Month: August 2024

Friday

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August 29, 2024 at 09:32AM

BBC’s Declining Polar Bears

By Paul Homewood

 

Clearly the BBC think the public are a bunch of simpletons!

 

  A couple of weeks ago they made this specific claim about polar bears:

 

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https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cgq20qd59yyo

As we know, this is totally untrue, and polar bear numbers have been steadily increasing since the 1960s.

I therefor submitted a complaint to the BBC to this effect. This is their response:

Thanks for getting in touch about the BBC News article ‘Two polar bears kill Canadian worker in rare attack’ (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cgq20qd59yyo).
We appreciate you reading the article and taking the time to share your concerns with us.
The focus of the report is on two polar bears killing a Nasittuq employee in the Nunavut territory of northern Canada.
In reporting ‘There are about 17,000 polar bears living in the country – making up around two-thirds of the global population of the species’, this information is attributed to the Canadian government, which states:
‘Canada’s population of polar bear consists of over 17,000 bears, which is two thirds of the estimated global total.’
https://www.canada.ca/en/environment-climate-change/services/convention-international-trade-endangered-species/non-detriment-findings/polar-bear.html
According to Arctic WWF, via The International Union for the Conservation of Nature (IUCN), current global polar bear population is estimated to be in the range of 22-31,000 bears:
https://www.arcticwwf.org/wildlife/polar-bear/polar-bear-population/
It also reports ‘Although most of the world’s 19 populations have returned to healthy numbers, there are differences between them. Some are stable, some seem to be increasing, and some are decreasing due to various pressures.’
Note: the BBC is not responsible for the content of external websites.
Nonetheless, we’re sorry to learn you feel our reporting is inaccurate.

They have not even attempted to address my complaint, or their original statement that the species is in decline.

Instead they have effectively confirmed my contention that polar bears are increasing in numbers.

They obviously think they can just fob people off. They obviously have not learnt their lesson that I don’t get fobbed off that easily!!

Needless to say, my complaint will be escalated to the next stage.

.

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August 29, 2024 at 08:58AM

Crude Reality: South America’s Offshore Oil Buries Net Zero Agenda

By Vijay Jayaraj

South American nations are increasingly realigning energy strategies to capitalize on offshore oil and gas reserves, signaling a marked shift from previously stated goals of reducing dependence on fossil fuels to satisfy the net zero agenda of those obsessed with a faux climate emergency.

This divergence reflects the region’s pressing need to address economic challenges, including poverty, unemployment and a requirement for sustainable revenue streams to fund social programs and infrastructure development.

Nations such as Brazil, Guyana and Argentina are spearheading new deals and projects aimed at intensifying exploration activities within their maritime boundaries. These endeavors are not merely speculative; they represent concrete steps backed by substantial investments from international energy giants seeking to capitalize on the region’s vast offshore potential. The economic imperative driving this resurgence cannot be overstated.

Brazil’s state-controlled company, Petrobras, is set to invest $6 billion in the next five years to uncover new deposits of around 10 billion barrels that could nearly double current reserves. The company’s focus on pre-salt basins has resulted in significant discoveries, including the Buzios field, which is considered one of the most productive offshore oil fields globally.

Guyana’s transformation into an oil powerhouse has been nothing short of remarkable since ExxonMobil discovered significant oil reserves in the Stabroek Block, which is estimated to contain over 11 billion barrels of recoverable oil.

Having started production from the Stabroek Block in 2019, a consortium led by Exxon Mobil is currently producing about 650,000 barrels of oil per day (bpd) from three production platforms. The output has been steadily increasing and is expected to reach 1.4 million bpd soon with ongoing new discoveries.

Fueled primarily by oil revenues, Guyana’s gross domestic product has skyrocketed, with a projected growth rate of 34% in 2024. This unprecedented growth offers Guyana an opportunity to invest in infrastructure and anti-poverty programs, something that would have been impossible without the black gold.

