Month: September 2023

US Govt Lying About Offshore Wind Industry’s Whale Slaughter

The US government has been lying for years about the offshore wind industry’s pointless whale slaughter. It’s bad enough that it’s already provided the wind industry with a license to kill thousands of whales, dolphins, porpoises and seals – a ‘get out of jail free card’ – known as the ‘Incidental Harassment Authorization’.

But, worse still, federal authorities have claimed to have investigated the cause of the increasing number of whales washing up dead onshore and based on that bogus claim, completely exonerated the obvious culprits.

The trouble is that the evidence is all one way and proves, beyond a shadow of a doubt, that the offshore wind industry is killing hundreds of whales and other seaborne mammals, with complete impunity. In his new documentary “Thrown To The Wind”, Michael Shellenberger reveals what the government is so desperate to conceal.

New documentary ‘proves’ building offshore wind farms does kill whales
New York Post
Michael Shellenberger
26 August 2023

The increase in whale, dolphin, and other cetacean deaths off the East Coast of the United States since 2016 is not due to the construction of large industrial wind turbines, U.S. government officials say.

Their scientists have done the research, they say, to prove that whatever is killing the whales is completely unrelated to the wind industry.

But now, a new documentary, “Thrown To The Wind,” by director and producer Jonah Markowitz, which I executive produced, proves that the US government officials have been lying.

The film documents surprisingly loud, high-decibel sonar emitted by wind industry vessels when measured with state-of-the-art hydrophones. And it shows that the wind industry’s increased boat traffic is correlated directly with specific whale deaths.

My nonprofit organization, Environmental Progress, which is independent of all energy interests, funded the documentary because, like millions of Americans, we love whales and believe their extinction is an avoidable tragedy

The species in question is the North Atlantic right whale. Its population has dropped to 340 from over 400 over the last few years.

And, there have been more than 60 recorded whale deaths of all species on the East Coast since Dec 1, 2022, a number that increased markedly since 2016 when the wind industry started to ramp up.

The documentary may not stop the industrial wind projects from being built. After all, the wind projects are going forward despite urgent warnings from leading conservation groups and a top scientist at the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

But our documentary has hit a nerve. Within the first 48 hours of it being online, over 20,000 people re-posted it, and over 6 million people total, across two tweets, have viewed the posts with the embedded trailer for “Thrown To The Wind.”

And, now, Republican members of Congress tell me they want to hold hearings to investigate.

I have been involved in a lot of great causes in the 35 years that I have been politically active. This one, saving the whales, is easily one of the most noble and important. One of my first political memories as a boy was the Greenpeace “Save the Whales” sticker in my father’s food co-op.

Whales touch something deep within us. They care deeply for their offspring. They form communities. They sing.

Whales are, as the conservationists in “Thrown to the Wind” explain, magnificent spiritual beings, not just great biological ones.

There appear to be at least two distinct mechanisms by which wind industry activities are killing whales.

The first is through boat traffic in areas where there hasn’t historically been traffic. The second is through high-decibel sonar mapping that can disorient whales, separate mothers from their calves, and send them into harm’s way, either into boat traffic or poorer feeding grounds.

Whale deaths caused by boat strikes are not unrelated to windfarm works — as some have sought to claim — but fueled by them.

The waters around New York and New Jersey have seen three humpbacks die in August alone; two of them had blunt force trauma while the third was too decomposed for a necropsy.

Shot in the hand-held style made famous by Paul Greengrass, the creator and director of the Jason Bourne movies, Markowitz’s “Thrown To The Wind” gives the experience of being on the ocean and in the room with the film’s stars, Lisa Linowes, who correlated the whale deaths to wind industry activity with Eric Turner, and Rob Rand.

Linowes is a lifelong environmental activist, data analyst, and co-founder of the Save the Right Whales Coalition.

She’s also an obsessive data nerd who, working with her husband, sold their start-up software company over a decade ago and moved to New England where she does her conservation work full-time and without pay.

Rand, meanwhile, is a conservationist and one of the world’s leading underwater acoustics experts with over 30 years of experience.

The commitment by Markowitz to investigative documentary filmmaking led him to go out on the ocean with Rand to measure the sound of industrial wind activity.

It was on that trip that Rand and his team discovered high-decibel sound emissions that appeared to violate NOAA’s protective standards for marine life.

