Month: June 2024

Snookered: Global Nuclear Embrace Destroys Case For Subsidised Wind & Solar

The wind and sun cult have no sensible answer to ever-reliable nuclear power and are terrified at the threat nuclear poses to the greatest economic and environmental fraud of all time: hence the fits of rage and apoplexy amongst cultists, carpetbaggers and their political enablers.

The nuclear power embrace across Europe has been sudden, swift, and completely fatal to the wind and solar rollout. Siemens wind turbine division has just sacked 4,100 workers overnight as orders for wind turbines evaporate.

In Australia, the Liberal/National Coalition (presently in Federal opposition) has just announced an all-in nuclear power policy which it will take to the next Federal election. That election is likely to take place sometime later this year (although it could be as late as May 2025). And the nuclear push provides the Coalition with a very plausible path to victory.

The Opposition Leader, Peter Dutton has laid out a path to cheap, reliable and affordable power (the very stuff that gave Australia its economic advantage). The Dutton plan involves large-scale nuclear plants to be located all around the country; built and run by the Federal government.

Much to the horror of the Green/Labor Alliance (currently in charge), the proletariat is ready to embrace nuclear power, too.

The Labor PM, Anthony Albanese and his apparatchiks and a flat panic, reduced to producing a run of infantile cartoon memes about the purported dangers of nuclear power – notwithstanding Labor’s plan to build nuclear-powered submarines in South Australia (sometime in the future, apparently).

The howls from Labor, its union affiliates (who control union superannuation funds which are heavily invested in the wind and solar scam) and the rent-seeking crowd are perfectly understandable: heavily subsidised, chaotically intermittent and entirely sunshine and/ weather-dependent wind and solar have no hope of competing on cost, reliability or even safety with nuclear power.

While there’s a long way to run, starter’s gun has been fired, as these 3 pieces from The Australian make plain.

Peter Dutton reshapes the election and the path to net zero
The Australian
Simon Benson
20 June 2024

Peter Dutton has taken the courageous path in a debate that history has proven offers no clear political victor.

His approach to leadership is one of refusing to die wondering.

He has now staked his leadership and the Coalition’s election prospects on a contest over nuclear power. This is a deliberate act to fundamentally alter the political contest.

It is more than just a debate on the merits or otherwise of nuclear energy. Dutton is seeking a platform on which to rebrand his image as leader and reshape the Coalition purpose.

The politics of the voice proved that Dutton’s oppositionist approach was right. But it didn’t come without a cost: the re-enforcement of negativity. Dutton now seeks to elevate the contest to one of leadership, using energy and the nuclear option as the demonstration of vision.

This is Dutton now fighting for something, rather than against, and in a space which defines one of the central cost-of-living pressures.

Dutton has split the climate change debate into a dual question for voters. On one hand, he is seeking a revival of the public debate on realism and ambition. Can Labor meet its climate change targets? And at what cost? On the other, he has wedded the Coalition to a ­nuclear future. This is a stark contrast in policy approach to the energy and climate change problem.

There is no Labor version of what Dutton is offering that Anthony Albanese can adopt. There are now two defined paths, both leading to net zero by 2050.

The central contest is one of cost and credibility. The appeal underlying Dutton’s approach is a cost-of-living argument on ­energy. There is no doubting the significance of Dutton’s approach, politically and from a policy ­reformation.

The only comparable energy infrastructure transformation is the Snowy Hydro Scheme.

The nuclear argument, however, requires two fundamental principles to be overturned. The first is the obvious; tearing up Australia’s nuclear ban. The Labor states have already taken up the cudgels. Dutton is right that a federal mandate would ultimately ­defeat provincial opposition.

The second is the ownership structure. Dutton’s plan for commonwealth ownership challenges the Liberal Party’s broader market-based principles.

This is where Dutton has surprised, in demonstrating pragmatism over orthodoxy. The ­approach is based on a simple truth that many people believe that it was a mistake by state governments to privatise electricity assets. Much of this was pursued under Labor state governments.

Regarded as an essential service, many consumers often wrongly equate price increases to corporate greed, in the same way they equate inefficiency with ­government.

This is another important step in Dutton’s socialisation of ­nuclear power generation as a real option. He will argue that off-budget assets that provide a return on capital is not nationalisation.

Dutton is, however, exposed on the question of cost and his refusal to so far outline the investment ­required. Again, he is happy to have the argument, but at a time of his choosing. His strategy is to drip feed a low-knowledge electorate when it comes to nuclear.

Wednesday’s announcement was about confining the debate around the kitchen table to locations. A re-assurance that reactors weren’t going to be popping up in suburban backyards. Dutton ­believes that the broader macro-politics favours him on this issue.

