Ice-Free Arctic Coming Soon

With ice extent above the 21st century average and little trend for seventeen years, experts have pushed their predictions of an ice-free Arctic out a few years.

“the earliest ice-free conditions (the first single occurrence of an ice-free Arctic) could occur in 2020–2030s under all emission trajectories and are likely to occur by 2050. However, daily September ice-free conditions are expected approximately 4?years earlier on average, with the possibility of preceding monthly metrics by 10?years. Consistently ice-free September conditions (frequent occurrences of an ice-free Arctic) are anticipated by mid-century (by 2035–2067)”

Projections of an ice-free Arctic Ocean | Nature Reviews Earth & Environment

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Perhaps a more reasonable forecast would be 2380.

About Tony Heller

Just having fun

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via Real Climate Science

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March 16, 2024 at 07:02AM

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