Argentina’s government is looking to tap vast oil reserves, particularly in the Vaca Muerta field. The country is desperate to diversify its energy portfolio and reduce reliance on imported energy, especially in light of ongoing economic challenges that include high inflation, debt and a struggling currency.

With the world’s second-largest shale gas field and fourth-largest shale oil reserves, Argentina’s potential is immense. YPF, Argentina’s state energy company, announced collaborations with international giants like Equinor and Shell to explore untapped reserves in the Argentine Sea.

The Fénix project in Tierra del Fuego — with peak production of around 10 million cubic meters of gas per day — is particularly noteworthy; it promises to transform Argentina into a net exporter of natural gas. A new oil and gas law currently under discussion aims to attract foreign investment into the sector, signifying a shift toward prioritizing fossil fuels in the face of economic turmoil.

Another struggling economy, Venezuela, has agreed to a 20-year natural gas production and exploration deal with British multinational BP and Trinidad. With a production estimate of 400 million cubic feet per day, the Cocuina gas field off the Venezuelan coast will bring in substantial revenue.

As Latin America capitalizes on fossil fuel reserves, it is likely to play a pivotal role in the global energy landscape. Increased production could reshape international dynamics as new sources counterbalance declining output from traditional producers

South America has long struggled with socioeconomic challenges, including high poverty rates and inconsistent economic growth. Offshore oil and gas reserves are an invaluable resource to lift millions out of poverty, and their development an indispensable strategy.

Compared to net zero’s dreary road to societal disaster for the sake of virtue signaling, rising oil and gas revenues are immeasurably more attractive. They offer a tantalizing prospect of monies to fortify national budgets, create jobs and stimulate broader economic growth.

This commentary was first published at BizPac Review on August 27, 2024.

Vijay Jayaraj is a Science and Research Associate at the CO2 Coalition, Arlington, Virginia. He holds an M.S. in environmental sciences from the University of East Anglia and a postgraduate degree in energy management from Robert Gordon University and, both in the U.K., and a bachelor’s in engineering from Anna University, India.

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August 29, 2024 at 08:12AM

Lex Autolease profits fall by £400m | Used EVs blamed for reduction

By Paul Homewood

h/t Andrew Bartlett

 

From Fleet News:

 

This problem will only get worse as EV sales increase and manufacturers are forced to cut new car prices to the bone to meet EV targets:

 

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Pre-tax profits for vehicle leasing company Lex Autolease have plummeted by more than £400 million, according to newly-filed accounts.

The Lloyds Banking Group company posted a pre-tax profit of £124.4m for 2023, a dramatic fall on the £544.2m reported for 2022.

The fall in profits came despite Lex Autolease’s revenue increasing over the same 12 months from £2 billion to £2.2bn as new vehicle supply improved.

Blame, in part, has been levelled at lower profits on the disposal of vehicles “due to market conditions” and increased interest expense on its borrowings.

In 2023, almost half (46%) of new vehicle orders were for electric vehicles (EVs) – a similar proportion to the 47% reported in 2022.

The company says that one of the key drivers of performance are the fluctuations in residual values (RVs) of fleet vehicles.

However, it said: “Significant price reductions have been seen through 2023 as significant volumes of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) have come into the market for the first time.”

Since September 2022, BEVs have seen their used values decrease by more than 60%, according to Cap HPI, which has resulted in fleets facing rising rentals as leasing losses mount on used plug-in vehicles

Lex Autolease says that it expects more customers to enter into informal extensions on leased product due to the increases in rentals being seen in the market. 

The 77% year-on-year fall in profits came after an impressive 26% increase (from £433m to £544m) reported for 2022, when the leasing industry enjoyed record returns due to the impact of the global semiconductor shortage restricting supply across the auto industry, increasing the demand for, and value of, used vehicles.

Industry trade body, the British Vehicle Rental and Leasing Association (BVLRA), has said that the UK’s vehicle leasing and rental industry is facing an “existential threat” due to the collapse in used BEV values.

https://www.fleetnews.co.uk/news/lex-autolease-profits-fall-by-400m-used-evs-blamed-for-reduction

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August 29, 2024 at 08:08AM