At worst, the politics aren’t as electorally good or bad as either side may argue. While there are obvious political risks for Dutton, Albanese is risk-exposed on how Labor takes this argument on.

The more hysterical the Prime Minister and his colleagues are ­inclined to become, the more he is lured into presenting as an opposition leader rather than a prime minister. His personal approval ratings, and only marginal favourability over Dutton in the polls, will have alerted him to the danger of this.

The electoral interpretation of the nuclear option is also not as controversial as some may believe.

Voters like visionary leaders, even if they don’t necessarily agree with the vision. And on nuclear, people are nowhere near as hung up about it as they once were.

Political observers may wonder why Dutton’s has chosen to ­announce this ahead of the final parliamentary sitting fortnight ­before the winter break, given it lets Albanese off the hook on the immigration disaster that dominated the last sitting fortnight.

Senior Liberals believe that it is the opposition that has been ­setting the political agenda since the budget, and this needs to be maintained. However, this is a misreading of the politics and ­reveals the risk that Dutton is now taking on.

It has been events, rather than the Coalition, that have been driving the political agenda. And it has been the mismanagement of those events by Albanese and Labor that has got the government in strife.

Dutton has expertly exploited every opportunity, but then this is more a case of smart politics than defining the national policy agenda. And as Bill Shorten proved in 2019, having an agenda in opposition isn’t always a good thing.
The Australian

Peter Dutton’s public-owned nuclear plants are smart on both the emissions and economic fronts
The Australian
Judith Sloan
20 June 2024

They say there is a silver lining in every cloud and so it is with the case that the renewable energy ­industry makes for nuclear power.

Working on the basis that low or zero emissions is priority No.1 for generating electricity, then the choice is straightforward: high-density, continuous and centralised power beats low-density, intermittent and decentralised power every time. In other words, nuclear beats RE.

Of course, it must be annoying for RE proponents, including all the rent-seekers and grifters who make a living out of government dictates and subsidies, that the ­nuclear industry can beat them at their own game, on a field they ­created. But that’s how the cookie is now crumbling.

The Albanese government ­unwisely dismissed the importance of the inclusion of nuclear power in the final agreement reached at the last COP climate conference held in the UAE.

Twenty countries formally called for a tripling of nuclear capacity by 2050, including the US, our partner in the AUKUS agreement with its nuclear submarines.

There is no doubt that Peter Dutton is being courageous in promoting the use of zero-emissions nuclear power as a central part of his election strategy. There will be a fierce campaign waged against it, including by those with strong commercial links to the RE industry. At the end of the day, however, nuclear is a much more sensible option to achieve zero-emissions electricity than RE is.

We can see this recognition emerging around the world: in the US, Canada, the UK and a number of European countries, including Finland. Korea has embarked on a successful program of constructing large-scale nuclear plants and China is building multiple plants across the country.

Having turned its back on ­nuclear, Japan is back in the game and France is investing to refresh and expand its ­nuclear industry.

The Albanese government will have a difficult argument convincing voters that it’s fine for these countries but not for us.

The reality is that modern ­nuclear plants operate under strict safety standards and if they are ­located at existing sites where coal plants have been sited, they carry the advantage of requiring very ­little additional investment in transmission.

They are also industrial sites that have offered high-paying jobs, often unionised, to the locals living in the area. Nuclear plants would similarly offer this advantage.

Dutton’s idea that the first ­nuclear plants here should be publicly funded and owned is sensible. It’s how the French nuclear plants were first constructed; it was also the case in other countries. This takes away the regulatory risk that private investment and ownership would entail.

Assuming that Labor hadn’t seen the light by that stage, it would simply be too uncertain for private investors to pony up the large amounts of capital needed to construct the plants. In time, the government can opt to sell down their stakes in the plants, but that would be a consideration for ­another time.

The reality is that the energy transition is basically in tatters. Investment in RE has stalled as various governments keep changing the rules. The options for storage and its cost are major impediments. It has come to a bizarre point where state governments are subsidising the continuation of coal-fired plants to achieve net zero – go figure. In the meantime, those living in rural and regional areas are understandably arcing up about the environmental damage that RE installations cause.

The nuclear debate is one we should have, and Dutton is showing remarkable pluck in ­initiating it. At least voters will be in no doubt what the Coalition stands for.
The Australian

What an Aussie nuclear reactor could look like
The Australian
Matthew Denholm
20 June 2024

An estimated two-thirds of the world’s 440 nuclear power plants are pressurised water reactors (PWRs), and Peter Dutton has cited them as a likely starting point for Australian nuclear power.

