By Paul Homewood
This headline is typical of many.
The forecast from the National Hurricane Center however suggests that Milton will likely make landfall as a Cat 3 storm, or at worst a borderline Cat 4 hurricane. This has indeed been the forecast for a couple of days now.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/090855.shtml?
As Roy Spencer has pointed out, NHC forecaster tend to overestimate wind speeds, since they don’t want to be accused of underestimating the danger.
As I always make clear, any hurricane is a potentially deadly event, which can cause much destruction.
But Florida is more than accustomed to major hurricanes – Cat 3 and above – 41 in total since records began.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Florida_hurricanes
Milton will be the second major hurricane to hit Florida this year. But both 1950 and 2005 also had two, while 2004 had four – Charley, Frances, Ivan and Jeanne.
We were in Orlando when Frances blew through after weakening to a Tropical Storm. Disney was shut, along with everywhere else, while Brits moaned that we regularly had much worse winds back home!
Let us pray that the forecasts are right, and that the media’s apocalyptic headlines don’t come to pass.
via NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT
October 9, 2024 at 06:33AM
Iowa Climate Science Education 