When combined with the work of Linowes and Turner, correlating whale deaths with wind industry vessel traffic, Rand’s acoustic research should have far-reaching implications, including halting all industrial wind activity along the East Coast.

After a dead whale washed ashore on Takanassee Beach in New Jersey two weeks ago, police blocked off the area so tractors could be brought in to remove it.

“We were sitting on the beach yesterday, and I noticed it when people started running up to it,” Soraya Nimaroff, who lives nearby, told the Ashbury Park Press. “I’m very sad. It is very sad.”

Our research shouldn’t have been necessary. Dr. Sean Hayes, a top NOAA scientist warned last year that industrial wind projects “could have population-level effects on an already endangered and stressed species.”

“Population-level effects” include extinction.

Dr. Hayes, NOAA’s chief of protected species warned that “oceanographic impacts from installed and operating turbines cannot be mitigated for the 30-year lifespan of the project unless they are decommissioned.”  His warnings were ignored.

So, too, were the ones from scientists representing many of the same environmental groups supporting the industrial wind energy projects wrote in a 2021 letter that “the North Atlantic right whale population cannot withstand any additional stressors; any potential interruption of foraging behavior may lead to population-level effects and is of critical concern.”

But the scientists then stood by as their organizations sold out them and the whales.

Under pressure from the White House, the US government has ignored its top scientists and pushed forward to industrialize the oceans and risk the extinction of the North Atlantic right whale.

Part of the problem is that the wind industry spent years bribing the US government, scientific organizations, and aquariums to lie to the American people.

Wind energy companies and their foundations have donated nearly $4.7 million to at least three dozen major environmental organizations.

And Facebook went so far as to censor my post linking whale deaths to wind energy off the East Coast of the United States.

The censorship came in the form of adding a link to a “FactCheck.org” article from March 31, 2023, which relied entirely on U.S. government sources “Thrown to the Wind” debunks.

“Thrown To The Wind” exposes the reality that the U.S. government agencies and the scientists who work for them either haven’t done the basic mapping and acoustic research to back up their claims, have done the research badly, or found what we found and are covering it up.

Given the evidence presented in “Thrown To The Wind,” it’s clear that the American people and our representatives cannot trust NOAA and the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM), the two government agencies that, for years, have repeatedly betrayed the public’s trust in service to powerful industrial interests.

Because politics has corrupted the normal scientific and regulatory process for protecting the North Atlantic right whales, we are urging elected officials at federal and state levels to conduct an investigation, issue subpoenas, and hold public hearings.

Saving the North Atlantic right whale is a goal that is within reach and well worth pursuing. Yes, its numbers have plummeted from over 400 to just 340 at the last estimate.

But the species will likely rebound if the sonar mapping and new boat activity in previously untrafficked areas is ended.

The strong reaction to the documentary over the last two weeks, including from members of Congress, gives me hope that things will soon change.

When people see the evidence, the American people, their policymakers, and the courts will end this awful destruction of wild nature.

The government officials, scientists, and journalists who have been involved in promoting this project should quit their jobs and become whistleblowers before their work kills any more whales.
New York Post

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September 13, 2023 at 02:36AM

ONLY 16% OF UK VOTERS WANT TO PRIORITISE NET ZERO

 MattGoodwin: The Sun, 8 September 2023 

If Rishi Sunak is to have any chance ofwinning the next General Election, then he should be doing a lot more to tapinto people’s growing sense of exasperation with the spiralling costs of NetZero.

That’s the message from my latest ­polling on what ordinary people who took apunt on Boris Johnson in 2019 really think about the expansion of greenpolicies such as the Ultra-Low Emission Zone in London, where the owners ofnon-compliant vehicles must pay £12.50 each time they drive.

Were you to listen only to the expert class, to London Mayor Sadiq Khan or thenew elite who dominate the institutions, then you might be forgiven forthinking that these kinds of policies are incredibly popular among the public. But the reality, as my polling shows, is quite different.

Much like globalisation in the 1990s, or the rise of mass immigration in the2000s and the 2010s, many people today are becoming sceptical, if not outrightopposed, to the spiralling costs of this agenda.

Only one in four say they would like to see a Ulez-type scheme operating intheir own local area. The vast majority would not.

But it’s the coalition of voters from across the political spectrum who backedBoris Johnson and the Conservative Party in 2019 — many of whom are the samepeople who backed Brexit — who are especially opposed to footing the bills forthings such as Ulez and the creeping influence of Net Zero.