PWRs use water as a coolant, with the primary cooling water kept at very high pressure. It then goes through a heat exchanger and heat is transferred to a secondary coolant loop, which spins the power-generating turbines.

“The water goes into the reactor and gets hot, but it is not turned into steam and is under high pressure,” says Robert Parker, founder of Nuclear for Climate Australia.

“You can stop it going to steam by keeping the pressure higher, like we do with a pressure cooker on a stove.

“That really hot water then goes into a heat exchanger, where it shares that heat with a secondary circuit. And that’s where you create the hot steam to drive the turbine. That steam is then condensed with environment water and turned back into liquid water.”

The secondary loop system keeps radioactive material away from the turbines, making maintenance less complicated and, some experts believe, providing a greater level of safety.

Mr Dutton has flagged two “establishment projects” using either small modular reactors or larger plants, such as AP1000 or APR1400; both PWRs currently licensed by the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission.

AP1000 is regarded as a modern “generation 3+” reactor that uses “passive” safety systems – driven by natural forces such as gravity and convection – to continue cooling for a period after accidents without the need for power or human intervention.

Produced by Westinghouse, 1110-megawatt AP1000 plants are operational around the world, including in China and the US.

APR1400 plants, designed by the Korea Electric Power Corporation, are classified as “generation 3” and are in operation in Korea and the United Arab Emirates.

Experts say Australia could also consider boiling water reactors, which have only one coolant loop, making them simpler.

However, in the event of a fuel rod leak, radioactive material could come into contact with the turbine, complicating maintenance, while BWRs are said to not perform as well in power outages.

Mr Parker said a third type of reactor pioneered by Canada and exported globally, CANDU, could also be considered. These use “heavy water” containing deuterium, an isotope of hydrogen, and – unlike PWRs and BWRs – CANDUs can operate with unenriched uranium.

CANDUs have the added benefit of being able to be refuelled while in operation, but do produce radioactive tritium.

Mr Parker said nuclear power’s high water requirements may prompt consideration of water-saving technology or the citing of plants on the coast, where seawater could be used.

“All reactors use about the same amount of water per unit of energy put out – about 800 US gallons per megawatt hour,” he said.

This could be reduced in small reactors by adopting hybrid cooling systems, such as spritzing, but this came at a cost and some loss of efficiency.

It was less viable for larger reactors. “So wherever we build large reactors, we’re going to need either reliable inland supplies (of water) or … look at seawater cooling,” Mr Parker said.
The Australian

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June 22, 2024 at 02:31AM

No, BBC, It Was Not An Extreme Heatwave In Phoenix

From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

h/t Paul Kolk

More heatwave fake news from the BBC:

Human-induced climate change made recent extreme heat in the US south-west, Mexico and Central America around 35 times more likely, scientists say.

The World Weather Attribution (WWA) group studied excess heat between May and early June, when the US heatwave was concentrated in south-west states including California, Nevada and Arizona.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/czvvqdg8zxno

Temperatures in Phoenix reached a high of 113F during early June:

http://climod2.nrcc.cornell.edu/

.

The BBC know they can fool some people who don’t realise temperatures like these are normal in places like Phoenix.

http://climod2.nrcc.cornell.edu/

The record June temperature was 122F in 1990, and thirty years since 1933 have had higher temperatures than 113F in June:

http://climod2.nrcc.cornell.edu/

As for the length of the heatwave, Phoenix has had four days over 110F so far in June. In June 1974 they had eighteen!

.

As usual the BBC rely on Weather Attribution models which are clearly fraudulent, and designed for propaganda purposes only. Given that this heatwave was not even extreme, the rest of the claim is plainly a con-trick.

via Watts Up With That?

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June 22, 2024 at 12:05AM

Anemones Push Through Collapsed Corals

Many of the hard corals fringing the Keppel Islands bleached stark white last summer. Specifically, the fields of branching Acropora spp. went stark white. This was likely caused by a combination of high-water temperatures, low tides and calm conditions.  I had never seen anything quite like it before.

The water has cooled down now, by about 10 degrees Celsius (50F) since January, and by about 5 degrees C since April (two months ago) when I last dived these coral reefs.  The colour is coming back into the branching Acropora spp., but it is not obvious what percentage of this hard coral is going to survive.

I only got to swim over one reef last Thursday.   Our skipper from Keppel Dive/Brandon ended-up providing mechanical support to a boat that was drifting and while he did manage to get their outboard working again, it meant we lost time and only got to dive the site Outer Rock – and the same leeward side twice.

I had not dived this site before, but according to our dive leader/Ines from Keppel Dive, it bleached as white as many of the other Keppel Island dive sites – it was stark white.

