Month: September 2024

Petrol Cars “Rationed to Meet Net Zero Targets”

Car makers are rationing sales of petrol and hybrid vehicles in Britain to avoid hefty Net Zero fines, according to one of the country’s biggest dealership chains. The Telegraph has the story.

Robert Forrester, Chief Executive of Vertu Motors, said manufacturers were delaying deliveries of cars until next year amid fears they will otherwise breach quotas set for them by the Government.

This means someone ordering a car today at some dealerships will not receive it until February, he said. 

At the same time, Mr. Forrester warned manufacturers and dealers were grappling with a glut of more expensive electric vehicles (EVs) that are “not easily finding homes”. 

He said: “In some franchises there’s a restriction on supply of petrol cars and hybrid cars, which is actually where the demand is. 

“It’s almost as if we can’t supply the cars that people want, but we’ve got plenty of the cars that maybe they don’t want.

“They [manufacturers] are trying to avoid the fines. So they’re constraining the ability for us to supply petrol cars in order to try and keep to the Government targets.”

The Chief Executive blamed the zero emission vehicle (ZEV) mandate, which requires at least 22% of cars sold by manufacturers to be electric from this year. 

This target will gradually rise each year before reaching 80% in 2030, with manufacturers made to pay £15,000 for every petrol car that exceeds their quota – unless they have so-called carbon credits to spend. 

But the scheme has prompted stark warnings from bosses at major brands, such as Vauxhall owner Stellantis and Ford, which have said they cannot sacrifice profits by selling EVs at large discounts indefinitely.

Instead, they have previously warned they may be forced to restrict petrol car supplies to artificially boost their ZEV mandate performance.

The warning from Vertu is the first confirmation that carmakers have now begun doing so….

Mr. Forrester said: “What the Government’s actually doing is constraining the new car market, which has a big impact on VAT receipts for them, and creates a business environment in the U.K. where manufacturers may question whether they want to make cars here.

“As Carlos Tavares [chief executive of Stellantis] has said, why should they sell cars at a loss because of U.K. Government policy?

“The new car market is no longer a market, unfortunately. It’s a state-imposed supply chain.”

via Watts Up With That?

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September 4, 2024 at 04:03AM

This is not ‘leading the world’. It’s economic suicide

By Paul Homewood

 

 

h/t Philip Bratby

 

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This morning the Government announced the results of the latest round of bids for renewable generation capacity.  What does a ‘round of bids’ mean?

The way the system currently works is unlike normal capital investment. In almost every other large capital project, investors take the risk of the price and demand for their project.  This is true when, say, a manufacturer builds a new plant, and (obviously) when a developer builds a new estate of homes – the builder has to sell the homes to householders to get their return!

Investors commit their money because they believe that they will get a good return on their investment, but they can’t be sure.  So investors have to accept the risk that investing involves, and in return they sometimes, but not always, get higher returns than are available in secure investments like Government bonds.

For wind and solar powerplants in UK jurisdictions, a different regime applies.  Investors are offered a guarantee from the Government of both the price, and the amount, of electricity that they will be able to sell.

How do these guarantees work?

Firstly, the amount. The amounts of electricity that wind and solar farms produce are obviously highly dependent on the wind blowing and the sun shining. This, by the way, is a major headache for the grid managers, because this is unpredictable and electricity is always needed and cannot be stored at grid scale. So what the Government has done is insist that Grid managers must take all the electricity that renewable sources produce, whether or not there are cheaper alternatives and regardless of whether that much electricity is actually needed at the grid at the time it is generated. (If the grid literally cannot accept the renewable energy generated, the renewable powerplants turn down or shut off – but still have to be paid as if they were running as hard as possible.)

In effect, the Government has said “we will take all the electricity that you can deliver”.  The loser from this is gas power stations, who are pushed aside by renewable suppliers until calm, dark or cloudy conditions return. Then they are required to replace all the missing electricity. This has the effect of making gas generation much more expensive than it should be, as there has to be a tremendous amount of gas capacity sitting unused for much of the time. Suddenly turning gas plants on and off all the time also increases maintenance costs.

Secondly, the Government guarantees the price of electricity that renewables produce. They don’t do this for gas generators, who have to live with the ‘market price’ of electricity, which is highly variable.  In this latest round (called ‘AR6’), the Government secured new renewables investment at prices which for offshore wind are around 30 per cent higher than the average market prices in 2024.  For floating offshore wind plant, not built on the sea bed, the price the Government has guaranteed is a staggering 200 per cent higher than the market price.  Prices significantly higher than market prices were also awarded to solar and onshore wind projects.

All these extra margins get added to electricity bills. And there’s more.

Significantly, hidden in this auction was already agreed capacity which was allowed by Government to back out of prices agreed in earlier auction rounds and be awarded the much higher prices seen today.

The renewable investors have choices, and they have clearly told the Government that they won’t invest unless the returns are sufficiently high. For the investor, ironically, the risk is not that the market prices are too low (they aren’t at risk from market prices), but that the Government changes its mind about the attractiveness of renewables, and at some point in the future begins to question the enormous subsidies that renewables require.

We have consistently been told that renewables are cheaper than gas generation.  That was briefly true in the Ukraine crisis when Russia closed its gas supply to the West, but is far from true now.  Now, with the power of market flexibility, gas prices have fallen, while UK electricity prices continue to rise.  They will keep on rising if we insist on continuing to subsidise investment in renewables, making the UK increasingly uncompetitive, and hurting consumers.

This is not ‘leading the world’, it’s economic suicide.


Neil Record is Chairman of the Institute of Economic Affairs. He holds an MSc in Economics. He has worked in the Economic Intelligence Department of the Bank of England, and as an economist in industry

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/09/03/renewable-energy-auction-ar6-economic-solar-uk-cfd-wind/

via NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

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September 4, 2024 at 03:22AM

Yellow Rain Forecast

By Paul Homewood

 

I always check the BBC Weather Forecast in the morning, and hardly a day goes by without a weather warning, like this today:

 

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The actual forecast mentions a few heavy showers and big puddles (!). Hardly worthy of a warning I would have thought.

 

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Needless to say, the Yellow Warning originates from the Met Office, who are determined to scare the public about extreme weather.

via NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

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September 4, 2024 at 03:10AM

Kamala Harris’s California cost-hiking, business-killing policies

Kamala Harris continues to support California’s tax-and-spend, overreaching, and economy-crushing policies and their threats to America’s energy, agricultural, economic, employment, living standards, and national security future.

via CFACT

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September 4, 2024 at 02:57AM