Hurricanes are often linked to climate change, but research shows no clear trend in cyclone intensity or frequency, challenging popular attribution claims. The author says ‘the attribution tricks sit out in plain sight, visible to anyone willing to have a look’. The alarmist objective is of course to make it look as if humans are boosting hurricane activity a great deal, but sound evidence is lacking, leaving mostly propaganda.
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Hurricanes are the poster child of climate politics, says Roger Pielke Jr. (via Climate Change Dispatch).
As you can see in the actual poster [here], a popular narrative exists that hurricanes are caused by carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from power plants (or makes them more frequent, more intense, more wet, more slow, more fast).
Like the movie poster [here], in which the hurricane is spinning the wrong way, evidence and research have not always conformed to the narrative.
A pseudoscientific cottage industry has sprung up that associates just about every notable hurricane with climate change. Today, I take a look at recent efforts to attribute hurricanes to greenhouse gas emissions.
The impacts of climate change on hurricanes are claimed to be huge. Here are some examples from 2024:
Hurricane Milton was 40% more likely.
Hurricane Helene was more than 100% more likely.
Typhoon Shanshan was 36% more likely.
Typhoon Gaemi was about 50% more likely.
Hurricane Beryl was almost 100% more likely.
Press releases making such incredible claims flood the zone after every major storm and are uncritically repeated by the major media around the world.
Let’s take a closer look at what lies behind these press releases. Like the hurricane spinning the wrong way in Al Gore’s movie poster, the attribution tricks sit out in plain sight, visible to anyone willing to have a look.
Continued here.
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Image: Hurricane Dorian
via Tallbloke’s Talkshop
December 31, 2024 at 09:28AM
Iowa Climate Science Education 
