Action Group

Craig McManus – My Place Gympie

All the speakers were very careful to insist that everyone should remain within the law.

My overall impression – these are ordinary people, law abiding rural folk, who are being bullied and disrespected by government backed big green, mixed in with some vaccine freedom protestors. Some fiery things were said, but nobody, not a single person I saw speaking or spoke to afterwards, advocated any form of law breaking – other than the lockdown freedom marches they participated in. Most of the speakers very explicitly advised people not to break the law or make people feel threatened, and there were also explicit warnings from speakers to respect the privacy and families of politicians and other protest targets, and not to approach the private homes of politicians, only their official offices, if people wanted to conduct any form of protest.

Leave law breaking and violence to the greens.

There was some merchandise available. I bought a hat with 8:32 written on it, full marks if you know what it means.

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September 29, 2023 at 04:35PM

It used to be warmer: 4,000 new bits of evidence melt out of Norwegian glaciers

By Jo Nova

Only two weeks ago a team of archeologists discovered an arrow made from a shell had survived 3,300 years in the ice in Norway. As the glaciers melt, the team has found some 4,000 items of clothes and hunting gear. Things that must have been precious to someone at the time — like hand-made leather bridles and Viking age knives — peeling away layers of history.

The director of the archeology team, Lars Holger Pilø, is very excited about finding a treasure trove of Early Bronze Age relics (as you would be). But he laments the cause — “the reason they are melting out is sad,” — he exclaims. The ice melt will lead to drastic changes in Norway’s landscape, he says, without seeming to notice he’s talking about warming the world back to what it was. Oh, the horror of a warmer climate that humans thrived in for thousands of years.

Today, some youngsters glue themselves to a road at the thought of another half a degree temperature rise, but imagine having to kill dinner with a shell strapped to a stick?

If only we could ask the last owner if they’d rather our current colder climate?

Maya Pontone, HyperAllergic

Archaeologists trekking through the Jotunheimen Mountains in Norway’s Innlandet County came across a remarkable find — an intact shell arrow dating back to the Early Bronze Age. Fastened with an arrowhead made of freshwater pearl mussel, the well-preserved hunting tool dates back 3,600 years and is one of eight shell arrows that have emerged from melting ice in Norway in recent years.

“The glaciers and ice patches are retreating and releasing artifacts that have been frozen in time by the ice,” Lars Holger Pilø, co-director of the archaeology program, told Hyperallergic.

It’s quaint the way they have to turn it into an ad for climate change, even though everything about this project screams “climate change is natural”

As global warming transforms Norway’s mountainous landscape, Finstad, Pilø and their fellow glacier archaeologists are rushing to collect the exposed artifacts, which continue to get older as the ice continues to melt.

There’s more photos at Secrets of the Ice.

h/t NetZeroWatch

 

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September 29, 2023 at 01:59PM

Spencer and Christy’s new climate sensitivity paper has been published – and its LOWER.

From Dr. Roy Spencer:

If we assume ALL *observed* warming of the deep oceans and land since 1970 has been due to humans, we get an effective climate sensitivity to a doubling of atmospheric CO2 of around 1.9 deg. C. This is considerably lower than the official *theoretical* model-based IPCC range of 2.5 to 4.0 deg. C.

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Via a Phys.org article:

Spencer and Christy’s climate model, based upon objective measured data, found carbon dioxide does not have as big of an effect of warming of the atmosphere when compared with other climate models.

“For over 30 years, dozens of highly sophisticated computerized climate models based upon theory have been unable to agree on an answer. That’s why we developed our own one-dimensional climate model to provide an answer,” says. Dr. Spencer.

When compared to other current climate models, the research results from Spencer and Christy’s one-dimensional climate model approached the bottom end of the range, 1.9° Celsius. The lower UAH value indicates that the climate impact of increasing carbon dioxide concentrations is much less that that based on other climate models.


The paper, published in   Theoretical and Applied Climatology:

Effective climate sensitivity distributions from a 1D model of global ocean and land temperature trends, 1970–2021

Abstract:
Current theoretically based Earth system models (ESMs) produce Effective Climate Sensitivities (EffCS) that range over a factor of three, with 80% of those models producing stronger global warming trends for 1970–2021 than do observations. To make a more observationally based estimate of EffCS, a 1D time-dependent forcing-feedback model of temperature departures from energy equilibrium is used to match measured ranges of global-average surface and sub-surface land and ocean temperature trends during 1970–2021. In response to two different radiative forcing scenarios, a full range of three model free parameters are evaluated to produce fits to a range of observed surface temperature trends (± 2σ) from four different land datasets and three ocean datasets, as well as deep-ocean temperature trends and borehole-based trend retrievals over land. Land-derived EffCS are larger than over the ocean, and EffCS is lower using the newer Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP245, 1.86 °C global EffCS, ± 34% range 1.48–2.15 °C) than the older Representative Concentration Pathway forcing (RCP6, 2.49 °C global average EffCS, ± 34% range 2.04–2.87 °C). The strongest dependence of the EffCS results is on the assumed radiative forcing dataset, underscoring the role of radiative forcing uncertainty in determining the sensitivity of the climate system to increasing greenhouse gas concentrations from observations alone. The results are consistent with previous observation-based studies that concluded EffCS during the observational period is on the low end of the range produced by current ESMs.

Full paper with open access is here:
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00704-023-04634-7

For a description of climate sensitivity, see Everything Climate

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September 29, 2023 at 12:15PM