It is only 4 metres down to the mooring, and on descent I could see some colour – there were still some white corals but a minority.   I felt tremendous relief.

Not far from the mooring I could see an area of coral that appeared to be collapsing inwards, on closer inspection I could see that this area of branching Acropora had lost against the macro-algae. But what, I wondered, was the white stuff poking through?

It took me some moments to realise that under the dying coral heavily infested with algae was a mass of sea anemones – beginning to poke through and dotted with clown fish.   Most unexpected this apparently expanding mass of anemone was stark white, but obviously very alive and keeping its tentacles clean of algae.

All about were symbiotic anemone fish, but mostly hiding from me – so my photographs are not a good indication of the abundance of these Amphiprion sp/clown fish.

Clown fish are known to live in small groups amongst the anemones. Experiments have found that when these clowns are removed the sea anemones are quickly consumed by butterfly fishes (Chaetodontidae).

It got me thinking about how much competition for space there is at most coral reefs. When one organism, in this case the branching corals finds the conditions too much, something else is likely to take its place.

I remember back on January 21, 2020, diving a site known as Twin Towers, at the Ribbon Reefs due east of Cooktown – much further north than the Keppel Islands.   At the crest of this dive site were so many clown fish and sea anemones – for as far as the eye could see and visibility was at least 30 metres that morning.

Photograph by Julia Sumerling, and it was such a good dive.

I wondered at the time how the clowns and anemones had come to dominate – and what they might have displaced.

I wondered had the coralliferous (coral eating) parrot fish eaten out all the hard corals, and so the anemones had a chance to multiply.

Since diving off Outer Rock on Thursday, I have come to wonder whether repeated bleaching of branching Acropora corals might create a dominance of anemones in some situations and for some time.

This experience reinforces my scepticism of percentage hard coral cover as a best indicator of reef health – and reef resilience.

Despite water temperatures being a relatively cool 21C, it is interesting that the sea anemones were very white, devoid of zooxanthellae – and yet seemingly expanding their range.

Not all the corals fringing Outer Rock are branching Acropora, and the sections of this dive site with a greater diversity of coral species appear much less affected by the bleaching, and of course, had a greater diversity of colourful fishes.

I’ve finally purchased a light for my Olympus TG6 camera, but I’m not sure I using it to best advantage yet. The following photographs, some with, and some without the light, are from Outer Rock, Keppel Island, last Thursday.

Corals beyond the field of branching Acropora.

Because water absorbs light, from the longer wavelengths first, corals often look very washed out blue at depth. Then when I shine a light on them, and change my camera settings to macro, suddenly there is detail and colour.

I’m hoping to be back visiting the Keppel Islands over the next few weekends, to stay in the loop consider subscribing at this blog for my irregular weekly emails.

*********

Notes

* Sea anemones are a group of predatory marine invertebrates constituting the order Actiniaria.  Sea anemones are classified in the phylum Cnidaria, class Anthozoa, subclass Hexacorallia.  Like corals, sea anemones typically have symbiotic zooxanthella that provide colour.

Thanks so much to Jenn and the team at Keppel Dive, for all the opportunities.

Unloading, after the dives, back at Fisherman’s Beach Great Keppel Island.

via Jennifer Marohasy

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June 21, 2024 at 10:09PM

Larry Fink at WEF destroys net zero due to AI power demands: ‘The world is going to be short power. And to power these data companies you cannot have just this intermittent power like wind & solar. You need dispatchable power’

From CLIMATE DEPOT

By Marc Morano

Related:

AI = Energy Detransition: Energy analyst Mark P. Mills Testifies to Congress on how massive electricity demand for AI means ‘policymakers can no longer entertain the idea of an ‘energy transition’

Mills: “Given the emerging scales of electricity demand from the cloud and AI, especially when added to the emerging demands from reshoring manufacturing and promoting EVs, it should be clear that policymakers can no longer entertain the idea of an “energy transition.” The nation’s electric sector will need full access to all options to ensure enough electricity is produced reliably, and at prices American businesses, and ultimately the public, can afford.”

Black Rock’s Larry Fink Admits Green Energy IS A FRAUD! – At the WEF, Larry Fink ironically destroys net-zero when it comes to the power needed for AI: “By 2030 [data centers] need 30 gigawatts.. Where’s that power gonna come from? To power these data companies you can’t have intermittent power like wind & solar

Wash Post admits reality: ‘Amid explosive demand, America is running out of power’ – U.S. ‘power grid’ being pushed ‘to the brink. Utilities can’t keep up’ – ‘It is staggering’ – But WaPo frets energy shortage ‘threatens to stifle the transition to cleaner energy’

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June 21, 2024 at 08:06PM