These voters, remember, are absolutely critical for Sunak’s chances next year.  Sunak is currently only holding on to half of Johnson’s 2019voters.

Ask people whether they want their leaders in Westminster to prioritise NetZero even if this increases people’s bills or prioritise lowering their billseven if this undermines the quest to achieve Net Zero and the vast majoritystrongly favour the latter.

Only 16 per cent want to prioritise Net Zero.

Ask Conservative voters from 2019 — the very people who will determine whetheror not Sunak remains in power — and just seven per cent want their leaders toprioritise Net Zero while nearly three-quarters (72 per cent) want them toprioritise slashing the cost of living.

Full post

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September 13, 2023 at 01:46AM

Don’t miss Will Happer in Australia

Don’t miss Will Happer in Australia

By Jo Nova

William Happer

William Happer

I was lucky enough to spend some time with the wonderful Professor William Happer the last few days thanks to the IPA. The man is a living legend of science having worked on the StarWars program in the Cold War and with the White House in the 1990s and in the Trump era. His talk had something for everyone, speaking about the need for bravery in dangerous times, and the psychology of crowds and yet with enough detail on emission spectrum calculations to appeal to the true science nerds as well. His work on adaptive optics with lazers in the atmosphere was considered so important to national security it was classified as a military secret. Despite that he was one of the first casualties of the political war on science – losing his position as Director of Energy Research in the US Dept of Energy in 1993 for speaking his mind on ozone.

Happer conveys an enthusiasm for physics, astronomy, the Earth that is infectious.

Book Now — and don’t forget the IPA offers a program for 15-25 year olds called Generation Liberty — with membership for just $10 a year and free admission to some events like this one. This is a chance to share that moment with children or grandchildren. Send this link to anyone you know doing science or engineering at university.

Melbourne at the Ritz-Carlton on Friday 15 September,
Sydney at the Four Seasons on Monday 18 September, and in
Brisbane at the Sofitel, on Wednesday, 20 September.

Each event will start at 5:30 pm and there will be a Q&A session following.

Tickets to any of the IPA lectures may be purchased from www.ipa.org.au/events.

Photo by Gage Skidmore

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September 13, 2023 at 01:27AM

Energy Emergency Alert! ERCOT’s Close Call of September 6 (Part 2)

“The predictable but inevitable intermittency of renewable energy had created a grid emergency that would not exist on a grid that operated without renewables…. natural gas peaker plants would have handled the load at peak demand, the riskiest time for a normally functioning grid.”

“, Governor Greg Abbot should declare an energy emergency and call the Texas Legislature into special session and keep them there until they eliminate all Texas subsidies for renewable energy and force renewable generators to pay for the costs they have imposed on Texas consumers.”

As many renewable advocates like to point out, solar often provides good performance during periods of high temperature. Leaving aside for the moment the performance of solar compared to installed capacity, at 5 p.m. solar came close to its expected output of 12,636 MW. At 6 o’clock, solar dropped off to 77.6 percent of expected summer output. It also contributed 12.2 percent of generation at the time of peak load about 5:55. Wind was operating at 54 percent of expected summer capacity (10,427 MW) and contributing 7 percent at the same time. Batteries added only 0.3 percent.

All told, renewables contributed 19.5 percent at peak load. Thermal energy, meanwhile, contributed 80.2 percent: natural gas, 59.9 percent; coal, 14.2 percent; nuclear, 6.1 percent.

The trouble with wind and solar became readily apparent as 7 o’clock and 8 o’clock come around. At the critical time of 7:25 p.m.—when ERCOT issued its Energy Emergency Alert 2, solar generation had plummeted to 11.6 percent of expected summer capacity—down from 86.9 percent just over two hours before. Wind also had dropped, as it usually does about that time of day. To make things worse, wind generation had already been operating far below expected summer capacity throughout most of the day. Thus, wind could not pick up the load for solar as the sun was going down.

In evaluating what happened on September 6 it is important to remember the load had dropped significantly by 7:25 when the grid emergency occurred. At that point, demand was 77,670 MW, down by almost 6 percent from the 82,350 MW demand at 5:55 and continuing its decline. Yet renewables could not keep up even with falling demand. The predictable but inevitable intermittency of renewable energy had created a grid emergency that would not exist on a grid that operated without renewables.

