Month: June 2024

Daily News 6 Jun 2024

Neatishead

By Paul Homewood

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/uk-synoptic-and-climate-stations

I mentioned the Met Office station at Neatishead the other day, which had set the highest temperature in the UK one day last week.

Ray Sanders has found out that it has only been operational since December 2022, and has been trying to find out its WMO classification. The Met Office has steadfastly refused, asking him why he wants to know.

Such an arrogant attitude from a publicly funded organisation is utterly unacceptable, and one can only wonder what they are trying to hide. Ray has now submitted an official FOI, which they cannot legitimately refuse.

We know that they have been stung by the Daily Sceptic’s exposure of their temperature station network, which is largely reliant on low quality sites, which the WMO says should not be used for climatological purposes.

Meanwhile Dave Ward has tracked the location given by the Met Office to the edge of a cold-war radar station, now the home of an RAF museum:

https://www.radarmuseum.co.uk/

We cannot be sure of the exact location, as the Met Office only give it to three decimal places. It would be interesting to find out the exact location.

via NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

https://ift.tt/FPEaO3t

June 6, 2024 at 08:50AM

Daily News 6 Jun 2024

New study confirms GWPF reports on declining climate disasters

By Paul Homewood

London, 6 June – A new scientific study has confirmed what GWPF reports and statements have emphasised for some time: Natural and climate-related disasters have been declining rather than increasing during the 21st century.
For years, international agencies such as the UN Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR), the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and the International Red Cross (IFRC) have been issuing reports claiming that climate-related disasters are currently escalating (Weather, climate disasters surge fivefold in 50 years, says UN report).
For years, the GWPF has been pointing out that such claims are wrong and contradicted by empirical data. The UN agencies’ misleading claims arise from a failure to account for the major increase in disaster reporting engendered by the arrival of new technologies since the 1970s.
Not only has the annual number of climate-related disasters trended downwards over the last 20+ years.

The number of people killed by natural and climate-related disasters has also been falling steadily over the past 120 years.

Source: Alimonti & Mariani (2024)

In a new study, analysing temporal trends in the number of natural disasters reported since 1900, two Italian scientists confirm that the 21st century has seen “a decreasing trend to 2022” which is “characterized by a significant decline in number of [disaster] events…"

Source: Alimonti & Mariani (2024)

"The statement that we are facing an increasing trend of natural disasters, as claimed in the three official reports by UNDRR and FAO on the basis of the same EM-DAT dataset […] are not supported by data” (Gianluca Alimonti & Luigi Mariani (2024) Environmental Hazards, 23:2, 186-202).
The authors emphasise that the empirical data
“sits in marked contradiction to earlier analyses by two UN bodies (FAO and UNDRR), which predicts an increasing number of natural disasters and impacts in concert with global warming. Our analyses strongly refute this assertion as well as extrapolations published by UNDRR based on this claim.”
In their conclusion, the scientists emphasise that they
“are concerned about the misrepresentation of the natural disaster trend because such claims have been uncritically broadcast by many different media and by FAO itself, thereby deforming the perception of the public on the risk of natural disasters… Misinterpreting the trend of natural disasters is a very serious matter because exposes the world population to the risk of inconsistent policies at both a national and an international level, thereby wasting resources or diverting them from the resolution of much more concrete problems.”
Dr Ralph Alexander who has authored a series of critiques of erroneous climate disaster claims said:
“The new study by Alimonti and Mariani vindicates what we said in a GWPF report three years ago – climate-related disasters are not on the rise, despite global warming. Claims to the contrary have been made for years by several international agencies. Yet, these agencies failed to recognise that the apparent increase in natural disasters since the 1970s simply reflects a major increase in disaster reporting due to new technology.”
GWPF director Dr Benny Peiser said:
“There is a famous saying that sums up the GWPF’s efforts to set the record straight on disaster trends and climate disasters: ‘First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then they join you.”

via NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

https://ift.tt/g2GutCj

June 6, 2024 at 08:22AM

Daily News 6 Jun 2024

Author Of New Paper: No AMOC Collapse…”Should Dissuade People From Climate Doomism”

From the NoTricksZone

By P Gosselin

AMOC. Source: Woods Hole

By Frank Bosse

We hear it over and again: the melting ice in Greenland due to warming will soon lead to a collapse of the AMOC, making it difficult for it to “restart”.

The salt content in the north is critical because the salt-rich tropical water cools down and sinks due to the higher salt content, which is the “pump” that makes circulation possible in the first place. It also transports very large amounts of heat into the North Atlantic.

Scenarios have been published that calculate a drastic cooling of the greater area (especially Europe) around it if the AMOC is “switched off”. The “Day after Tomorrow” scenario.

A more recent summary of these “tipping point” assumptions comes from Prof. Rahmstorf. It refers to reconstructed phases of such collapses, especially during “Heinrich Events” in the last ice age. At that time, large quantities of icebergs advanced far to the south, where they melted and thus probably brought the AMOC to a standstill through sweetening.

New paper finds no alarm

A completely new paper sheds light on these events in detail and reconstructs the freshwater inputs very precisely. A very detailed discussion can be found here.

It finds a decisive difference in the situation during the last ice age and the present: whereas at that time the ice entered the Atlantic primarily in the form of icebergs from the large continental ice sheets, in the present it is Greenland – the island supplies the lion’s share of the freshwater. This has consequences: as the glaciers continue to melt and retreat further inland, fewer and fewer icebergs are released and more and more liquid water is released. This has a major impact on the AMOC. Icebergs are much more “effective”. They briefly freeze the surrounding surface seawater, which leads to warming of the water below, as ice insulates against temperature loss to the (cold) atmosphere. Due to the large mass of the icebergs, they also travel much further south before they melt and finally disappear, leading to much larger-scale sweetening.

The paper concludes that the iceberg discharges from Greenland will not last long enough to drive the AMOC into collapse. Another reason for this is that it was much weaker in ice ages than at present anyway. The lead author of the study is quoted as saying:

This is good climate news that will hopefully dissuade people from climate doomism.”

So whoever reads something about the “soon to dry up North Atlantic Current” and the catastrophic effects in the future: The current piece in “Science” files this under doomsday fantasies (“doomism”).

via Watts Up With That?

https://ift.tt/UoA04vK

June 6, 2024 at 08:08AM