Month: September 2024

The problem with Labour’s green energy plan-Ross Clark

By Paul Homewood

h/t Philip Bratby

On the day that Labour’s poll rating dips below 30% in record time after an election win, we are reminded of two good reasons why.

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Ed Miliband told the EnergyUK conference this morning that he wants to take on the ‘blockers, delayers and obstructionists’ who stand in the way of Britain’s energy security. Oh good, does that mean that finally he appreciates that the North Sea needs some encouragement? And that a UK fracking industry will finally be allowed to commence, after years of being blocked in the courts by environmentalists spinning false stories about how it will cause your water taps to burst into flames and cause devastating earthquakes (including those actually felt at the Earth’s surface)?

Er, sadly not. Miliband, of course, rather likes blockers and delayers when they are on his side. Indeed, the entire government does, which is why it is not challenging the High Court’s decision last week to quash planning permission for a Cumbrian coal mine. This mine would have provided coking coal for the UK’s steel industry (or at least would have done before the previous government pulled the plug on Britain’s primary steel industry, forcing us to import steel instead).

Is Lammy’s mind really on his job?

Stand in the way of oil and gas – which even the Labour party manifesto accepted is going to form part of our energy mix for decades to come – and the government will won’t lift a finger to stop you. But as for people who are a little reluctant to accept vast acres of the countryside disappearing beneath wind and solar farms, they are a threat to Britain’s energy security – and indeed ‘national security’ – and must be denounced.

Miliband isn’t alone in taking up this theme of national security to try to defend Labour’s green policy. Foreign secretary David Lammy is at it too this morning, telling us that climate change presents a ‘more fundamental’ threat to national security than terrorism does.

Is Lammy’s mind really on his job? Sure, there are all sorts of reasons why it might be desirable to shift towards cleaner energy if it is affordable. But does he seriously think that climate change deserves more of his attention as foreign secretary than the threat from terrorism? London might be a bit warmer than it was half a century ago, and a little wetter, too, while sea levels might be rising by 3 mm a year (the capital is also a little less stormy, less foggy and its population a lot less prone to hypothermia than in the past, though we rarely hear about that side of the climate change ledger). But David, what I would really love to know is what you are doing to guard against the very real possibility that a bunch of terrorists could get hold of nuclear material and explode a ‘dirty bomb’ in Trafalgar Square? Or a 9/11 style attack on Canary Wharf?

That is before we even get into the matter of what a rogue state could do to us, with the full backing of armed forces. I know there are a lot of young people who have grown up on climate paranoia and have been really quite traumatised by what they see as the threat of being ‘fried’ by slightly higher summer temperatures. But those of us who were brought up in the Cold War have a slightly different perspective: by far the greatest threat to humanity continues to be nuclear war – which really would lead to large numbers of people genuinely being fried, and to somewhat rapid and dramatic climate change.

I hope, deep down, that our foreign secretary appreciates this, and that his comments this morning are just a bit of politicking to try and defend a green energy policy which is beginning to crumble in the face of reality. The trouble is that, with Lammy, I feel we can never be quite sure.  

https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/the-problem-with-labours-energy-policy/

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September 17, 2024 at 12:05PM

140,000 electric Mini Coopers recalled over major fire risk

By Paul Homewood

h/t Graham Worthington

Whoops!!

From The Driven

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More than 1400 luxury electric vehicles are being recalled in Australia amid warnings their batteries could short circuit and catch fire while being driven.

The federal transport department issued the recall on Tuesday for Mini Cooper SE electric cars sold in Australia between 2020 and 2023.

The warning follows a recall of more than 140,000 Mini Cooper vehicles issued by manufacturer BMW worldwide earlier this month.

The Australian recall comes two weeks after BMW recalled more than 140,000 electric Mini Cooper vehicles worldwide, including 39,000 in Germany and more than 12,000 in the United States.

https://thedriven.io/2024/09/17/electric-mini-coopers-recalled-over-major-fire-risk/

Maybe it’s just me, but I have not seen that 140,000 report in any of the media here?

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September 17, 2024 at 11:50AM

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September 17, 2024 at 10:11AM

2024 Arctic Ice Beats 2007 by Half a Wadham

The graph above shows September daily ice extents for 2024 compared to 18 year averages, and some years of note. Day 260 has been the lowest daily ice extent on average for the last 18 years.

The black line shows on average Arctic ice extents during September decline 358k km2 down to 4.5M Km2 by day 260. The average increase from now on is 490k km2 up to 5.0M km2 end of September.  2024  tracked a little lower than the 18-year average in the second week reaching a low of 4.49M km2 on day 255, before going above average on day 260. 

SII was reporting deficits as high as 0.5M km2 (half a Wadham) compared to  MASIE early in September.  For some reason, that dataset has not been updated for the last five days.  2023 bottomed out at 4.1M while 2007 daily minimum hit 4.0M, ended ~ 0.5M km2 in deficit to average and 535k km2 less than MASIE on day 260.  2020 ice on day 260 was ~740k km2 in deficit to average.

Why is this important?  All the claims of global climate emergency depend on dangerously higher temperatures, lower sea ice, and rising sea levels.  The lack of additional warming prior to 2023 El Nino is documented in a post UAH June 2024: Oceans Lead Cool Down.

The lack of acceleration in sea levels along coastlines has been discussed also.  See Observed vs. Imagined Sea Levels 2023 Update.

Also, a longer term perspective is informative:

post-glacial_sea_levelThe table below shows the distribution of Sea Ice on day 260 across the Arctic Regions, on average, this year and 2007. At this point in the year, Bering and Okhotsk seas are open water and thus dropped from the table.

Region 2024260 Day 260 ave 2024-Ave. 2007260 2024-2007
 (0) Northern_Hemisphere 4581327 4524401 56926 4045776 535551
 (1) Beaufort_Sea 304967 491931 -186963 481384 -176416
 (2) Chukchi_Sea 360456 167361 193095 22527 337929
 (3) East_Siberian_Sea 353456 252958 100498 311 353145
 (4) Laptev_Sea 160792 135574 25218 235869 -75076
 (5) Kara_Sea 0 31612 -31612 44067 -44067
 (6) Barents_Sea 0 14610 -14610 7420 -7420
 (7) Greenland_Sea 165965 191196 -25230 333181 -167216
 (8) Baffin_Bay_Gulf_of_St._Lawrence 53126 29745 23381 26703 26423
 (9) Canadian_Archipelago 228869 274428 -45559 225526 3344
 (10) Hudson_Bay 1692 4595 -2903 2270 -578
 (11) Central_Arctic 2950861 2929452 21409 2665243.87 285617

The overall surplus to average is 57k km2, (1.3%).  The major deficit is in Beaufort, offset by large surpluses in Chukchi and East Siberian seas. 

bathymetric_map_arctic_ocean

Illustration by Eleanor Lutz shows Earth’s seasonal climate changes. If played in full screen, the four corners present views from top, bottom and sides. It is a visual representation of scientific datasets measuring ice and snow extents.

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September 17, 2024 at 09:55AM