A Texas Grid Without Renewables

To fully understand the situation ERCOT is in today, we can contrast the events surrounding Energy Emergency Alert 2 to what the Texas grid would be like absent the takeover of the grid by renewables.

A grid operating without renewable energy would have handled peak load very differently than what occurred on September 6. As temperatures and demand soared, natural gas peaker plants would have come online to handle the increased load. These plants are built exactly for this type of situation. Often, peaker plants run less than 1,000 hours a year. Of course, in order to be profitable, they need to receive high prices for their electricity when they do run. That was the genius of Texas’ competitive electricity market. As demand increased faster than baseline generation could ramp up, prices would increase. That would be the signal for peaker plants to come online.

Such was the nature of the Texas power market from the late-1990s through 2015 or so. Investors flocked to Texas from all over the world seeking to earn profits by building new natural gas “peaker” plants. From 1996 when Texas began its move toward competitive markets, almost 35,000 MW of natural gas generation was built through 2009. This constituted about 45 percent of all generation in ERCOT in 2009 and was why Texas was able to make it through the summer of 2011, the warmest on record at the time, without any outages due to generation shortages.

The situation was beneficial for everyone. Peaker plants received high prices in the relatively few hours they operated when generation became scarce. Texans paid higher prices for a few hours a year, but the power they received kept the lights on.

Allowing this scenario to play out on September 6, it would have been the peaker plants—in response to higher prices, not solar, that would have come online to handle the peak load at 5:55 p.m. Then, as the load decreased as businesses shut down and temperatures dropped, some peakers would have gone offline or reduced output. But some of them still would have been online at 7:25 to handle the reduced load at that time. There would not have been the sudden drop off in generation that the grid experienced on September 6 due to changes in the weather or the setting of the sun.

In other words, natural gas would have handled the load at peak demand, the riskiest time for a normally functioning grid. Perhaps there might have been calls for conservation at that time, but more than likely there would not have been; such calls occurred much less often before renewables arrived. And unlike on September 6, there would have no discussion about how to handle the decreasing load between 7 p.m. and 8 p.m. For the straightforward reason that the necessary generation assets, peaker plants, would have already been online and committed to carrying the load. They would not have suddenly disappeared from the grid, unable to generate the needed electricity, like many wind and solar farms did that day.

Woody Rickerson, the ERCOT official, discussed the difference that solar has made during times of peak demand. “What’s changed in the last three years has been this huge influx of solar. Solar has taken [most of] the risk out of 4 p.m. and 5 p.m,’ he said. But Rickerson gets this aspect of the risk shift wrong. Solar has not taken the risk out of the peak load situations. At least no more than peaker plants have done in the past. Investment in solar has shifted the burden of carrying load from peaker plants to solar.

But September 6 clearly demonstrates that solar has failed in this task. Solar did not take the risk out of the grid during peak demand, it simply shifted to a later time. Only non-intermittent, quick-start generation like peaker plants can actually reduce the reliability risk to the grid.

Renewables from Government Favor

Money, or, more specifically, money taken from taxpayers and paid to renewable generators by the government is the reason renewable energy has taken over the Texas grid. Originally, Texas’ competitive electricity market allowed investors that made wise decisions to earn money. A lot of money for many of them. Money flowed from investors to generators to build the plants. Then, as the generators sold their electricity into the market, money flowed from consumers to generators and back to investors to pay for the plants.

That was the case before subsidies for renewable energy helped destroy market pricing signals that allowed for these transactions to take place. This is why for the first fifteen to twenty or so years of Texas’ competitive electricity market the grid was able to handle very high peak loads as the Texas economy and population grew. Texas never suffered blackouts because of insufficient generation during peak loads on hot summer afternoons.

Since that time, however, investment in natural gas, coal, and nuclear generation has dropped to almost zero. Already in 2009 investment in wind generation had overtaken natural gas. New generation requests from wind in 2009 totaled 44,900 MW versus only 14,100 MW from natural gas. Today the problem is much worse. From 2018 to 2021, renewables made up 85 percent of all new generation. A study completed for the Public Utility Commission of Texas (PUCT) estimates that renewables will make up 98.7 percent of all new generation from 2022-2026. By that time, the installed capacity of renewables will make up 57.1 percent of all generation on the grid.

This rapid change in the generation mix on the Texas grid is not happening because of market forces. Investors did not shift from natural gas to renewables because generation from wind and solar farms is more efficient or profitable—at least in the market. The shift came because billions of dollars of federal, state and local subsidies guaranteed profits to investors who no longer had to deal with the uncertainty of prices. No matter what the price of electricity is on any given day, the subsidies guaranteed investors at least a marginal profit for every kilowatt of electricity sold. In 2018, for example, 28.8 percent of the income of renewable energy generators came from government subsidies and benefits.

NextEra Energy, for example, received $5.7 billion from the federal government’s Production Tax Credit (PTC) from 2007 to 2016. Over the same period, Texas’ NRG received $1.1 billion. During that time, the top 15 recipients of the PTC received $19.4 billion.

Money also flowed to renewable generators from Texas. A lot of it. From 2006 through 2023, about $29 billion of subsidies and benefits have flowed to renewable generators in Texas. $15.3 billion of that came from the federal government, $11.7 from the Texas government, and $2.1 billion from local Texas governments. All of the money, though, eventually came from the pockets of taxpayers.

Renewable Subsidies in Texas 2006-2023
Local 2,061,294,571
State 11,656,191,988
Federal 15,339,304,303
Total 29,056,790,862

Investment in reliable generation was also brought to a stop because renewable subsidies destroyed market prices in ERCOT. When the wind blows at night for instance when demand is very low, wind generators drop prices to force their electricity on the grid at the expense of thermal generators. Wind generators can do this because they have no fuel costs and because of the subsidies. This allows them to actually give away their electricity for free and still earn a profit. Thermal generators must either drop out of the market at this point or sell their electricity at a loss. In either case, thermal generators lose revenue making investment less attractive.

This problem is magnified in times of higher demand. When solar or wind generation increases output at these times, prices may be relatively high, but the subsidies ensure that renewable generators can price their energy to ensure they gain market share. This either pushes peaker plants offline or reduces the revenue they can earn while on the grid. More than anything else, this is the problem that is plaguing Texas today; renewable generation has brough investment in new peaker plants to a halt.

Without renewable subsidies, none of this would have happened because Texas would have almost no renewable energy on the grid. In the late 1800s, consumers rejected renewable energy—a four-thousand-year-old technology—as soon as fossil fuel became widely available. Oil and coal became the energy product of choice because it was more efficient, more reliable, and less expensive than wind and solar. That is still the case today, and always will be.

The intervention in energy markets through renewable energy subsidies has distorted market prices, thus distorting and reducing the information available to buyers and sellers. And reducing the quality of the decisions made by them.

An extension of this is that intervention, by design, changes or even prohibits the market outcomes that would have resulted through the voluntary actions of buyers and sellers in the market. The result is that intervention replaces preferences of market participants (to a greater or lesser extent) with those of the regulators and other parties, usually those seeking to profit through regulation. We can see this clearly today in the Texas electricity market, where renewables are making the Texas grid less affordable and less reliable.

The consequences of this were clearly seen on September 6. Solar has taken over the role of natural gas peaker plants only because subsidies for wind and solar energy have led to few or no new gas peaker plants. No longer, then, can Texas safely operate on reserve margins of 10 percent or below as it did less than a decade ago.

Conclusion

ERCOT said earlier this year that Texas has 146,719 MW of installed generating capacity. Yet only two-thirds (97,138 MW) was expected to be available during the summer, largely because wind and solar always operate far below their installed capacity.

But even renewables’ expected capacity has proven to be fickle. ERCOT’s projected reserve margin of 17 percent this year shrank to 1.6 percent at 7:25 p.m. on September 6 when renewables failed to show up. The only thing left for the operators of the Texas grid to do was declare an emergency.

Likewise, Governor Greg Abbot should declare an energy emergency and call the Texas Legislature into special session and keep them there until they eliminate all Texas subsidies for renewable energy and force renewable generators to pay for the costs they have imposed on Texas consumers.

———————

Part I was yesterday. This concludes the two-part series.

——————–

Bill Peacock is director of the Energy Alliance of the Texas Business Coalition. TBC highlights the aspects of the energy market that matter most to consumers: Reliability, Affordability, and Efficiency. Our research can be found at www.theenergyalliance.com.

The post Energy Emergency Alert! ERCOT’s Close Call of September 6 (Part 2) appeared first on Master Resource.

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September 13, 2023 at 01:13AM